Why Does Mild Selling Feel Like Massive Risk?

Market Upadate––SPX Lower EM breach!–Bonds selling off and financials down–Big Banks get Bearish–why we need to watch vol futures Big Tech Deeply Concerning––Monsters of Tech Market Cap–NVDA–GOOGL–FB–MSFT SPX Expected Move––last week EM– 50.13–next week–  115.27  expected move

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What Levels are Targets in the Fall-back Market?

We’re indeed seeing the market pull back from our overbought levels on another “rubber band snap-back” just after last week’s bullish holiday drift to new highs. What price levels are today’s targets and what key level was spot on in today’s session? Find out in tonight’s video where we also see a surprise from LULU…

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Big Tech Overdue for a Big Fall?

Big tech stocks that have led the market higher have stalled. Implied volatility remains higher than historical volatility in the tech heavy NASDAQ. Here’s why you should keep an eye on the weekly expected move in the SPX tomorrow…

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Did Steph Curry Just Call the Top?

Crypto carnage was the order of the day as the Nasdaq eked out a new all-time high. As breadth and crypto crashed, NBA player Steph Curry is looking to his community for answers. Could this be the final nail in the bulls coffin, some UOA activity seems to think so..

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Will September Live Up to the Volatility Hype?

–Holiday trade drives SP500 into a low vol slopfest–NFP takes a nose dive, weak Chinese data–Financials tank, tech rips–Bonds are back in play September Volatility Spike?–VIX, VVIX–9 day VIX vs 3 month VIX–contango is massive–volatility depth chart–SKEW has been relentless–exogenous shock needed to kick off Sep vol fest SPX Expected Move––last week EM– 57.49–next week–  50.13  expected move

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Market Drifts Higher into Monthly Jobs Report

We did indeed see continued “bullish holiday drift” this week as the market prepares and positions ahead of the Monthly Jobs Report released pre-market Friday morning. In tonight’s video, we pinpoint the probabilities, price levels, and scan what’s happening in leading stocks along with Bonds, Oil, and Gold before the big weekly event…

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Are we Facing Another Drifter-Up Week for Stocks?

This week has the potential to be a low volume, possibly low volatility drift where stocks can float higher, especially if we don’t see any major headline news or events that would stop the drift.  In tonight’s report, we highlight this plan and what levels are in play along with which key financial and tech stocks are in play and most likely to affect the broader market – and one surprise stock you may have missed today…

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SEC & PYPL Boyz Take the HOOD

News from SEC and Paypal Holdings Inc (NASDAQ: PYPL) caused panic selling in Robinhood Markets Inc (NASDAQ: HOOD). As Support.com, Inc (NASDAQ: SPRT) reaches its terminal velocity, the options market is lining up it’s list of candidates for the next short squeeze..

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Game Changing Rally?

—Fed ignites rippin rally on dovish tone—Bonds played little role in the rally—SPX ends week dead-on upper EM—Russel decides Jerome Powell is a Demigod Volatility abnormalities–—1 year implied volatility screams risk—short term imp vol crushed— realized vol still dead—skew sky high Trade Opportunities–—premium selling continues to dominate—volatility crush opens up vix trades—Chinese markets SPX Expected Move––last week EM– 67.73–next week–  57.49  expected move

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Don Kaufman Don Kaufman

TheoTrade co-founder, former CBOE market maker and thinkorswim Chief Derivatives Instructor.

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