$100 Billion Pile of Risk

For the last 30 days the markets have been in a historically tight range. Whether the market breaks out to the upside or the downside TheoTraders need to be comfortable with the risk they have on.

Conditions for Reversals and Long Calendars

TheoTraders know how to identify situations where stocks are at an exhaustion and volatility is going to increase. What we like to do is go long calendar spreads in these situations. If you're new to spreads and calendars check out the Options 201 class: Vertical and Calendar Spread Essentials. You can get this 5 part…

GOOGL Technicals Pointing Towards a Sell-Off

Jeff Bierman joins TheoTrade today. Jeff brings his extensive background in fundamental and technical analysis to TheoTrade. He spent 8 years at thinkorswim and then TD Ameritrade. With Jeff's help TheoTraders are setting up a bearish put spread in GOOGL. TheoTraders are now able to combine probabilities and technicals to create high probability trade ideas…

Massively Unchanged! Get Long Volatility!

With IV at record lows TheoTraders should not sell premium. All it takes is one volatile week to kill your account. With the record lows in volatility there is only one way volatility can go and that's up. Here's how we plan to get long volatility...

Watching for the Character Change

After seven years of a relentless bull market, and now with super-low implied volatility, traders are getting restless and looking for some two-way tape. When corrective price action does return, it will be accompanied by a change in the “character” of the intraday price action, which can tip us off that cracks are appearing in…

Twisted Volatility Rules the Markets

The sector to watch right now is financials which are pricing in more risk in the next 2 days than 9 days from now. What does that mean? It could that financials are giving off the first signs of volatility coming back into the market place. The other place to look is at bonds. What…

GroundHogs Day; What to do in a Low Volaility Climate

The stock market is at record low volatility. What does that mean? Well, if you're a premium seller you are selling some of the lowest premium ever recorded! That is why we have been using In Out Spreads to take directional exposure to the market. Believe me, I love non-directional strategies, but they just aren't…

Around the Horn with the Sector SPYders

Let's start the week with a look at the all the major sectors. It's helpful to look at all the sectors on fractal time frames to get an idea of the big picture and where we are going...

The Search for Alpha

Where do you go for returns in this market place? Stocks are at all time highs. Bonds are at all time highs. Gold is up 25% in the last 6 months. Since May, we’ve heard negative equity calls from Stan Druckenmiller, George Soros, Carl Icahn, Jeff Gundlach and Bill Gross. Why? Because being short is…

Time to Go Bearish on AAPL?

The jobs report hasn't moved the markets in a while. Tomorrow will probably be no different barring any major surprise. Let's look at a few trade set ups for tomorrow. There's one I like in AAPL that we can set up in tonight's video...