[video_player type=”embed” style=”1″ dimensions=”640×360″ width=”640″ height=”360″ align=”center” margin_top=”0″ margin_bottom=”20″ ipad_color=”black”][/video_player] Holy crap…  Look, even the most cockeyed optimist would have to be looking at this market right now and going like, “I can’t believe the S&P is trading 6321.” But here’s what’s really got me fired up – we just had our second consecutive week of breaching expected moves. That’s not normal, okay? That’s manic. The Math That’s Blowing My Mind Alright, so let me break this down for you. Last week we had about a $116 expected move on the SPX. We smashed through it. This week? $72 expected move, and we’re trading 30-plus handles outside of it. You know what that tells me? The market got dramatically wrong. Twice. Look, when you start getting consecutive breaches of expected move, okay? Things are getting manic out there. You can smell it, you can taste it. Here’s What Most People

  [video_player type=”embed” style=”1″ dimensions=”640×360″ width=”640″ height=”360″ align=”center” margin_top=”0″ margin_bottom=”20″ ipad_color=”black”][/video_player]   Hey there, Blake here.  I do have favorite numbers. If you’ve been in the main room with me, you know I talk about this ad nauseum… 68, 78, 68, 78, 68, 78 for crude. [images style=”0″ image=”https%3A%2F%2Ftheotrade.com%2Fwp-content%2Fuploads%2F2025%2F07%2FScreenshot-2025-07-02-165728.png” width=”621″ align=”center” top_margin=”0″ full_width=”Y”] And guess what just happened? Crude’s prices have bounced right back into that 68 range. Here’s what nobody’s talking about: Energy doesn’t need oil to run all the way back to 78 for these companies to print money. Anything above 56 is usually profitable. Anything above 68 is HIGHLY profitable. We’re sitting at 68 right now. But here’s the kicker that’s got me fired up… These energy stocks are now paying MORE than bonds. XLE: 3.3% dividend yield Chevron: 4.6% ExxonMobil: 3.5% Compare that to the 10-year treasury at 3.83%. You’re getting the risk-free premium PLUS upside

[video_player type=”embed” style=”1″ dimensions=”640×360″ width=”640″ height=”360″ align=”center” margin_top=”0″ margin_bottom=”20″ ipad_color=”black”][/video_player] Hey there, Gianni Di Poce here.  Another day of profitable trading.  Today I booked a sweet 44% gain on Robinhood when it hit our $95 target. Not bad for the first day of Q3, right? But here’s the thing… While everyone’s freaking out about the NASDAQ struggling and semiconductors wobbling, I’m seeing something completely different. The Dow is leading today. The S&P is making a nice comeback. And yeah, we’re still in a bull market. But time’s running out. Look, I’ve been calling this the Great Tech Reset for a reason. Technology is literally one day off its all-time high, and I’m not about to change my entire thesis because of one down day. That’s not how we do things over here. But if you’ve missed this rally so far? Do NOT chase it at this point. I need you

[video_player type=”embed” style=”1″ dimensions=”640×360″ width=”640″ height=”360″ align=”center” margin_top=”0″ margin_bottom=”20″ ipad_color=”black”][/video_player] Hey there, Brandon here.  Another all-time high in the S&P… on the last trading day of the quarter. Window dressing? Maybe.  But I’m seeing something else entirely. While everyone’s celebrating fresh highs, someone just dropped $400,000 on a single bearish bet against Bank of America. 50,000 put contracts. Expiring July 11th. Here’s what makes this trade fascinating: It expires BEFORE Bank of America reports earnings on July 16th. This isn’t an earnings play. This is something else. And it’s not isolated.  Last week I tracked massive bearish positions in Wells Fargo and Morgan Stanley – all targeting prior lows, all expiring July 11th. Why July 11th? What happens before then that has smart money betting against the entire banking sector? Two words: Reciprocal tariffs. July 9th marks a critical deadline.  The tariff delay expires, and we could see significant policy

[video_player type=”embed” style=”1″ dimensions=”640×360″ width=”640″ height=”360″ align=”center” margin_top=”0″ margin_bottom=”20″ ipad_color=”black”][/video_player] Alright, traders – strap in. We are officially out of the volatility box and the complacency trade is on. The VIX is even less relevant than usual; it’s sleeping it off somewhere as we grind and churn our way to new all-time highs. We just cut off trade talks with freakin’ Canada, and the market doesn’t give a damn. TACO trade? It’s basically a footnote. Trouble is, there’s no here here. The market is a four-stock deal with Microsoft (MSFT), Nvidia (NVDA), Meta (META), Amazon (AMZN) and not much else. Last week, the SPX expected move clocked in at 115.82. This week we’re getting a compressed 3½-day cycle and there’s less wiggle room. Under these conditions, it wouldn’t take much at all for things to kick off. In this video, we’re breaking down how to actually trade into these highs.

