Taking the Rally Seriously – Stock Scan for New Highs in Play

Bullish hedges against bearish positions are paying off and we may need more of them as this rally gains strength and the market breaks higher, possibly through a strong rally ahead.  The NASDAQ is 100 points off an all-time high while the SP500 plays catch-up, but catch-up it certainly can.  In tonight’s video, Corey highlights the strong stocks making new 52 week highs and a few familiar names keep appearing there.

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All Eyes on Market Volatility

All eyes were on volatility today as the S&P’s continued to grind higher throughout the day.  Don takes a look at the two sectors that have driven trade lately, the Financials and the Monsters of Tech and explains how the S&P still lags behind some strange sector rotations – What Gives?

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Market Setup with Phenomenal Risk/Reward

Ripping to the upside on a wing and a prayer… Is this a short squeeze or real buyers? Pop goes the volatility Box Who says volatility cannot be to the upside. Bonds UP, Market UP? VVIX under 110 Monsters Weak Relative to QQQ SPX Expected Move –last week– 71.62 (expected move) –next week- 78.31 (expected move) Sector rotations continue, market musical chairs Tech Financials Energy Consumer Staples Oh my LULU hurts… risk reward is beautiful

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The Rubber Band Effect for Stocks – Snap-Back or Just Snap?

We had initial upside breakout activity above the weekly expected move today, but all that was erased with a sharp sell-off in the close that froze price right at the weekly expected move.  In tonight’s video, Corey highlights the similarities of last week to this week and how we’re framing the opportunities in stocks, bonds, Gold, and Oil right now.

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Tech Stocks Gone Rogue

The S&P hit the expected move for the week on the back of financials.  Surprisingly, tech doesn’t participate.  Today it seemed like all of our trades were firing on all cylinders with back ratio spreads in XLF working out spectacularly and big tech shorts seeing results.  The next 2 trading days are critical.  Here’s what to look for…

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This Really is the Make or Break Level for the Market

Enormous Short-Squeezed Bullish Breakout, or Bull Trap? That’s what we’ll be discussing and addressing positions in tonight’s video.  We have a very similar theme to all of last week yet the market did not yet break lower.  In tonight’s video, Corey updates your critical levels and highlights the make-or-break bearish or bullish element at play in the market right now for this week ahead.

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Market in a Volatile Holding Pattern?

The edge of normal?–SPX holds it together and pulls out another week inside the Expected Move SPX Expected Move–last week– 93.88 (expected)–next week– Volatility Box and Sector Rotations–SPY/Bonds–SPY/Dollar–SPY/Gold Big Tech getting frothy–AMZN–FB – vol skew flips–MSFT Bond watch! Do not get lulled to sleep–is ain’t no quiet market!–Volatility is alive!–VVIX, Vol Futures

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Skirting the Weekly Expected Move and Planning the Shorts

We’re still at the upper Value Area Extreme of the Profile along with the weekly SPX Expected move – both of which point to higher odds of selling ahead.  But in tonight’s video, Corey highlights the higher probability but advocates hedges and preparation in the event bulls break through 3000 in the SPX to carry stocks higher and what might happen then.  Be prepared for the bearish outcome but plan carefully for the bullish breakout should we see it occur next week instead.

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On the Edge of the Volatility Box

For the third time in three weeks the S&P is at the top of the range of the volatility box. This is a crucial point in the market. The SPX all week has been skirting the top edge of the expected move for the week. Our last gravity point is a stone throw away. Don’t be surprised if this happens next…

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Don Kaufman Don Kaufman

TheoTrade co-founder, former CBOE market maker and thinkorswim Chief Derivatives Instructor.

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