Election Trades… A Vote for Volatility

[video_player type=”youtube” youtube_remove_logo=”Y” width=”853″ height=”480″ align=”center” margin_top=”0″ margin_bottom=”20″]aHR0cHM6Ly95b3V0dS5iZS9BQWlZZVBFNU1jVQ==[/video_player] In this weekend’s video we are going to the discuss how the presidential race relates to the markets. How much risk is priced in and what the markets are saying about the race. Also, a special election day announcement is included…

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Trigger Warnings on These S&P Levels

[video_player type=”youtube” youtube_remove_logo=”Y” width=”853″ height=”480″ align=”center” margin_top=”0″ margin_bottom=”20″]aHR0cHM6Ly95b3V0dS5iZS8yekpjUjNqbzFPQQ==[/video_player] As the S&P consolidates let’s look at the important price levels based on volume to keep an eye on. Usually when these levels break the first move isn’t the last. Here’s what to look out for heading into the unemployment numbers tomorrow…

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Using Multiple Timeframes for Intraday

[video_player type=”youtube” youtube_remove_logo=”Y” width=”853″ height=”480″ align=”center” margin_top=”0″ margin_bottom=”20″]aHR0cHM6Ly95b3V0dS5iZS82X0tEZUpkd0d0Zw==[/video_player] In order to become a consistent TheoTrader learn how to identify trends in the market. In tonight’s video let’s use multiple time frame analysis to identify where the current trend is and how you can use it during your trading this week.

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In a Myriad of Risks, Efficiency Looms Large

[video_player type=”youtube” youtube_remove_logo=”Y” width=”853″ height=”480″ align=”center” margin_top=”0″ margin_bottom=”20″]aHR0cHM6Ly95b3V0dS5iZS9kcG52TmN0eWFpdw==[/video_player] There are two types of volatility in the market historical and implied. The big difference between the two is implied volatility is forward looking. Implied volatility tells you what the markets expects to happen going forward. Here are the opportunities when the market becomes too efficient…

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Are You Seeing This Risk?

[video_player type=”youtube” youtube_remove_logo=”Y” width=”853″ height=”480″ align=”center” margin_top=”0″ margin_bottom=”20″]aHR0cHM6Ly95b3V0dS5iZS8wTGJIWlZEWWFUYw==[/video_player] Let’s review historical volatility vs. implied volatility. What does each mean and why   is it important? These two market gauges are what I look to when determining market risk. You may not be seeing all this risk I am…

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Top Down Index Thoughts, and a Technical Framework

[video_player type=”youtube” youtube_remove_logo=”Y” width=”853″ height=”480″ align=”center” margin_top=”0″ margin_bottom=”20″]aHR0cHM6Ly95b3V0dS5iZS9reU1iX1JrMkc1Zw==[/video_player] The indexes continue to battle back and forth in a tight range. Let’s turn our attention to stocks that have gone vertical and what typically happens after that…

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Getting Short the 830 pound AMZN Gorilla

[video_player type=”youtube” youtube_remove_logo=”Y” width=”853″ height=”480″ align=”center” margin_top=”0″ margin_bottom=”20″]aHR0cHM6Ly95b3V0dS5iZS9GU1c3QmlBS1ZOMA==[/video_player] Watch tonight’s video for a TheoTrade idea. AMZN is displaying a 2 standard deviation move to the upside in the last 10 trading sessions making the stock movement statistically significant whereby providing a contrarian setup.  Additionally, market technicians Jeff Bierman and Doc Severson have pointed out the RSI Laguerre is displaying highly overbought and the Fractal Energy displays the stock has run out of momentum in this most recent advance. Here’s the trade…

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Loving the Levels but Short Japan!

[video_player type=”youtube” youtube_remove_logo=”Y” width=”853″ height=”480″ align=”center” margin_top=”0″ margin_bottom=”20″]aHR0cHM6Ly95b3V0dS5iZS9RYWp1aGtJTjRwZw==[/video_player] Here are the levels we continue to watch intra-day. These levels have been holding for the last few weeks and once again we are at a key level. Also, let’s take a close look at a trade set up…

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Using Context in Your Charts

[video_player type=”youtube” youtube_remove_logo=”Y” width=”853″ height=”480″ align=”center” margin_top=”0″ margin_bottom=”20″]aHR0cHM6Ly95b3V0dS5iZS9uQUl6TEl6T3BSOA==[/video_player] Most traders love charts, but most traders are using charts wrong. In tonight’s video report let’s review the right way to use charts. Adding context to your charts will keep you ahead of opportunities and help you avoid the pitfalls that trap other traders…

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Is This Juice Worth the Squeeze?

[video_player type=”youtube” youtube_remove_logo=”Y” width=”853″ height=”480″ align=”center” margin_top=”0″ margin_bottom=”20″]aHR0cHM6Ly95b3V0dS5iZS9seUUxY1E2emszbw==[/video_player] You need to ask yourself how much risk do you want to take in the short duration? The expected moves are just based on probability. Options premium is being suppressed across the board. What happens when we wake up one day to a spike in volatility? This seems to be happening more frequently. The risks are out there here’s how to prepare for the upcoming week…

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Don Kaufman Don Kaufman

TheoTrade co-founder, former CBOE market maker and thinkorswim Chief Derivatives Instructor.

Read Don's full bio


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