[video_player type=”embed” style=”1″ dimensions=”640×360″ width=”640″ height=”360″ align=”center” margin_top=”0″ margin_bottom=”20″ ipad_color=”black”][/video_player] Today we’re digging into a subtle but powerful rotation that’s unfolding right under the market’s nose.  While tech has driven much of the equity strength this year, the spotlight has now shifted, and industrials, transports, and even miners are quietly stepping up. We’re seeing solid price patterns and breakouts across the board: ascending triangles in sector ETFs like IYT and XLI, bullish flags in 3M (MMM) and Honeywell (HON), and explosive momentum in Freeport (FCX) and Newmont (NEM).  It’s classic end-of-quarter window dressing, sure—but there’s real strength behind these moves.  To be clear, the volume’s light, and we’re flirting with overbought territory, but that just sets the stage for fast, tradable pops. If copper and gold confirm the move, this could be more than just a short-term trade.  Let’s chart the setups that could lead into next week’s fireworks…

[video_player type=”embed” style=”1″ dimensions=”640×360″ width=”640″ height=”360″ align=”center” margin_top=”0″ margin_bottom=”20″ ipad_color=”black”][/video_player] So, the S&Ps are flat as a pancake. We’re scraping all-time highs, we’re hugging the edge of the expected move for dear life, but this is like watching paint dry. But beneath the surface suckage there’s real opportunity. When you’re in a market that’s priced for perfection, finding the best setups can be tough, but that’s why we’re all here, right? This is exactly the kind of day that separates the pros from the passive. I’m going to show you how to trade through the slow, soul-crushing summer grind and still find high-probability setups. I’m talking Nvidia (NVDA), JPMorgan (JPM), Uber (UBER) – names that are moving big even when the index is doing next to nothing. We’re diving deep into expected move, volume drops, skew shifts and high-probability profits. Let’s get to it…

[video_player type=”embed” style=”1″ dimensions=”640×360″ width=”640″ height=”360″ align=”center” margin_top=”0″ margin_bottom=”20″ ipad_color=”black”][/video_player] Stocks are ripping higher and flirting with fresh all-time highs, thanks to a surprise ceasefire deal between Israel and Iran that appears, for now, to be holding up. Heading into yesterday’s session, it seemed to me that geopolitical tensions were peaking, and the markets’ setups seemed to agree. Now there’s “room at the table” for other catalysts. Fed honcho Powell is hinting at rate cuts, and tech stocks are beginning to break out. So it looks like the call wasn’t far-fetched at all. Once again, the “end of the world” turned out to be the ultimate bullish catalyst. And staying true to our discipline at the close saved us from a lot of unnecessary panic over the last 48 hours. As I said a moment ago, tech’s impending “reset” breakout has my attention, and crypto continues to flash opportunity after

[video_player type=”embed” style=”1″ dimensions=”640×360″ width=”640″ height=”360″ align=”center” margin_top=”0″ margin_bottom=”20″ ipad_color=”black”][/video_player] Iran and Israel have been at odds for more than 45 years, but about 10 days ago, the long-simmering conflict boiled over massively into barrage after missile barrage between the two countries – thousands of missiles have flown. Over the weekend, the US military entered the fray when it dropped as many as 14 bunker-busters and lobbed up to 24 Tomahawk cruise missiles at “sensitive” Iranian targets. Iran’s parliament has demanded the closure of the geopolitically critical Strait of Hormuz. It’s not their call, but this 21-mile-wide chokepoint sees around 20% of global crude production flow through to markets in China, India, Japan, and beyond. And as of this afternoon, there are credible reports the Iranians have attacked US military installations across the Gulf in Qatar. The markets’ overall reaction may seem muted, but, when you zoom in, it’s anything

[video_player type=”embed” style=”1″ dimensions=”640×360″ width=”640″ height=”360″ align=”center” margin_top=”0″ margin_bottom=”20″ ipad_color=”black”][/video_player] At the start of this week, I clocked a 129.03 expected move on the SPX. In a four-day trading week, no less. That’s massive. That’s just shy of absolute mayhem. That’s a trader’s dream. Too bad we didn’t get it. Not even close. Missiles are flying as we speak between Tehran and Tel Aviv and oil prices are headed north in a hurry. This geopolitical risk is sustained; this isn’t a flareup that’ll be over by Monday. There are huge spending concerns in the “Big, Beautiful Bill,” and we’re closing in on the end of that “90-day window” of tariff relief Trump talked about, well, close to 90 days ago now. Tech stocks, the secret sauce in any good rally, are coming under pressure now, too. I’m not saying this to freak you out, I’m mentioning this because any one