Free TheoVideo Report® Archives - Page 268 of 271

Selling Premium Weekly Options

January 31, 2016

Selling Premium Weekly Options [video_player type=”youtube” youtube_remove_logo=”Y” width=”560″ height=”315″ align=”center” margin_top=”0″ margin_bottom=”20″]aHR0cHM6Ly95b3V0dS5iZS9ZcUxzMzdhUXh6TQ==[/video_player] Selling Premium in Weekly Options has been what’s out there. The SPX last week stayed within the expected move. Ideal for premium sellers. So what to expect next week? I’ve been watching the SKEW which has dropped off significantly. I’m interpreting this as traders are reloading for the next down move. I also like to look at the VVIX which is the volatility of the volatility. This sank to a 2 month low and another sign of traders reloading for the next down move. Once again the financials are showing much higher implied volatility than the SPX. The XLF 5 day options has significant backwardation versus the further out options. There may be a few more days of short covering, but get ready for more volatility.

Treasury Notes

January 28, 2016

Treasury Notes [video_player type=”youtube” youtube_remove_logo=”Y” width=”560″ height=”315″ align=”center” margin_top=”0″ margin_bottom=”20″]aHR0cHM6Ly95b3V0dS5iZS94SER4c0ZxdkkyOA==[/video_player] Treasury notes is where a lot of the flight to safety money goes. We will continue to keep an eye on where institutional investors are going to put their money to work. So far bonds are holding strong. Also, tonight we will take a look at a lot of stocks with earnings.

FOMC Announcement Sparks Selloff

January 27, 2016

FOMC Sparks Selloff [video_player type=”youtube” youtube_remove_logo=”Y” width=”560″ height=”315″ align=”center” margin_top=”0″ margin_bottom=”20″]aHR0cHM6Ly95b3V0dS5iZS94UnlaOFZWMVJ1Yw==[/video_player] The FOMC announcement sparks a sell off in stocks today. The FOMC announcement shows a 180 in policy from only 6 weeks ago when they raised rates for the first time in 9 years. The sell off in stocks led to another spike in volatility. The Fed indicates a slow down in the economy and that their policy of 4 rate hikes in 2016 may be on hold. A case where bad news may really be bad news for the stock market. The tech heavy Nasdaq leads the decline today with AAPL near 52 week lows.

Will the Lows Hold

January 26, 2016

Will the Lows Hold? [video_player type=”youtube” youtube_remove_logo=”Y” width=”560″ height=”315″ align=”center” margin_top=”0″ margin_bottom=”20″]aHR0cHM6Ly95b3V0dS5iZS90Y0g4SVlxaHVNMA==[/video_player] What are the odds the SPX lows hold? We can use the chain to determine what the probability a strike price will be in the money by expiration. That will tell us the probability of the lows being tested or broken. There’s a lot of news coming out in the next week. The FOMC will make their first announcement since raising rates in December. Will they live up to their promise of 4 rate hikes in 2016 or has the market action of the last few weeks spooked the Fed?

XLF Stock Watch

January 25, 2016

XLF Stock Watch [video_player type=”youtube” youtube_remove_logo=”Y” width=”560″ height=”315″ align=”center” margin_top=”0″ margin_bottom=”20″]aHR0cHM6Ly95b3V0dS5iZS91N1czT2xkdkJPdw==[/video_player] The market gave up most of the gains from Friday as each rally is met with a new wave of sellers. In a volatile market predictability goes out the window. All I’m doing is selling out of the money premium and that’s all I’m recommending right now. The most ominous aspect of the market I’m watching is the financials. Yes, they are taking a bigger hit than the rest of the market. However, what is really concerning is the implied volatility in the XLF. There is some underlying risk that is being displayed by the XLF. The question has to be asked why are the financials have such a significant more risk than the S&P or even tech.

Bear Market Rally

January 23, 2016

Bear Market Rally [video_player type=”youtube” youtube_remove_logo=”Y” width=”560″ height=”315″ align=”center” margin_top=”0″ margin_bottom=”20″]aHR0cHM6Ly95b3V0dS5iZS80LXkwQ2M5Qmh3NA==[/video_player] Is this a bear market rally? I believe it is. Let’s take a look at the market divergences which are tell tale signs of a bear market. Volatility futures are still telling me risk is imminent. The most precarious area is the financials that didn’t perform as well as the rest of the market in the rally. Also, the bonds didn’t sell off. That is a sign that investors are not rotating back into stocks and that Friday’s rally was nothing more than short covering. Here’s what to do next week.

