[video_player type=”embed” style=”1″ dimensions=”640×360″ width=”640″ height=”360″ align=”center” margin_top=”0″ margin_bottom=”20″ ipad_color=”black”][/video_player] A lot has changed over the past week as repricing of Federal Reserve interest rate policy last Tuesday had the options market betting on red for regional banks. Now that SVIB and SBNY have folded, do the Feds have what it takes to blow the next bubble or is more downside expected? Today’s option trade is looking for big moves in the coming days. (KRE, HBAN, AIG, GLD, GDX, BITO, TLT, VXX, XLE, QQQ)

[video_player type=”embed” style=”1″ dimensions=”640×360″ width=”640″ height=”360″ align=”center” margin_top=”0″ margin_bottom=”20″ ipad_color=”black”][/video_player] — One Bad Bank??  SIVB — regional banks PNC, CBNK, CUBI, MCB, PACW, SBNY — immediate resolution or panic at the disco? — Russell crushed, Bonds explode, and Vol inverts — Oh my CPI ! Get your trade on– This week’s Profits and Losses — Catapults- bearish spreads hitting their stride ! — in/out spread JPM — 60% gain — NVDA in/out spread — covered short calls and puts SPY, QQQ, /ES, and /MES — sold premium /ES, SPY, /MES SPX Expected Move– –last week– 78.20  (expected move 5 day week) –next week–          (expected move 5 day week)

[video_player type=”embed” style=”1″ dimensions=”640×360″ width=”640″ height=”360″ align=”center” margin_top=”0″ margin_bottom=”20″ ipad_color=”black”][/video_player] In yesterday’s video I said if the market was going to make another leg lower it would happen on the back of financials. Financials delivered that leg lower today as the market screamed systematic risk. The financial sector is on the verge of going to the 2020 crash levels just as inflation continues to rage and the Fed has no choice but to continue raising rate. We have a crucial unemployment number coming out in the morning followed by CPI and PPI next week. Here are the key levels to watch to make sure you have your risk in check…

[video_player type=”embed” style=”1″ dimensions=”640×360″ width=”640″ height=”360″ align=”center” margin_top=”0″ margin_bottom=”20″ ipad_color=”black”][/video_player] It seems like the year for the stock market hinges on the next 9 trading days. The theme of the last 2 days of Fed Chair Powell testimony is “data depended” and there’s no shortage of crucial data over the next week. The market could go extreme in either direction based on any one of these data points. Here’s how to keep your risk in check…

[video_player type=”embed” style=”1″ dimensions=”640×360″ width=”640″ height=”360″ align=”center” margin_top=”0″ margin_bottom=”20″ ipad_color=”black”][/video_player] Chair Powell spoke this morning and his statement suggested the Fed is willing to be more aggressive to keep inflation in check, and his statement sent bearish shockwaves through the equity market. In tonight’s video, we pinpoint where the sell-side activity was most aggressive, how bonds and oil fared, and what sector we’re closely watching going forward after today’s surprise shift.

[video_player type=”embed” style=”1″ dimensions=”640×360″ width=”640″ height=”360″ align=”center” margin_top=”0″ margin_bottom=”20″ ipad_color=”black”][/video_player] In today’s video we looked at historic rate hikes and Zero Interest Rate Policy (ZIRP) and the impact on equities. We looked at the more direct impact on companies that depend on borrowing either for costumers to buy the product or for company growth. We addressed the inverse correlation between interest rates and home builders and tech companies.

[video_player type=”embed” style=”1″ dimensions=”640×360″ width=”640″ height=”360″ align=”center” margin_top=”0″ margin_bottom=”20″ ipad_color=”black”][/video_player] -3931 made an appearance! -bonds recovered and dollar faded -JPOW, Fed Funds, Jobs # -0DTE continues to move markets -Daily Expected Moves Get your trade on– This week’s Profits and Losses -covered short calls and puts SPY, QQQ, /ES, and /MES -Catapults short puts closed, it’s a free ride from here ! -in/out spread MS – 55% gain SPX Expected Move– -last week – 75.95 (expected move 5 day week) -next week – 78.20 (expected move 5 day week)

[video_player type=”embed” style=”1″ dimensions=”640×360″ width=”640″ height=”360″ align=”center” margin_top=”0″ margin_bottom=”20″ ipad_color=”black”][/video_player] Investors didn’t seem to appreciate the details of Tesla’s “Master Plan 3” as the stock traded down as much as 8% following the open. Tesla appears to suffer from the same issues plaguing equity investors as the details of any sort of plan are short on specifics. Rising rates have pressured bonds and stocks as volatility continues to fall. (LQD, HYG, VLO, CCJ, BTU, GLD)

[video_player type=”embed” style=”1″ dimensions=”640×360″ width=”640″ height=”360″ align=”center” margin_top=”0″ margin_bottom=”20″ ipad_color=”black”][/video_player] The bond market is reaching a precarious situation as the 10 year yield hits the critical 4% level. Any further selling in bonds has the potential to take down tech stocks sending the overall market lower. So far this week the market has been quiet, but a quiet market looking for a catalyst to explode higher or lower. With 2 days left in the trading week have your risk in check…

[video_player type=”embed” style=”1″ dimensions=”640×360″ width=”640″ height=”360″ align=”center” margin_top=”0″ margin_bottom=”20″ ipad_color=”black”][/video_player] February ended on a volatile sell-off as we get ready to trade into March. In tonight’s video, we scan the market to find the strongest stocks – biggest gainers – in 2023 so far and then separate those from the weakest stocks. There’s a clear pattern emerging – can you see it? Find out in tonight’s video…