Does Pending Home Sales Mean a Pending Recession?

[video_player type=”embed” style=”1″ dimensions=”640×360″ width=”640″ height=”360″ align=”center” margin_top=”0″ margin_bottom=”20″ ipad_color=”black”][/video_player] In today’s video we look at pending home sales. We discuss the -1.5% pushing the pending home sales not just to an annual low but the lowest reading since the creation of the pending home sales report. We highlight the lag in existing sales report compared to pending home sales. We also discuss home builders and bond yields.

Read More »

Is an Economic Slowdown Bullish for Markets?

[video_player type=”embed” style=”1″ dimensions=”640×360″ width=”640″ height=”360″ align=”center” margin_top=”0″ margin_bottom=”20″ ipad_color=”black”][/video_player] The Magnificent 7 make up all of the S&P 500 gains in 2023. That is really incredible when you think about it. Can those 7 stocks sustain the entire market in an economic slowdown? Because right now an economic slowdown is being predicated. When you look at the Fed Futures Watch Tool rate cuts are predicated to be started as soon as March. When you look out further there’s high probability of 4 to 5 rate cuts next year. If that’s true we are looking at a severe economic slowdown next year. Will the market start to price that in this week? Let’s take a look…

Read More »

Your Stock and Sector Checklist to End November (and Enter December 2023!)

[video_player type=”embed” style=”1″ dimensions=”640×360″ width=”640″ height=”360″ align=”center” margin_top=”0″ margin_bottom=”20″ ipad_color=”black”][/video_player] We’re quickly coming to the end of 2023 and getting ready to start a fresh new year that’s a month away! In tonight’s video, we pinpoint the sector performance with the 2 strongest sectors, 3 weakest sectors, and the remainder that traded sideways this year. We also scan for the stocks showing the continual relative strength – and weakness – so far in 2023 with one more month of trading to go until a fresh new year begins.

Read More »

Buyers Beware! Bearish Read on Volatility Should Make You Nervous

[video_player type=”embed” style=”1″ dimensions=”640×360″ width=”640″ height=”360″ align=”center” margin_top=”0″ margin_bottom=”20″ ipad_color=”black”][/video_player] It’s been a great run over the past few weeks. However, the indications from the volatility markets are signaling a 5-10% correction in the coming weeks. This places a historically bullish period in the sights of market bears as we head into the end of year. (GOLD, NEM, CLF, STLD, AAL, SAVE, DAL, MARA, COIN, T)

Read More »

Markets in the Black with the Economy in the Red?

[video_player type=”embed” style=”1″ dimensions=”640×360″ width=”640″ height=”360″ align=”center” margin_top=”0″ margin_bottom=”20″ ipad_color=”black”][/video_player] -vol has been crushed, possibly too far… -one last hurrah in bonds? -does anything but the Magnificent 7 matter? -will markets hold it together till year-end? SPX Expected Move — -last week – 48.53 (3 1/2-day expected move) -next week – 46.29 (5-day expected move)

Read More »

Bad Durable Goods is Good?

[video_player type=”embed” style=”1″ dimensions=”640×360″ width=”640″ height=”360″ align=”center” margin_top=”0″ margin_bottom=”20″ ipad_color=”black”][/video_player] In today’s video we look at Durable Goods Orders as a predictor of bond prices and business cycle. We discuss other recession indicators and we discuss the expectations of another push higher in equities going in to the end of the year.

Read More »

NVDA, Tech, and Earnings in a Holiday Week – What’s in Play?

[video_player type=”embed” style=”1″ dimensions=”640×360″ width=”640″ height=”360″ align=”center” margin_top=”0″ margin_bottom=”20″ ipad_color=”black”][/video_player]   We’re seeing little movement in key tech stock NVIDIA (NVDA) after hours, at least on the initial earnings announcement. In tonight’s video, we pinpoint the price targets and then continue scanning for relative strength in a flat sideways market outside of key tech stocks. We have your update covered for you in a holiday trading week.

Read More »

Bond Breakout Lifts Stocks on Shortened Week

[video_player type=”embed” style=”1″ dimensions=”640×360″ width=”640″ height=”360″ align=”center” margin_top=”0″ margin_bottom=”20″ ipad_color=”black”][/video_player] Strong auction for 20-year U.S. Treasuries helps lift stocks to new intraday highs ahead of the Thanksgiving holiday. With NVDA set to announce earnings tomorrow AMC, the bears have a little more hope for a reversal before volumes dissipate. $NVDA, $PLTR, $MARA, $SOFI, CCJ, URNM, $AI, $NKLA.

Read More »

Is a Severe Recession Imminent?

[video_player type=”embed” style=”1″ dimensions=”640×360″ width=”640″ height=”360″ align=”center” margin_top=”0″ margin_bottom=”20″ ipad_color=”black”][/video_player] -CPI and the 2 minute week -Oil -Bonds -WMT, CSCO PANW, BABA, BIDU -VIX is a broken metric -SKEW high flyin’ SPX Expected Move – -last week – 63.82 (5-day expected move) -next week – 48.54 (3 1/2-day expected move)

Read More »

Bonds and Oil Signal Economic Threat

[video_player type=”embed” style=”1″ dimensions=”640×360″ width=”640″ height=”360″ align=”center” margin_top=”0″ margin_bottom=”20″ ipad_color=”black”][/video_player] In today’s video we look at bonds rally indicating a flight to safety and oil prices falling as a sign of destruction of demand. Additionally, we received a warning from Walmart indicating the holiday retail season would likely miss analysts expectations. This is extra concerning as the final quarter of the year usually sees 80% of all retail sales throughout the year.

Read More »

Most Recent

The Stop Price That Doesn’t Exist
Why I’m Buying Bonds Before Tomorrow
In SPY Trades, This Beats the VIX
Tuesday, September 29, 2026 – Tony’s Pre-Market Playbook
Why Oil Keeps Peaking at 11:30

Get educational market insights sent right to your inbox.