Free TheoVideo Report® Archives - Page 261 of 267

Massive Market Divergence

March 7, 2016

Massive Market Divergence [video_player type=”youtube” youtube_remove_logo=”Y” width=”640″ height=”360″ align=”center” margin_top=”0″ margin_bottom=”20″]aHR0cHM6Ly95b3V0dS5iZS82UE1tLW1Xdmt2WQ==[/video_player] Massive market divergence in today’s market action. We saw the FANG stocks – FB, AMZN, NFLX, and GOOGL get clobbered while the rest of the market was relatively stable. Keep in mind these are the 4 stocks that led the market higher. If these stocks aren’t leading the way which stocks are going to lead the overall market higher? Currently there aren’t any stock raising there heads. So is the volatility over? Let’s take a look.

Short the SPY ETF

March 5, 2016

Short the SPY ETF [video_player type=”youtube” youtube_remove_logo=”Y” width=”640″ height=”360″ align=”center” margin_top=”0″ margin_bottom=”20″]aHR0cHM6Ly95b3V0dS5iZS93N3JMOW1xZ2lqWQ==[/video_player] You can view your short positions as being short the SPY ETF. Let’s review the positions that are on and what to expect next week. There is one big news announcement that is keeping the expected move juiced up in the SPX. That is the ECB announcement as central banks around the world race to the bottom. I’ll be sharing one of my favorite iron condor strategies on Wednesday March 9, 2016. For member the class is included with your membership. For non-members – you can register for only the class or sign up for the TotalTheo membership.

Profit Taking Friday?

March 3, 2016

Profit Taking Friday [video_player type=”youtube” youtube_remove_logo=”Y” width=”640″ height=”360″ align=”center” margin_top=”0″ margin_bottom=”20″]aHR0cHM6Ly95b3V0dS5iZS9COXBkMUhwd1pYOA==[/video_player] Will there be profit taking on Friday? Anything can happen with the unemployment report in the morning, but let’s dive into where we are in these markets. In 15 trading day the S&P is up 10% and has come into an important resistance level. You would expect bulls may find this a good place to take profits. If there are buyers who want to get long you would expect them to wait for a pull back with extended prices. The metal stocks have seen a huge resurgence. Let’s take a look at some of those metal stocks.

SPX Expected Move

March 2, 2016

SPX Expected Move [video_player type=”youtube” width=”640″ height=”360″ align=”center” margin_top=”0″ margin_bottom=”20″]aHR0cHM6Ly95b3V0dS5iZS9hbHYtSGxuc1dXYw==[/video_player] The SPX expected move is telling us exactly what the market is doing – nothing. The weekly options for the SPX is telling us that the market is waiting for the unemployment numbers that will be released Friday morning. Let’s review what to expect when the market expects nothing.

Stock Market Recovery

March 1, 2016

Stock Market Recovery [video_player type=”youtube” youtube_remove_logo=”Y” width=”640″ height=”360″ align=”center” margin_top=”0″ margin_bottom=”20″]aHR0cHM6Ly95b3V0dS5iZS9jY1JBY0U1Wm5hMA==[/video_player] Stock market breakout and tonight we turn our attention to how much of can the stock market recover. Bonds broke down and the trend line. This now means real money is flowing from Bonds into stocks. However, it is difficult to make a case for chasing stocks here. There has been a very big run up in stocks. Markets don’t go up forever. Let’s look at some key levels tonight.

Low Trading Volume

February 29, 2016

Low Trading Volume [video_player type=”youtube” youtube_remove_logo=”Y” width=”640″ height=”360″ align=”center” margin_top=”0″ margin_bottom=”20″]aHR0cHM6Ly95b3V0dS5iZS9KNlpyZHEtdXVvaw==[/video_player] The stock market is marred by low trading volume across the board whether we look at futures or individual stocks. This is risky for the market because the market will move on any news. If you’re into patterns the bond market is has a bearish wedge pattern setting up. Conversely the XLF, the financials ETF, has a bullish wedge pattern. Because the pattern is so noticeable I have hard time believing that if every trader is looking at it that it will materialize. Look for weakness in the Russell this coming week. The RUT has been the leader – first down then back up. Keep a close eye on the RUT this week if it breaks the Nasdaq will follow.

