[video_player type=”embed” style=”1″ dimensions=”640×360″ width=”640″ height=”360″ align=”center” margin_top=”0″ margin_bottom=”20″ ipad_color=”black”][/video_player] In today’s video we discuss GDP and inflation data. We also look at what it will mean to have the Fed raise rates while the treasury issues more debt and look at the short and long term impact on equities and bonds.

[video_player type=”embed” style=”1″ dimensions=”640×360″ width=”640″ height=”360″ align=”center” margin_top=”0″ margin_bottom=”20″ ipad_color=”black”][/video_player] NVDA comes out and crushes earnings sending the stock 3 standard deviations higher. Still all eyes are on the debt ceiling talks. Whether a debt ceiling deal will be good for markets largely depends on the specifics of the deal. If the U.S. defaults, or even comes close to defaulting on its debt because a deal isn’t reached, this could create significant disruption in the markets. Here’s what to look for in markets over the next 2 days…

[video_player type=”embed” style=”1″ dimensions=”640×360″ width=”640″ height=”360″ align=”center” margin_top=”0″ margin_bottom=”20″ ipad_color=”black”][/video_player] It may have felt like a much larger sell-off but the markets ended the day down 1% with Oil rallying 2%. In tonight’s video, we discuss the key stocks having earnings announcements this week including one big tech name and then discuss where we are and we’re we’re likely heading in stocks, bonds, Treasury Yields, and Oil as you plan your trades for this week into the next.

[video_player type=”embed” style=”1″ dimensions=”640×360″ width=”640″ height=”360″ align=”center” margin_top=”0″ margin_bottom=”20″ ipad_color=”black”][/video_player] We just broke out less than a week ago and you’re already questioning the direction? You’re experiencing the “Unch’d Effect.” Today is a good example of the market finishing with no real direction and a tremendous amount of news bubbling just out of sight for market bulls. At the moment, participants are able to keep things out of sight as the market gets bid slightly higher. We know this ends with a bang, it’s only a matter of time. This is your guide for why the markets feel so hostile at the moment. (GSM, RIVEN, TSLA, PFE, CCJ, JMIA, UPST, AR, MUR)

[video_player type=”embed” style=”1″ dimensions=”640×360″ width=”640″ height=”360″ align=”center” margin_top=”0″ margin_bottom=”20″ ipad_color=”black”][/video_player] -Evidence of gamma squeezing is everywhere -4211 hit! what now ? -is it over? Bonds and VVIX see RISK ! -No Pause? Fed Fund futures shift -can Foot Locker be contagious? -regional bank issues Get your trade on – This week’s Profits and Losses -covered /ES short calls 50% gain -closed NVDA & QQQ Call Spreads -opened short calls in /MES & QQQ SPX Expected Move -last week – 63.85 (expected move 5 day week) -next week – 63.48 (expected move 5 day week)

[video_player type=”embed” style=”1″ dimensions=”640×360″ width=”640″ height=”360″ align=”center” margin_top=”0″ margin_bottom=”20″ ipad_color=”black”][/video_player] In today’s video we discuss hawkish comments from multiple Fed members and discuss the shifting outlook of a rate pause to a rate hike. In addition, we discuss the strengthening U.S. dollar and the historical inverse correlation between the U.S. dollar and equities and we also look at the occasional positive correlation as an indication of a “flight to safety”.

[video_player type=”embed” style=”1″ dimensions=”640×360″ width=”640″ height=”360″ align=”center” margin_top=”0″ margin_bottom=”20″ ipad_color=”black”][/video_player] Seven mega-cap stocks continue to keep the market in a tight range despite the banking crisis, inflation, and higher interest rates. It’s still remains to be seen if the move higher today is the start of a breakout higher or a fake out. A review of the expected move for the week tells us even if we went to the higher end of the expected move we’d still be in the range. We may not see a definitive answer until next week. In the meantime here’s what I’m looking for…

[video_player type=”embed” style=”1″ dimensions=”640×360″ width=”640″ height=”360″ align=”center” margin_top=”0″ margin_bottom=”20″ ipad_color=”black”][/video_player] Today’s session continued the ongoing theme of “strong technology, weak financials” (and almost all other sector ETFs today). In tonight’s Theo Video Update, we pinpoint the strongest two sectors, weakest sectors, and the others floating in-between strength and weakness so far in 2023 and how that’s affecting our swing trading decisions, but also the broader market which continues the ongoing split.

[video_player type=”embed” style=”1″ dimensions=”640×360″ width=”640″ height=”360″ align=”center” margin_top=”0″ margin_bottom=”20″ ipad_color=”black”][/video_player] Debt ceiling discussions are heating up as the X-date looms. As usual, all of the rhetoric is getting pretty thick as “default” looms large. How does this impact money market funds? Also, as the market meanders, are we setting up for another short squeeze. (KWEB, BABA, HAS, FUBO, UXIN, UPST, REAL, ERO, IE)

[video_player type=”embed” style=”1″ dimensions=”640×360″ width=”640″ height=”360″ align=”center” margin_top=”0″ margin_bottom=”20″ ipad_color=”black”][/video_player] -6 weeks same range! -Single stock risk and the SP500 -how much longer can tech hold markets together -bull/bear case for US Treasury default -SKEW, VVIX risk builds Get your trade on -This week’s Profits and Losses -covered /ES short calls 50% gain -closed BABA for a 30% gain, WMT exp SPX Expected Move– -last week – 68.84 (expected move 5 day week) -next week – 63.85 (expected move 5 day week)