Embrace the Chop… Because the Trend Is Up

[video_player type=”embed” style=”1″ dimensions=”640×360″ width=”640″ height=”360″ align=”center” margin_top=”0″ margin_bottom=”20″ ipad_color=”black”][/video_player] Note: Gianni’s going over his entire third-quarter playbook tomorrow in his Trinity Trade “mini-masterclass.” Stocks are hanging around in slightly positive territory today, but I’m seeing a lot of choppy price action in individual names. This tells me something interesting – that there are corrections taking place… but through time instead of price. This might sound strange, but if you’ve been with me for a while, you’ll know corrections unfold both ways. That these corrections are happening in time is actually even more bullish than when prices correct back lower after a nice run higher. And that’s reflected in the big picture, too. Technology and chips are still running the tape – very bullish. Crypto is back on the upswing, signifying a risk-on appetite, and Ethereum specifically looks ready for a rip-your-face-off rally. With all that said, I’m a bit

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How to Spot a “Squeezequake” Before it Erupts

[video_player type=”embed” style=”1″ dimensions=”640×360″ width=”640″ height=”360″ align=”center” margin_top=”0″ margin_bottom=”20″ ipad_color=”black”][/video_player] These events have strange names, but the profit potential is no laughing matter. In fact, “squeezequakes,” when they happen and you spot them correctly, can be a game-changer! See, in my MasterMind class, I help traders identify what I call “Ghost Prints,” the telltale signs whales and other big market players leave behind that can point out significant options trades. These trades can create scenarios whereby you can see a “gamma squeeze” in the price of a stock. “Gamma squeeze? Ghost print? Squeezequake?” I can hear you ask. Well, this shorthand helps me define massive money-making opportunities. A gamma squeeze can happen when there are thousands of contracts bought in a hurry. Now, there’s a market maker on the other side of that trade and that market maker is exposed. That’s not a position they want to be in, so

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Big Bad Bonds Are Back

[video_player type=”embed” style=”1″ dimensions=”640×360″ width=”640″ height=”360″ align=”center” margin_top=”0″ margin_bottom=”20″ ipad_color=”black”][/video_player] Once again, we find ourselves locked in the volatility box. You remember: it’s tight, tense, and ready to snap. This time we’ve got major cracks reappearing in the bond market – the market serious traders watch but everyone else ignores until it’s on fire. Then again, serious traders understand just how systemically important bonds are, and they will threaten the S&P 500 as capital tries to rebalance in a crazy macro environment. And when I say crazy, I’m not kidding around. Thursday morning Blake Young and I watched copper – boring-#% copper, one of the most reliable economic indicator-commodities on Earth – move 3% in minutes. That’s because of tariffs. Because of a report of a “phone call” between Trump and Xi – nothing more substantive than that. Tariffs are still out there, still on the menu, and still capable

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Jobs Miss, Markets Stall, and Consumers Are Looking Shaky

[video_player type=”embed” style=”1″ dimensions=”640×360″ width=”640″ height=”360″ align=”center” margin_top=”0″ margin_bottom=”20″ ipad_color=”black”][/video_player] I spent the day watching a fragile market dance on a very thin tightrope. If you’ve been with me for a while, you’ll know how important I think monkey bars are; I use them constantly in selecting my trades. Well, the S&P 500 just rejected the 50% monkey bar level – more on that in a few, but it’s enough to say right here that this could mark the beginning of a meaningful top. We’ve got bearish divergence on the charts, softening job data, and key levels giving way.  I think the story underneath all of this is the legendary “American consumer” – that mythical creature who drives more than 70% of US GDP. Payroll processor ADP released disastrous numbers, unemployment claims look to be surging, and tomorrow, we’ve got nonfarm payrolls. If that number misses the way ADP’s did,

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Markets Are Under-pricing Risk (Dramatically)

[video_player type=”embed” style=”1″ dimensions=”640×360″ width=”640″ height=”360″ align=”center” margin_top=”0″ margin_bottom=”20″ ipad_color=”black”][/video_player] As I record this, I’m watching the S&Ps drift into the cash close with all the energy and conviction of a wet sponge. This situation puts one big blip on my radar: the market is sleepwalking into risk. Yeah, we’ve had an epic run from SPX 500 to 600, but let’s not kid ourselves… Upside from here looks like slim pickings… while downside risks look more like a yawning abyss. And I mean “massive.” We’re talking trade war rhetoric heating up, while speculators are bidding up any frothy junk that’s not nailed down. The hell of it is, volatility futures are actually pricing in fear… just not where you’d expect it, and not to the degree necessary. Again, this isn’t about getting “beared up,” it’s about acknowledging risk/reward imbalance and setting up strategic downside plays – the kind that’ll pay

