Should Traders Fear 0 Day Expiration Risk?

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=7s504-JkJsM -SP500 finished the week massively UNCHED! -reviewing sectors -0 DTE risk becomes the talk of the trading town! -SPX, SPY, and the /ES -suppression of volatility -dynamics of the hedge Get your trade on – This week’s Profits and Losses -closed short calls for 50% gains x 3!! -opened new catapult /ES vs SBUX SPX Expected Move– -last week – 104.08 (expected move 5 day week) -next week – 73.35 (expected move 4 day week)

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Rally Fades Amid Backdrop of Inflation & Volatility Risk

[video_player type=”embed” style=”1″ dimensions=”640×360″ width=”640″ height=”360″ align=”center” margin_top=”0″ margin_bottom=”20″ ipad_color=”black”][/video_player] Today’s hot PPI inflation data was supposed to bring the bears out of hibernation. However, the intraday rally seemingly proved the resilience of the bulls as they kept fighting the Fed. The bullish sentiment faded quickly in the last hour as bearish order was restored. With all of the talk of 0 DTE option volumes, does this present a special risk to the markets that will feed the downside? (CSCO, CVS, NTR, AU, HL)

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Will Markets Hit a Wall of Economic Reality?

[video_player type=”embed” style=”1″ dimensions=”640×360″ width=”640″ height=”360″ align=”center” margin_top=”0″ margin_bottom=”20″ ipad_color=”black”][/video_player] Hot jobs report, hot CPI print, and hot retail numbers doesn’t cool off the market. PPI numbers come out tomorrow and Fed speakers are lining up to jaw bone the markets. The question on the mind of all market participants is at what point will the market hit a wall?

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CPI Inflation Surprises, but does not Move, Markets

[video_player type=”embed” style=”1″ dimensions=”640×360″ width=”640″ height=”360″ align=”center” margin_top=”0″ margin_bottom=”20″ ipad_color=”black”][/video_player]   The higher (hotter) than expected inflation data surprise in this morning’s Consumer Price Index report did surprise the market, but by the closing bell most markets affected were “massively unchanged.” In tonight’s video, we unpack the “surprise lack” of movement and put it in context of the bigger picture and where key markets are playing.

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Will CPI Break this Rally?

[video_player type=”embed” style=”1″ dimensions=”640×360″ width=”640″ height=”360″ align=”center” margin_top=”0″ margin_bottom=”20″ ipad_color=”black”][/video_player] In today’s video we look at the anticipated CPI data reporting on Tuesday morning. We discussed what CPI is and how the monthly CPI inflation rate can rise while the yearly rate can fall. We discussed what we can anticipate with a higher-than-anticipated CPI number and a lower-than-anticipated number, focusing primarily on interest rates and the technology sector.

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Is the Bear Market Rally Over?

[video_player type=”embed” style=”1″ dimensions=”640×360″ width=”640″ height=”360″ align=”center” margin_top=”0″ margin_bottom=”20″ ipad_color=”black”][/video_player] -VVIX, Bonds, Dollar -TSLA, NVDA, MSFT, AAPL, GOOGL -financials have yet to break -/ES 4106 make or break -Find LOVE in CPI Day Get your trade on – This week’s Profits and Losses -MS, PFE, QQQ catapult SPX Expected Move – -last week- 76.53 (expected move 5 day week) -next week- 104.08 (expected move 5 day week)

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Markets Spooked as Earnings Gaps Fade

[video_player type=”embed” style=”1″ dimensions=”640×360″ width=”640″ height=”360″ align=”center” margin_top=”0″ margin_bottom=”20″ ipad_color=”black”][/video_player] It looked like a positive day, but as investors got jittery, positive earnings gaps faded from highs. First, there was news of a large put trade on the /ES puts, then it was rising yields on US Treasuries following a subpar 30-year auction. All eyes on next week’s inflation data could make the end of week a little slippery for the bulls. (DIS, ABBV, PEP, DUK, LYFT)

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Will the Gamma Squeeze Turn Bearish?

[video_player type=”embed” style=”1″ dimensions=”640×360″ width=”640″ height=”360″ align=”center” margin_top=”0″ margin_bottom=”20″ ipad_color=”black”][/video_player] The current leg in this rally from low to high is 10%, but that pales in comparison to the rallies we had in 2022. Is this rally different? Let’s take a look at why this one may not be…

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The Power of Powell! Your Guide to the Markets after the Fed Chair’s Speech

[video_player type=”embed” style=”1″ dimensions=”640×360″ width=”640″ height=”360″ align=”center” margin_top=”0″ margin_bottom=”20″ ipad_color=”black”][/video_player] We thought the Fed was behind us last week! Chair Powell’s speech today sent the market volatility surging, just like last week’s official Fed Policy announcement and though stocks were volatile, they closed up at the high of day along with a strong rally in Oil and Energy Stocks. In tonight’s video, we highlight these moves, what it means for you, and also detail which key stocks have earnings right around the corner.

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Dollar Dominance Proceeds a Weaker Market?

[video_player type=”embed” style=”1″ dimensions=”640×360″ width=”640″ height=”360″ align=”center” margin_top=”0″ margin_bottom=”20″ ipad_color=”black”][/video_player] In today’s video we look at the strong U.S. dollar and historic correlation between the U.S. dollar, SPX, and gold. We discuss the potential moves to return to the previous correlations as a warning of a weaker market…

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Don Kaufman Don Kaufman

TheoTrade co-founder, former CBOE market maker and thinkorswim Chief Derivatives Instructor.

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