Retail Earnings and Market Reactions: Planning an Active Week

[video_player type=”embed” style=”1″ dimensions=”640×360″ width=”640″ height=”360″ align=”center” margin_top=”0″ margin_bottom=”20″ ipad_color=”black”][/video_player] We’re seeing split outcomes after earnings in retail stocks, mainly Macy’s (M) down 14% while Lowe’s (LOW) rallied almost 4% today. Other major retail stocks are set to report this week but they’ll likely be overshadowed by what happens with NVIDIA’s (NVDA) earnings Wednesday after the bell. We also have a plan for the Fed later this week so stay safe and alert!

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Tech Leads, Energy Bleeds as Yields Test New Highs

[video_player type=”embed” style=”1″ dimensions=”640×360″ width=”640″ height=”360″ align=”center” margin_top=”0″ margin_bottom=”20″ ipad_color=”black”][/video_player] High beta Technology shares surged today as Energy and Low volatility headed lower. This rotation happened as 10-year U.S. Treasury yields surged to 12-month highs and mortgage rates are at 2000 highs. Today’s video put the rotation into perspective. (LOW, URA, TSLA,, CRWD, ARKK, XOP, SWN, TSM, M)

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The Volatility Beast Rises

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=t1n_cCgbrFA   — China economic contagion — watch vol crush in rallies — tech is down but not out — volatility backwardation is close — a rally in bonds? — economic slowdown? oil takes a hit Get your trade on– This week’s Profits and Losses -Closed /MES calls 50% gain -Closed UAL in/out spread 55% gain -Opened new IPS /ES, /MES, and SPY -Opened short puts in /ZB -Opened Catapult in GOOGL vs /ES SPX Expected Move– -last week- 65.75 (expected move 5 day week) -next week- 79.28 (expected move 5 day week)  

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3 Stocks that Could Rally from Interest Rates Peak

[video_player type=”embed” style=”1″ dimensions=”640×360″ width=”640″ height=”360″ align=”center” margin_top=”0″ margin_bottom=”20″ ipad_color=”black”][/video_player] In today’s video we look at three stocks that could rally from an interest rate peak. We look at SBAC that could rally if this is the peak in interest rates. We discuss MPC as a stock that could continue to rally based on rising interest rates. And we discuss SOFI as a stock that will likely grow whether interest rates peak or continue to climb. We also provide a bonus 4th stock assuming energy costs continue to rise.

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AI Stocks Bubble Popping or Buy-the-Dip?

[video_player type=”embed” style=”1″ dimensions=”640×360″ width=”640″ height=”360″ align=”center” margin_top=”0″ margin_bottom=”20″ ipad_color=”black”][/video_player] In tonight’s video, Don breaks down the trade action in today’s sell side activity, and takes a closer look at AI stocks and whether or not this is perhaps a “Buy-the-Dip” buy opportunity or is the AI stock bubble popping? What about implied volatility and why is volume so stagnant? Join Don and find out what is going on….

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Your Mid-August Market Update: Selling and Scanning

[video_player type=”embed” style=”1″ dimensions=”640×360″ width=”640″ height=”360″ align=”center” margin_top=”0″ margin_bottom=”20″ ipad_color=”black”][/video_player] Stock indexes slid 1% today with bonds closing weaker, down at 2023 lows as interest rates traded up to highs in 2023. In tonight’s mid-month update, we pinpoint these developments, highlight which stocks are leading the market (one major name) but also focus on which stocks and sectors are lagging it, and then discuss the key stocks reporting earnings this key week.

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Bears Falter After Their Two-Week Streak

[video_player type=”embed” style=”1″ dimensions=”640×360″ width=”640″ height=”360″ align=”center” margin_top=”0″ margin_bottom=”20″ ipad_color=”black”][/video_player] The S&P 500 posted its first consecutive down-weeks since May. After seeing the S&P 500 rise today, has the market escaped their grasp? Let’s look at the bull and bear case for the coming week. (ERIC, VOD, KRE, HL, XLF, FXI).

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Are we Headed into a Technology Volatility Storm?

[video_player type=”embed” style=”1″ dimensions=”640×360″ width=”640″ height=”360″ align=”center” margin_top=”0″ margin_bottom=”20″ ipad_color=”black”][/video_player] -Correlation comes to life! -Critical levels MSFT, TSLA, NVDA, META, and AAPL -Bonds/Notes are pressing lows -Dollar strength -Energy is strong but YTD performance may suggest assets managers running for cover Get your trade on – This week’s Profits and Losses -XLF in/out – closed 55% return -/ES 4800 and 4900 calls closed for 50% gain -NVA short calls closed for 62% gain -SPY OCT 20 485 calls closed for 62% gain -XLE in/out put spread opened SPX Expected Move- -Last week – 78.59 (expected move 5 day week) -Next week – 65.75 (expected move 5 day week)

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Inflation, Disinflation, and Misinformation

[video_player type=”embed” style=”1″ dimensions=”640×360″ width=”640″ height=”360″ align=”center” margin_top=”0″ margin_bottom=”20″ ipad_color=”black”][/video_player] In today’s video we dig into the CPI data to see if inflation remains high or if we are being misinformed. We discuss rising prices in oil and gas as well as discuss disinflation in China. We also look at the U.S. dollar and bonds as long positions if disinflation emerges.

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Did Market Volatility Just Awake?

[video_player type=”embed” style=”1″ dimensions=”640×360″ width=”640″ height=”360″ align=”center” margin_top=”0″ margin_bottom=”20″ ipad_color=”black”][/video_player] The most important CPI number of the year will be out at 8:30 AM ET tomorrow morning. With the SPX almost unchanged on the week we still have a weekly Expected Move of 78 points that could be hit in either direction. Be comfortable with your risk because the report could send the markets rocking in the final 2 days of the week.

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