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Tech and Chips Keep Leading – It’s “BTFD” Time

[video_player type=”embed” style=”1″ dimensions=”560×315″ width=”560″ height=”315″ align=”center” margin_top=”0″ margin_bottom=”20″ ipad_color=”black”][/video_player] The powerful “Great Tech Reset” continues to unfold in this market. I’m convinced; semiconductors and various key tech tickers keep breaking out of beautiful bases only to hit new highs. Broadcom (AVGO) hit our upside target, $3.4 trillion juggernaut Nvidia (NVDA) is knocking on the door of new highs, and even Microsoft (MSFT) and Netflix (NFLX) are closing in on key resistance levels, with every chance they’ll punch through. This is dragging the entire market along in a kind of “everything rally” that, if you’ve been following along with me since April, should come as no surprise. Meanwhile, in other corners of the market, we’re seeing cracks in the US dollar that could have massive implications for equities, bonds, and even crypto. (More on that, especially Ethereum, in a second – we could be looking at speculative mania here.) I

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Gold’s Warning Sign Is Back… And Flashing

[video_player type=”embed” style=”1″ dimensions=”640×360″ width=”640″ height=”360″ align=”center” margin_top=”0″ margin_bottom=”20″ ipad_color=”black”][/video_player] It was just two weeks ago that the markets’ bullish fervor came into question. The May 15, 2025 trading session saw gold (again) lead the S&P 500 in the performance stakes – in a big way. At that point, it was an indication that the rally was about to run out of gas. Today we’re seeing something similar develop. The S&P 500 is up a paltry 0.32% as of this writing, while gold is up more than 2.5%. This is the market saying “Maintaining purchasing power is more important than chasing real returns.” We can see other traces of this underlying sentiment elsewhere, like the weakness of bonds and the strength of Chinese equities. (Are countries like Japan and China in a position where they need to sell our debt to prop up their markets?) Today, the yen is strengthening

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Markets Live or Die by the Tweet Right Now

[video_player type=”embed” style=”1″ dimensions=”640×360″ width=”640″ height=”360″ align=”center” margin_top=”0″ margin_bottom=”20″ ipad_color=”black”][/video_player] We’re diving headfirst into another wild end to a holiday-shortened trading week. I’ve been pounding the table on this for days… and days now: This marketplace is no longer trading on fundamentals, it’s trading on headlines. And not just any headlines – Tweets, posts, whatever we’re calling them now on “X.” This week we got a textbook example. We rallied a hundred handles, dropped a hundred, and ended up right where we started. Those are massive moves, driven by nothing more than political rhetoric and tariff talk. (But, big picture, we haven’t moved meaningfully in three weeks, we’re just bouncing around a box like we did from November to April.) Meanwhile, the PCE – the Fed’s preferred inflation gauge – came in this morning at a four-year low. Nobody cares. It barely moved the market because the word “tariff” wasn’t

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Tariffs Are on Pause, Bonds and Tech Are in Play

[video_player type=”embed” style=”1″ dimensions=”640×360″ width=”640″ height=”360″ align=”center” margin_top=”0″ margin_bottom=”20″ ipad_color=”black”][/video_player] The markets – and the emerging “TACO trade – were jolted by headlines again. This time, the usually-obscure US Court of International Trade called a halt to many of Trump’s tariffs. Stocks surged on the news… then dropped to give back the gains… and then began to fight back into the green for the day. Still, the tech sector continues to show strength and resilience, especially in the wake of Nvidia’s (NVDA) earnings yesterday. As long as tech keeps leading, these dips are for buying. Bonds are also catching a bid; Fed Chairman Powell’s “inflationary tariffs” excuse for keeping rates high could be pitched out the window. The tantalizing prospect of cheaper money is an even stronger tailwind in tech’s sails, and that’s not the only favorable setup I see out there. Here’s what I’m looking at…

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Sentiment Enters the “Squishy Middle” – Here’s What to Do

[video_player type=”embed” style=”1″ dimensions=”640×360″ width=”640″ height=”360″ align=”center” margin_top=”0″ margin_bottom=”20″ ipad_color=”black”][/video_player] You thought you had it all under control on the bullish end yesterday… Traders bought the dip; everything was going according to plan. Suddenly it’s today – and just as suddenly… you’re not so sure. Welcome to the squishy middle of market sentiment! “The squishy middle?” you ask. Well, it means the market isn’t quite on solid footing in either direction. We’re suddenly range-bound at a higher level but with lower volatility. This may sound nice on the surface, but the lower volatility makes the market’s directional moves less exciting. In these conditions it’s all too easy to churn your account trying to catch direction… until a White House announcement or Tweet throws you (another) curveball. People are left scrambling to get on the right side of the next market-moving announcement. And that market-moving announcement might come sooner than anyone

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