Has the Volatility Roller Coaster Only Just Begun?

Market Price Action and Volatility– –Big Moves, tight range (ATR is flyin’) –High Probability Range will be broken in forthcoming days –Low VIX indicates range complacency –earnings will take a back seat until BIG Tech Levels of critical concern– –Fear and Loathing under /ES 4500 –Hold /NQ 15600 or drop 1k points! –the ARKK effect Risk Factors to Equity Markets- –inflationary readings –Oil prices –Bonds selling off / rates rising –Crypto decline spilling over –lack of correlation –low SKEW- 133.85 SPX Expected Move — –last week — 75.98  (expected move) –next week– 85.74  (4 day trading week)

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Financials XLF in Focus for Friday: Earnings in Play

Friday morning will bring us earnings reports from leading financial stocks including Wells Fargo (WFC), Citigroup (C), and JP Morgan (JPM) among others that could impact the broader financial sector and XLF. In tonight’s video, we highlight the strong selling that continued in tech shares including TSLA and NVDA and plot the current plan for both TLT and Yields which are also in play for the end of this week into next week…

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Weekly Chart Roundup to Start the Month

A key question to ask right now as we trade into mid-January is whether “this time is different” or we’ll just continue drifting higher along the same uptrend price targets. In tonight’s video, we take a higher perspective study of the weekly charts of the major indexes and leading stocks outperforming the market, namely in the Financial and Energy Sector (XLF and XLE)…

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NASDAQ Engineers a Bullish Stick Save

The NASDAQ was looking to breakout of its multi-month range today on the opening gap and sell-off. However, the breakaway gap was averted as it rallied late. JPMorgan’s Jamie Dimon shares outlook of 4 rate increases this year by the Fed and discussed whether they can ‘engineer’ a soft landing for the economy. (BMY, NVDA, AMD, KBH, ARKK, MU, AGNC, UBER)…

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FED Induced Asset Implosion Underway?

Bond/Tech Dynamic–FED, rates, balance sheet–economic reports and Fed Speak Critical Market Levels ––/ES 4500 and below is shear market carnage–NASDAQ oversold 30 day, 1 hour–Lack of volatility movement on selling–Mega market caps to watch–Correlation non-existent Bitcoin Sell-off–Implications and Correlations Enter Earnings Season!–JPM, C, WFC SPX Expected Move––last week — 62.48 (expected move)–next week — 75.98

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Fear the FED?

The FED reared its unfriendly head this afternoon as signs of a selloff began to show going into the close. Volatility appeared to be somewhat flat overall though, so, was it fear driving this market move? Tune into to Don’s video tonight and find out…

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A Peek Beneath the All Time Highs – Sector Shear and How it’s Playing Out

If you watch financial news headlines tonight, you’re likely to hear about the market making another new all time high. While true, that’s not the entire picture and a quick look under the highs in the Dow and SP500 tell a very different story. In tonight’s video, we step inside the market and reveal what’s happening in bonds and how it’s splitting financial and tech stocks…

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Big Bets Being Made for First Trading Day of the Year

What a time to make known your expectations for the year and that’s what traders were doing today. Today’s video looks at some of the large unusual option activity that is pointing to big moves this week, the next six months and the coming year. (F, TSLA, GLD, SLV, AAPL)…

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Don Kaufman Don Kaufman

TheoTrade co-founder, former CBOE market maker and thinkorswim Chief Derivatives Instructor.

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