Over the past few weeks, we’ve seen a nice bounce in so-called “inflationary” sectors. Basic materials (XLB) emerged as last week’s leader, and over the past month, the top-performer is energy (XLE). But if you’ve been tuning into TheoTrade’s live sessions, you’ve heard me talking about crude oil’s imminent collapse. And finally, I think we have another catalyst for this move to begin. Check this out… Drill Baby, Drill The incoming Trump administration’s cabinet is now complete, and when it comes to the inflationary conundrum, there are two individuals that I’m watching closely. The first is Chris Wright, who was tapped to head the Department of Energy, and the second is Scott Bessent, who is set to lead the Department of Treasury. To sum up the policies of these two individuals – the plan is to grow our way out of any economic crisis or conundrum. The oil wells are

While Bitcoin dominates today’s headlines, seasoned investors know the financial markets extend far beyond cryptocurrencies. Don’t misunderstand – I remain bullish on crypto and have been for months. However, focusing solely on crypto means missing other significant market opportunities unfolding right now. The foreign exchange market dwarfs all others in trading volume, and a major development is occurring that demands our attention: The Euro, the world’s second most-traded currency after the U.S. Dollar, is making unprecedented moves. Let’s examine what this means… Why Capital Is Fleeing The European Continent The geopolitical landscape shifted significantly last week. The escalating situation in Ukraine, marked by increased missile activity, sparked concerns about potential nuclear escalation. However, as I’ve noted before – if we faced a nuclear conflict, market positions would become irrelevant.  This paradoxically leads some to argue that the “end of the world” scenario actually supports a bullish market stance. Looking beyond

There’s a saying in life that goes, “Don’t judge a book by its cover.” Well, as it turns out, we shouldn’t judge the market solely by the indices either. It amazes me how, after just one week of selling, I’m already starting to see calls for a “Trump slump,” and for stocks to experience a pull back here. Listen, I was bullish well before we knew the outcome of the presidential election, and to be very clear, the market’s bull trend was established before Trump was elected. Once again, the Tale of the Tape never fails to provide answers to the questions on everyone’s mind. Check this out… Banks Buying Themselves The main reason why we look at the sector performance rankings each week is because markets don’t just turn on a dime without any warning. I know the news likes to pretend like nobody ever saw anything coming when

Compared to election week, this one’s been rather quiet as markets digest the announcements of the new administration’s cabinet and policy objectives. Even though this market’s cycle is maturing, remember that, as a rule, any consolidation near the highs of a move tends to be bullish. By now, I’m sure you’re familiar with my tendency to cut out market gossip and focus on what matters the most when it comes to trading: price and time. But I must admit that there’s one particular development in this incoming administration that has my attention. It’s the Department of Government Efficiency, otherwise known as DOGE. It’s being headed up by none other than Elon Musk and Vivek Ramaswamy. Both have strong backgrounds in the private sector. Everyone knows that Washington has a spending problem. Dare I start to dream that reform is near? Before that happens, I can’t help but wonder how this

After last week’s presidential election and Fed rate cut, the public is paying attention to the stock market again. I can’t tell you how many phone calls and text messages I received from friends and family asking me whether it’s time to get back into the market. Fortunately, you and I, we never left the market…  …and now, the market is coming to us. This is exactly the position we want to be in. Right now, we’re seeing more signs that the market will keep coming our way. Have a look… The Consumer Is Back Have a look at the market’s new leading sector across the one-week and one-month intervals – consumer discretionary. This is an exceptionally bullish signal considering that for much of this year, consumer discretionary was underperforming consumer staples. But now, discretionary has left staples behind in the dust. Considering the U.S. economy is based largely on

Wow, what a week it’s been! The election is now over, with Donald Trump emerging as the victor. The Federal Reserve also cut interest rates another 25-basis points, continuing the trend of monetary easing. I went into the election 100% long. This was not because I expected one particular outcome or another. I was just responding to the conditions presented by the market. I periodically receive emails about how I’m preparing for a particular event – the truth is – the method allows me to sail through both calm and stormy waters. There’s been some big movers in the past week, and I want to recap some of these with you. But if you’ve been following my emails over the past couple of months, you’re probably happy with how positions in crypto and Tesla have been performing. Let’s take a look… The New Era Economy is Blossoming I’ve been talking

Election week is here, but don’t let that you lose sight of the Fed’s upcoming rate cut on Thursday. As traders, we like to operate under the assumption that the market has a better sense of what’s really going on compared to the news or even opinion polls. The good news is that the sector leadership rankings continue to point towards bulls having the advantage of this market. My point is to not let this week’s headlines catch you off balance, or cause you to make a poor decision.  Check out the updated sector box score… Comms Can Thank Google Now that we’re past the bulk of big tech earnings, we can sit back and thank stocks like Alphabet (GOOGL), and even Netflix (NFLX), for their positive responses post-earnings. This sent XLC, the communications sector ETF, to new all-time highs, and cemented it as the top-performing sector year-to-date. I must

It’s been a wild week for markets between big tech earnings, a nothing-burger inflation report, and a very weak jobs number. Even though the presidential election is dominating the headlines now, let’s not lose sight of the fact that another 25-basis point rate cut is coming next week. If anything, the recent economic data between inflation and employment supports the idea that more rate cuts are coming. Plus, I think the Fed wants to be present as a stabilizing force if we see any instability around or following the election. But I want to point out something bigger that’s happening – I think crude oil is about to plummet, and it’s all thanks to the Trinity Trade.  Have a look…  Lower Oil Prices Means Low Inflation  Here’s the thing when it comes to inflation data – the market will always give us a better sense of price pressures than CPI

Tesla stole the headlines last week after their earnings report, and its surge higher sent shockwaves across the entire market. Anyone with a 401(k) or any sort of retirement plan likely owns Tesla in some way, shape, or form. Not only is it part of the Magnificent Seven, but it also is owned by countless fund companies. Think about it like this – every time someone dollar cost averages into a tech or total stock market ETF, some shares of Tesla are being bought. Let’s take a look at what this surge did to the sector leadership rankings… Risk-On Sectors Seek Leadership Last week, we saw consumer discretionary (XLY) recapture the one-week leadership position. Financials (XLF) also came back as the one-month leader. XLY reassuming near-term leadership is a bullish signal. Tesla makes up over 14% of the XLY fund. So, it’s not hard to see why it emerged as

Tesla captured the stock market’s headlines this week after a solid Q3 earnings report that resulted in its shares surging nearly 22% on Thursday. This move caught many traders off guard, as Tesla had been one of the most-heavily shorted stocks in the market. But as my colleague Corey Rosenbloom and I both like to say, surprises tend to happen in the direction of the trend. And when it comes to Tesla, the long-term trend is still up. It’s one of the reasons why I shared an idea with my chatroom members to get long shares of Tesla back on September 12. But now, given the recent developments, I think it’s time to “Back up the Cyber Truck.”  Check this out…  Tesla Will Supercharge Stocks If we step back and look at the Magnificent Seven names, of which Tesla is a component, it’s easy to see that this stock might