Sell Options Premium

Sell Options Premium [video_player type=”youtube” youtube_remove_logo=”Y” width=”640″ height=”360″ align=”center” margin_top=”0″ margin_bottom=”20″]aHR0cHM6Ly95b3V0dS5iZS9va1o2SS1lZ3Bydw==[/video_player] This is a premium sellers dream market. Volatility remains very high and now is the time to sell options premium. Nasdaq divergence continues to play out. We have seen the Nasdaq be the weakest index on down days and not rally as much as the other indexes on up days. EWJ is one trade I like right now. You can either buy the ETF or buy a delta 100 option, but follow these guidelines.

Read More »

Any Hope for a Rally?

Any Hope for a Rally? [video_player type=”youtube” youtube_remove_logo=”Y” width=”640″ height=”360″ align=”center” margin_top=”0″ margin_bottom=”20″]aHR0cHM6Ly95b3V0dS5iZS9ESU16R0RDWjNmbw==[/video_player] Stocks continue to sell off today as recession fears grow. Let’s take a look to see if there’s any hope for a rally before the 3 day weekend. There are a few rays of hope that bulls can point to. Albeit very slim rays of hope. One is the 1800 level in the SPX has once again hold. This the 4th time since 2013 that level has held. Also, bonds after a spike high to nearly 171 backed off significantly. Every rally has been sold so if you need a rally to get out of a position don’t wait long if we get one.

Read More »

Recession 2016

Recession 2016 [video_player type=”youtube” youtube_remove_logo=”Y” width=”640″ height=”360″ align=”center” margin_top=”0″ margin_bottom=”20″]aHR0cHM6Ly95b3V0dS5iZS8tUklHQzlKXzFBWQ==[/video_player] More and more evidence of a recession in 2016 seems to be rearing it’s ugly head. Bonds are screaming higher which is a tell tale sign that the market is thinking recession. Meanwhile financials are officially in a bear market. I keep watching the implied volatility in the XLF and that tells you something is lurking beneath the surface of this market. Everything I look at is screaming risk right now.

Read More »

Sell Rallies

Sell Rallies [video_player type=”youtube” youtube_remove_logo=”Y” width=”640″ height=”360″ align=”center” margin_top=”0″ margin_bottom=”20″]aHR0cHM6Ly95b3V0dS5iZS9pRWQ1V2tNQXVDYw==[/video_player] Sell Rallies continues to be the theme of the stock market. This fragile market can not get a rally going. What kind of opportunities are in this type of market. Right now there are two types. One, there are several names that are showing strength in spite of the market sell off. These are consumer stables that are seeing the benefit of sector rotation into the safer names. The other opportunity is a snap back rally in some of the better names that are out there. These are the names that may participate the most in a big snap back rally. However, don’t overstay your welcome. All rallies have been sold so it’s important to time these trades getting in and out of them quickly.

Read More »

XLF Volatility Signals Fears

XLF Volatility Signals Fears [video_player type=”youtube” youtube_remove_logo=”Y” width=”640″ height=”360″ align=”center” margin_top=”0″ margin_bottom=”20″]aHR0cHM6Ly95b3V0dS5iZS9xekZIbWtnTnIwRQ==[/video_player] XLF volatility signals fear is at an extreme. The implied volatility is telling anyone looking to stay away from the long side of this market. It is also telling us is that no longer risk is here, but here to stay. The XLF IV% is over 30% for the foreseeable future. There is something going on that is much bigger in the financials than the rest of the market. The bond market is doing nothing less than exploding to the upside. The bonds are already trading like Armageddon. Volatility is here to stay for at least the rest of the year and probably into 2017.

Read More »

Stock Market Divergences

Stock Market Divergences [video_player type=”youtube” youtube_remove_logo=”Y” width=”640″ height=”360″ align=”center” margin_top=”0″ margin_bottom=”20″]aHR0cHM6Ly95b3V0dS5iZS9zSnhiT3RuY2lQOA==[/video_player] Stock market divergence is taking center stage with the Nasdaq still outperforming the RUT and S&P by a wide margin. Eventually the indexes will have to get back in alignment before the bear market is over. Let’s also take a look at the high volatility in the XLF. In tonight’s video you’ll also find out: Why I think XLE has bottomed. What position I’m taking in AMZN.

Read More »

Commodities Go Up

Commodities Go Up [video_player type=”youtube” youtube_remove_logo=”Y” width=”640″ height=”360″ align=”center” margin_top=”0″ margin_bottom=”20″]aHR0cHM6Ly95b3V0dS5iZS9NYjFPYTVWbnQxMA==[/video_player] Commodities go up today with the dollar imploding. What you need to know about gold, oil, bonds, and stocks going into Friday.

Read More »

Stock Market Levels

Stock Market Levels [video_player type=”youtube” youtube_remove_logo=”Y” width=”640″ height=”360″ align=”center” margin_top=”0″ margin_bottom=”20″]aHR0cHM6Ly95b3V0dS5iZS9IZDJZZENfblBpNA==[/video_player] Stock market levels are important to keep on your screen. We have been pointing out the significance of the 1871 level in the S&P for quite some time. Today the sharp sell off stopped at the 1871 level and rallied. The financial stocks represented by the XLF sold off to new lows before the rally.

Read More »

Stock Sell Off

Stock Sell Off [video_player type=”youtube” youtube_remove_logo=”Y” width=”640″ height=”360″ align=”center” margin_top=”0″ margin_bottom=”20″]aHR0cHM6Ly95b3V0dS5iZS83UkRNbHVmdy1WTQ==[/video_player] As predicted the selling the broader market resumed today with the Bond markets exploding to the upside. Fear is in the air but the volatility index is still not reacting to what has amounted to heavy selling across all sectors and the financials seeing a nearly 3% decline.

Read More »

GOOGL Earnings

GOOGL Earnings [video_player type=”youtube” youtube_remove_logo=”Y” width=”560″ height=”315″ align=”center” margin_top=”0″ margin_bottom=”20″]aHR0cHM6Ly95b3V0dS5iZS9OTUJSdFA3bHRMaw==[/video_player] GOOGL earnings makes Google or Alphabet, Inc is the new 800lb gorilla. The largest company by market cap! Can GOOGL lead the markets higher? We will soon see. The risks in this market is vast. Let’s go through them one by one tonight.

Read More »
Don Kaufman Don Kaufman

TheoTrade co-founder, former CBOE market maker and thinkorswim Chief Derivatives Instructor.

Read Don's full bio


Most Recent

The Boeing Rule That Cost Me $4,000
My First 2 Trades Were Winners. Then Came the Hard Part.
Where Big Money Leaves a Fair Value Gap on the Nasdaq
What Bailing Early Cost My Trading Room
Where the Real Selloff Starts

Get educational market insights sent right to your inbox.