Free TheoVideo Report® Archives - Page 262 of 267

Bear Market Coming

February 22, 2016

Bear Market Coming [video_player type=”youtube” youtube_remove_logo=”Y” width=”640″ height=”360″ align=”center” margin_top=”0″ margin_bottom=”20″]aHR0cHM6Ly95b3V0dS5iZS9KUmxJVE9aUTZCMA==[/video_player] Round 2 of the bear market is coming. First let’s look at the S&P futures that today saw the lowest volume of the year. Over the weekend I talked about how we needed more of a rally to squeeze traders out of their positions. Today we have come to a formidable level where the S&P is having a tough time getting through. Keep an eye on the 1945 level in the S&P Futures. What really concerns me is the bonds though. The bonds are just not backing off today despite the rally in the market. This combined with the low volume tells me that traders are not pulling money out of the safe haven of the bond market and putting it to work in the stock market. Let’s take a look at a few trades I set up today.

Volatility in the Stock Market

February 20, 2016

Volatility in the Stock Market [video_player type=”youtube” youtube_remove_logo=”Y” width=”640″ height=”360″ align=”center” margin_top=”0″ margin_bottom=”20″]aHR0cHM6Ly95b3V0dS5iZS9rbVVLaWdsNU5mWQ==[/video_player] Here’s how TheoTrade has traded with the volatility in the stock market. This week we closed out winning trades in AMZN, EEM, and SPX. Let’s look to next week and what we expect. There is a strong possibility of there being a little bit more of a short covering rally before the next leg down happens. As we look at the implied volatility in the indexes and key industries there are a few things we need to take note of. First, the SPX implied volatility is at the lowest this coming week as it has been since the beginning of the year. Monday will not be the time to sell premium in the indexes. Look for strategies that can take advantage of an increase in implied volatility thoughout the week. However, we look at financials with the

Stock Rally Over

February 18, 2016

Stock Rally Over [video_player type=”youtube” youtube_remove_logo=”Y” width=”640″ height=”360″ align=”center” margin_top=”0″ margin_bottom=”20″]aHR0cHM6Ly95b3V0dS5iZS9jTElRYkNiaHVYcw==[/video_player] Is the stock rally over? After a 3 day rally stocks pulled back today. The Nasdaq COMP saw the biggest pullback. The Nasdaq was led lower by aapl, amzn, fb, googl, and nflx. At one time these stocks were leading the Nasdaq higher and now they are leading the Nasdaq lower. Also, today we saw bonds and gold snap back higher.

Risk Reward Trading

February 17, 2016

Risk Reward Trading [video_player type=”youtube” youtube_remove_logo=”Y” width=”640″ height=”360″ align=”center” margin_top=”0″ margin_bottom=”20″]aHR0cHM6Ly95b3V0dS5iZS9lSEx3WWlQNHpKWQ==[/video_player] Analyzing risk reward is vital for any trader to give themselves the best probability of success. In tonight’s video we look at the Nasdaq futures. The market has seen 3 days of the rip your head off short covering rally. Now is their more risk we go down then go up? I think so. Here’s how I look risk reward. In this example I’m going to use Nasdaq Futures.

Stock Market Rally

February 16, 2016

Stock Market Rally [video_player type=”youtube” youtube_remove_logo=”Y” width=”640″ height=”360″ align=”center” margin_top=”0″ margin_bottom=”20″]aHR0cHM6Ly95b3V0dS5iZS9ENmtFaVdXcnVqYw==[/video_player] The stock market rally in the last two days has been the most intense we have seen in a while. This is what a strong short covering rally looks like. Oil’s low was at $26 on Thursday while the S&P was making a new 52 week low. Since then oil has rallied more than 10% with the S&P rally. Bonds is notable that it has fallen off the highs decently. Do not write off bonds though because another sell off in stocks will lead to new highs in bonds. Did gold have an island top? Let’s take a look. The next dip is what we should watch. Will the dip be orderly and make a higher low or will it be heavy and take out the lows.