Stocks to buy

January 21, 2016

Stocks to Buy [video_player type=”youtube” youtube_remove_logo=”Y” width=”560″ height=”315″ align=”center” margin_top=”0″ margin_bottom=”20″]aHR0cHM6Ly95b3V0dS5iZS9rbl93dXd4bmVWTQ==[/video_player] Any stocks to buy? It does seem like stocks are on sale as the S&P has already hit a 52 week low. If you’re looking at stocks to buy here are some guidelines. You wanna find stocks that have shown relevant strength compared to the overall market. Here are a few example of stocks that have been able to hold up against the broader sell off.

Trading Volatility

January 20, 2016

Trading Volatility [video_player type=”youtube” youtube_remove_logo=”Y” width=”560″ height=”315″ align=”center” margin_top=”0″ margin_bottom=”20″]aHR0cHM6Ly95b3V0dS5iZS9WWG9ZYlBYTGdTcw==[/video_player] Just when it looks like it’s all over the markets rally higher. This is the type of day I’ve been looking for. The S&P Futures low of 1804 may be a short term bottom, but keep in mind the S&P was still off 20 handles today. Volatility is the name of the game and they were at the extremes today. VIX got up to 32 intra-day. Bonds spike higher to over 160. Higher bonds means lower interest rates. Lower interest rates are bad for the financials. I don’t hear anyone talking about the financials and nothing can happen without the financials.

Stocks Sell off

January 19, 2016

Stocks Sell off [video_player type=”youtube” youtube_remove_logo=”Y” width=”560″ height=”315″ align=”center” margin_top=”0″ margin_bottom=”20″]aHR0cHM6Ly95b3V0dS5iZS9GXzRWeE9kbjBRSQ==[/video_player] Strength got sold again. The market environment is one of fear and hesitation. The indexes across the board are being dragged lower and lower. Stocks aren’t able to find a support level. Each gap higher has been quickly filled. If you’re not already short this market then it’s best to keep your cash on the sideline. There is nothing to do in this market until strength is maintained for a few days. We need more evidence that there is support and willingness for traders to buy for more than a few hours intra-day.

Selling Premium

January 18, 2016

Selling Premium [video_player type=”youtube” youtube_remove_logo=”Y” width=”560″ height=”315″ align=”center” margin_top=”0″ margin_bottom=”20″]aHR0cHM6Ly95b3V0dS5iZS8wcGkzOVBPMzNQdw==[/video_player] This is a premium sellers market not a directional traders market. Everyone is eyeing volatility because that’s what will dictate this market. Yes there are some big earnings announcements this week like NFLX and a few bank stocks. The market though is broken and volatility has exploded higher. Is there any are of the market I like? As a matter fact there is. Believe it or not I like oil long. The best way to play this is using the XLE, but that’s not all. In this video I’ll compare the QQQ to XLE to show you a major divergence that has set up. This could be a great long term trade. I’ll be discussing this more in the weeks and months ahead.

	Today
09.00	Don Kaufman \| Pre-Market Prep \| FREE SESSION 09.20 09.30 Don Kaufman \| Early volatility 09.20 10.30 Jeff Bierman \| Market structure 10.30 11.30 Brandon Chapman \| Ghost Hour 11.30 12.30 Gianni Di Poce \| Macro overview 12.30 13.15 Elizabeth \| Price Action 13.15 14.00
10.00
11.00
12.00
13.00
14.00	Corey Rosenbloom \| Options tactics 14.00 15.00
15.00	Blake Young \| Market wrap 15.00 16.00

Blake Young

Corey Rosenbloom

Our Classes

Options Strategies

Day Trading

Swing Trading

Futures & Bonds

Current Masterminds

Don 0DTE Mastermind

Corey's 12-week Mastermind

Retirement Roadmap Mastermind

Matrix Key Mastermind

Today

Most Recent

Get educational market insights sent right to your inbox.