SPX Weekly Options

February 27, 2016

SPX Weekly Options [video_player type=”youtube” youtube_remove_logo=”Y” width=”640″ height=”360″ align=”center” margin_top=”0″ margin_bottom=”20″]aHR0cHM6Ly95b3V0dS5iZS9LaUtJdVJ6cFE2Yw==[/video_player] SPX Weekly Options now have 2 weekly options per week. Yes I know it’s confusing. There is now a mid week SPX expiration to go along with the end of week expiration. They did this to match up the SPX with the volatility futures. Let’s take a look at the probabilities in the SPX over the next week. The mid week expiration gives us more information. For example, we can see how much premium is built into the Friday expiration because of the unemployment numbers. The financials have a lot of premium built into them because of the unemployment numbers. The economy is facing a lot of headwinds and the central banks around the world are doing everything they can to keep the world markets propped up. Let’s see where the risk is.

Stock Market Sectors Performance

February 25, 2016

Stock Market Sectors Performance [video_player type=”youtube” youtube_remove_logo=”Y” width=”640″ height=”360″ align=”center” margin_top=”0″ margin_bottom=”20″]aHR0cHM6Ly95b3V0dS5iZS9KLUhUQjdWTHFrMA==[/video_player] How are the difference stock market sectors performing with the SPX rising to its highest level since the first week of the year? The SPX is in a make or break area. This level has failed twice already and now the SPX could either make it’s way to 2000 or fail a third time. Let’s look at the sectors of the stock market using the ETFs. An ETF is a basket of stocks and looking at sector ETFs will give us a great gage of the market.

Oil Leads Market Higher

February 24, 2016

Oil Leads Market Higher [video_player type=”youtube” youtube_remove_logo=”Y” width=”640″ height=”360″ align=”center” margin_top=”0″ margin_bottom=”20″]aHR0cHM6Ly95b3V0dS5iZS9BTjBST2tBYnRhYw==[/video_player] Oil leads the market higher today after the oil report comes out. The market reversal blew through a key level in the S&P at 1911. The next level to watch is 1934. If the S&P can break through that then I would expect 2000 to be in play. Keep this in mind as you’re setting up your positions and determining your risk. If you’re short decide now if you can withstand a move to S&P 2000. If not adjust your risk. In tonight’s member coaching session I’ll be discussing the risk array in the analyze tab so you understand your risk.

Stocks and Bonds Inverse Relationship

February 23, 2016

Stocks and Bonds Inverse Relationship [video_player type=”youtube” youtube_remove_logo=”Y” width=”640″ height=”360″ align=”center” margin_top=”0″ margin_bottom=”20″]aHR0cHM6Ly95b3V0dS5iZS9vb1JxRWFGb01UTQ==[/video_player] The stocks and bonds inverse relationship holds up today. As we look at the stock sell off and bond rally a bit closer we see that the market is acting very orderly. The market is doing what you would expect and the problem is the market rarely does what you expect. Here are pitfalls to be aware of as we continue into the trading week.

	Today
08.00	OJ & Mac \| Overnight review \| FREE SESSION 08.30 09.20 Don Kaufman \| Early volatility 09.20 10.30 Jeff Bierman \| Market structure 10.30 11.30 Brandon Chapman \| Ghost Hour 11.30 12.30 Gianni Di Poce \| Macro overview 12.30 13.15 Corey Rosenbloom \| Options tactics 13.15 14.00
09.00
10.00
11.00
12.00
13.00
14.00	Tony Rago \| Futures Trading 14.00 15.00
15.00	Blake Young & Mac Holbrook \| Market wrap 15.00 16.00

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