Sell Options Premium

February 12, 2016

Sell Options Premium [video_player type=”youtube” youtube_remove_logo=”Y” width=”640″ height=”360″ align=”center” margin_top=”0″ margin_bottom=”20″]aHR0cHM6Ly95b3V0dS5iZS9va1o2SS1lZ3Bydw==[/video_player] This is a premium sellers dream market. Volatility remains very high and now is the time to sell options premium. Nasdaq divergence continues to play out. We have seen the Nasdaq be the weakest index on down days and not rally as much as the other indexes on up days. EWJ is one trade I like right now. You can either buy the ETF or buy a delta 100 option, but follow these guidelines.

Any Hope for a Rally?

February 11, 2016

Any Hope for a Rally? [video_player type=”youtube” youtube_remove_logo=”Y” width=”640″ height=”360″ align=”center” margin_top=”0″ margin_bottom=”20″]aHR0cHM6Ly95b3V0dS5iZS9ESU16R0RDWjNmbw==[/video_player] Stocks continue to sell off today as recession fears grow. Let’s take a look to see if there’s any hope for a rally before the 3 day weekend. There are a few rays of hope that bulls can point to. Albeit very slim rays of hope. One is the 1800 level in the SPX has once again hold. This the 4th time since 2013 that level has held. Also, bonds after a spike high to nearly 171 backed off significantly. Every rally has been sold so if you need a rally to get out of a position don’t wait long if we get one.

Recession 2016

February 10, 2016

Recession 2016 [video_player type=”youtube” youtube_remove_logo=”Y” width=”640″ height=”360″ align=”center” margin_top=”0″ margin_bottom=”20″]aHR0cHM6Ly95b3V0dS5iZS8tUklHQzlKXzFBWQ==[/video_player] More and more evidence of a recession in 2016 seems to be rearing it’s ugly head. Bonds are screaming higher which is a tell tale sign that the market is thinking recession. Meanwhile financials are officially in a bear market. I keep watching the implied volatility in the XLF and that tells you something is lurking beneath the surface of this market. Everything I look at is screaming risk right now.

Sell Rallies

February 9, 2016

Sell Rallies [video_player type=”youtube” youtube_remove_logo=”Y” width=”640″ height=”360″ align=”center” margin_top=”0″ margin_bottom=”20″]aHR0cHM6Ly95b3V0dS5iZS9pRWQ1V2tNQXVDYw==[/video_player] Sell Rallies continues to be the theme of the stock market. This fragile market can not get a rally going. What kind of opportunities are in this type of market. Right now there are two types. One, there are several names that are showing strength in spite of the market sell off. These are consumer stables that are seeing the benefit of sector rotation into the safer names. The other opportunity is a snap back rally in some of the better names that are out there. These are the names that may participate the most in a big snap back rally. However, don’t overstay your welcome. All rallies have been sold so it’s important to time these trades getting in and out of them quickly.

XLF Volatility Signals Fears

February 8, 2016

XLF Volatility Signals Fears [video_player type=”youtube” youtube_remove_logo=”Y” width=”640″ height=”360″ align=”center” margin_top=”0″ margin_bottom=”20″]aHR0cHM6Ly95b3V0dS5iZS9xekZIbWtnTnIwRQ==[/video_player] XLF volatility signals fear is at an extreme. The implied volatility is telling anyone looking to stay away from the long side of this market. It is also telling us is that no longer risk is here, but here to stay. The XLF IV% is over 30% for the foreseeable future. There is something going on that is much bigger in the financials than the rest of the market. The bond market is doing nothing less than exploding to the upside. The bonds are already trading like Armageddon. Volatility is here to stay for at least the rest of the year and probably into 2017.

	Today
08.00	OJ & Mac \| Overnight review \| FREE SESSION 08.30 09.20 Don Kaufman \| Early volatility 09.20 10.30 Jeff Bierman \| Market structure 10.30 11.30 Brandon Chapman \| Ghost Hour 11.30 12.30 Gianni Di Poce \| Macro overview 12.30 13.15 Corey Rosenbloom \| Options tactics 13.15 14.00
09.00
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11.00
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14.00	Tony Rago \| Futures Trading 14.00 15.00
15.00	Blake Young & Mac Holbrook \| Market wrap 15.00 16.00

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