[video_player type=”embed” style=”1″ dimensions=”640×360″ width=”640″ height=”360″ align=”center” margin_top=”0″ margin_bottom=”20″ ipad_color=”black”][/video_player] While we could see a lighter volume/volatility week, key retail names are in focus (with two after-hour earnings plays) while two major names cracked the XLY ETF to fresh new 2022 lows – could the market be next? In tonight’s video we highlight these two “weak stocks getting much weaker” at lows and how they’re pulling down the retail sector and potentially the broader market with them.

[video_player type=”embed” style=”1″ dimensions=”640×360″ width=”640″ height=”360″ align=”center” margin_top=”0″ margin_bottom=”20″ ipad_color=”black”][/video_player] On a light day for data, the S&P 500 grinded near lows as the bounce failed to materialize. The hangover from the Fed’s statement last week clearly hasn’t cleared and questions abound over how the market will end the year. The large print on the SPY may give us some guidance on that front (NKE, NLY, AXP, WYNN, NCLH)

[video_player type=”embed” style=”1″ dimensions=”640×360″ width=”640″ height=”360″ align=”center” margin_top=”0″ margin_bottom=”20″ ipad_color=”black”][/video_player] – CPI & FED – Big, Bad and Binary Movement! – 3931 held up through the roll – Have markets priced in a recession? – Confused trade in bonds – Volatility or lack thereof but SKEWs back! – Does Xmas stop the selling? – High prob of back to the VOL BOX! Get your trade on – This week’s profits and losses – TSLA – QQQ intraday – Closed inflection point spreads – New trades and setups – CAT, BA, DOW SPX Expected Move – last week – 127.01 (expected move) – next week – 87.68 (expected move)

[video_player type=”embed” style=”1″ dimensions=”640×360″ width=”640″ height=”360″ align=”center” margin_top=”0″ margin_bottom=”20″ ipad_color=”black”][/video_player] In today’s TheoTrade Night Video, we discussed the fall in equities after the Federal Reserve rate hike and press conference. We also discussed the rate hikes from the Bank of England, European Central Bank, and Swiss National Bank. We looked forward to service and manufacturing Purchasing Managers Index reporting tomorrow morning which is signaling economic contraction.

[video_player type=”embed” style=”1″ dimensions=”640×360″ width=”640″ height=”360″ align=”center” margin_top=”0″ margin_bottom=”20″ ipad_color=”black”][/video_player] The Federal Reserve raised the Fed Funds rate benchmark 50 basis points as expected, but it was their forward guidance about the future of the rate that sent stocks rapidly lower. In tonight’s video, we highlight the fall-out across the markets – including bonds, Gold, Oil, Silver, and the US Dollar Index – and what it means as we move quickly toward 2023. We also quickly highlight the stocks that strengthened to new 52 week highs and a major name that printed yet another fresh new 52 week price low…

[video_player type=”embed” style=”1″ dimensions=”640×360″ width=”640″ height=”360″ align=”center” margin_top=”0″ margin_bottom=”20″ ipad_color=”black”][/video_player] CPI numbers came out soft sparking a major rally and then the whole rally from when CPI came out was reversed. The S&P is in the middle of 2 key levels and yes there’s a chance we could hit the upper and lower level this week. FOMC event is tomorrow with all ears focused on what Powell says and any clues for 2023 policy. Make sure you’re comfortable with your risk because the volatility ride has just begun.

[video_player type=”embed” style=”1″ dimensions=”640×360″ width=”640″ height=”360″ align=”center” margin_top=”0″ margin_bottom=”20″ ipad_color=”black”][/video_player] The VIX rose today as S&P finished over one-percent higher on the session. That’s highly unusually, but fitting given the slate of economic news and the FOMC meeting that is on tap this week. Of course, it’s Tuesday’s CPI inflation data that is at the forefront on the economic side, and the big news will be whether the Fed chairman will be dressed as Santa or the Grinch in his press conference. (MLCO, UBS, BABA, TLT, EEM, LEN)…

[video_player type=”embed” style=”1″ dimensions=”640×360″ width=”640″ height=”360″ align=”center” margin_top=”0″ margin_bottom=”20″ ipad_color=”black”][/video_player] -oil screams recession imminent -reality sets in with a hot ppi, are you afraid? -moment of truth, here comes CPI and FED -it’s all binary; you best be ready! -calculating next week’s risk in your portfolio Get your trade on– This week’s Profits and Losses – XLP out, covering more shorts, XLE, AAPL intraday -new trades BA, IPS, AAPL Catapult SPX Expected Move– –last week– 66.51 (expected move) –next week– 127.01 (expected move)

[video_player type=”embed” style=”1″ dimensions=”640×360″ width=”640″ height=”360″ align=”center” margin_top=”0″ margin_bottom=”20″ ipad_color=”black”][/video_player] Three key stocks had after-hours movement, but quick fizzles after their announcement. In tonight’s video, we pinpoint what expected move price levels are in play for Friday and then drill-down into key stocks leading major sectors including two big leaders threatening new lows.

[video_player type=”embed” style=”1″ dimensions=”640×360″ width=”640″ height=”360″ align=”center” margin_top=”0″ margin_bottom=”20″ ipad_color=”black”][/video_player] Stocks are sitting in a precarious position already moving 2 standard deviations for the week and hanging on to a key gravity point level. With several risk events next week traders and investors are reducing their positions to wait for the risk events to pass. Here’s the key level in TSLA to watch because if it breaks the rest of the market could follow…