[video_player type=”youtube” youtube_remove_logo=”Y” width=”853″ height=”480″ align=”center” margin_top=”0″ margin_bottom=”20″]aHR0cHM6Ly95b3V0dS5iZS9LaklRTUF0TnZMWQ==[/video_player] A fun fact for TheoTraders – real volatility in the market is now at an historic low. Never before has the market seen less movement and today was no different with the indexes moving 0%. In a market like this you need to look at specific stocks for set ups. Tonight I’ll share with you my contrarian scan. Here’s the thinkorswim shared link: http://tos.mx/e0aK32 The scan has produced 4 candidates for us. My favorite stock on the list to setup a short trade is FB. Let’s take a look at why from a statistical and technical perspective. For those of you who need to review our TheoTrade indicators go here to get them for free and watch how to use them: https://theotrade.com/revolutionary-indicators-replay/

[video_player type=”youtube” youtube_remove_logo=”Y” width=”853″ height=”480″ align=”center” margin_top=”0″ margin_bottom=”20″]aHR0cHM6Ly95b3V0dS5iZS9zdnk4Q2l0RWx2MA==[/video_player] The markets continue to hang on every word from the Fed. The Fed is very unlikely to change monetary policy until December. What that means is a continuation of historic low interest rates and no change in the status quo. However, let’s review some exhaustion signs from the market and see what opportunities are ahead…

[video_player type=”youtube” youtube_remove_logo=”Y” width=”853″ height=”480″ align=”center” margin_top=”0″ margin_bottom=”20″]aHR0cHM6Ly95b3V0dS5iZS9PVHgtMlVnLWpEVQ==[/video_player] Free Online Seminar The Next Big Short with Don Kaufman Wednesday, September 7th at 8 PM New York Time / 7 PM Central https://theotrade.com/short/ Thanks to the Volker rule in the Dodd-Frank Bill big banks need to dynamically hedge their positions. This means when the market goes up they need to buy S&P Futures into the rally and when markets go down they need to sell S&P Futures into the sell off. We have seen the last several weeks big volume coming into the S&P Futures market around the key levels 2160 and 2180. So what does all this mean? Watch this extended weekend edition to find out…

[video_player type=”youtube” youtube_remove_logo=”Y” width=”853″ height=”480″ align=”center” margin_top=”0″ margin_bottom=”20″]aHR0cHM6Ly95b3V0dS5iZS95OGV4ZkYxTmNYbw==[/video_player] Today’s trading day is a great example of having the ability to look over the shoulder of an experienced trader. Let’s look at a clip from this morning’s room session with Don Kaufman. Then if you’d like to join TheoTrade’s live trading chat room here’s a special (35% off) one time offer link to use: https://theotrade.com/totaltheo September, historically, is the most volatile month of the year. Have an experienced trader at your side. Let’s not forget that tomorrow is the jobs report announcement. This is last one before the Fed meets in a few weeks. Let’s see where the announcement can drive markets tomorrow…

[video_player type=”youtube” youtube_remove_logo=”Y” width=”853″ height=”480″ align=”center” margin_top=”0″ margin_bottom=”20″]aHR0cHM6Ly95b3V0dS5iZS9wTWdncG5YbWg4Yw==[/video_player] We have been warning TheoTraders about the 2160 level all month. Again we saw heavy volume come in today at that level. To the upside the 2180 level has been the one to watch. I do expect to see us break that range after Friday with the unemployment numbers being the catalyst. The only question is which way will the market break…

[video_player type=”youtube” youtube_remove_logo=”Y” width=”853″ height=”480″ align=”center” margin_top=”0″ margin_bottom=”20″]aHR0cHM6Ly95b3V0dS5iZS9fNDBYaUh3Mzlaaw==[/video_player] With unemployment numbers on Friday, ahead of Labor Day, we need to ask ourselves what would generate the greatest pain for the most investors? Because the market always targets that which causes the greatest pain point. Markets move because they have to. Let’s look at where the pain points may be…

[video_player type=”youtube” youtube_remove_logo=”Y” width=”853″ height=”480″ align=”center” margin_top=”0″ margin_bottom=”20″]aHR0cHM6Ly95b3V0dS5iZS96bXhkQ1dwdjVFMA==[/video_player] While the stock market continues to be stuck in a tight range the bonds exploded higher today. This should be hurting the financial sector yet earlier in the Bank of America (BAC) was up more than 1%. Here’s the short BAC trade idea we took today…

[video_player type=”youtube” youtube_remove_logo=”Y” width=”853″ height=”480″ align=”center” margin_top=”0″ margin_bottom=”20″]aHR0cHM6Ly95b3V0dS5iZS9kYVAyUjNGMUx6MA==[/video_player] Friday saw the highest volume day since Brexit. High volume days happen during volatility spikes. Next week we look towards the unemployment numbers. This will be last unemployment report until the Fed makes their September rate decision. Let’s take a look at a few charts that are showcasing risk in the market…

[video_player type=”youtube” youtube_remove_logo=”Y” width=”853″ height=”480″ align=”center” margin_top=”0″ margin_bottom=”20″]aHR0cHM6Ly95b3V0dS5iZS9kd0ZqMjJRNFpfbw==[/video_player] The markets look to Janet Yellen’s Jackson Hole speech tomorrow. This non-event has turned into event since Ben Bernanke’s 2010 speech where he announced quantitative easing. Unless there is some major change in monetary policy from Yellen tomorrow I would expect a continuation of low volatility. Here’s what I like to do in a low volatility environment…

[video_player type=”youtube” youtube_remove_logo=”Y” width=”853″ height=”480″ align=”center” margin_top=”0″ margin_bottom=”20″]aHR0cHM6Ly95b3V0dS5iZS9CQkkwZ0c0SzBZZw==[/video_player] First real movement in weeks today. Janet Yellen is speaking at Jackson Hole on Friday and it seems many of the major sectors are preparing for that speech. Take a look at the financials with implied volatility higher than the indexes. Also, let’s burst the myth that all options decay over time. Implied volatility on the SPX options that expire in 2 days are higher than it was yesterday. IV on the SPX is higher this week than any other week for the next several expiration cycles. The market is seeing risk here and now! Here’s what to expect this week…