On the Verge of Wild Market Moves?

Market Update– –Wild ranges throughout the holiday trading week –bifurcation broke down into correlation –AMZN, AAPL, XLF, XLE, QQQ, EEM, TSLA, RUT Bonds are back in charge baby! –lower rates to continue? –CPI/economic data –trend driving bonds SPX Expected Move  –last week– 42.39 (expected move) SPX –next week– 61.15

Read More »

Amazon (AMZN) Surges but Can’t Lift Entire Market Alone

We had yet another “tale of two tapes” where the technology sector (XLK and QQQ) surged to new highs while the broader market especially financial stocks (XLF) pulled back normally on a snap-back from overbought price levels. In tonight’s video we highlight these two separate markets and what it means for your current trades…

Read More »

All Market Bull and No Bear?

Markets continue to smash expected moves Low VIX ? —Volatility futures are in massive contango —VVIX —big time skew still prevalent Why are interest rates falling? —xlf —xle —bond outlook Strategy Session– –Sell premium –shift risk to underlyings with higher IVs –mitigate downside exposure with VIX vol spreads SPX Expected Move  –last week– 53.25 (expected move) SPX –next week– 42.39

Read More »

The Creeping Uptrend Strikes Again

We’ve seen this before where low volume, low volatility holiday sessions result in continued upward drift in the market and today was no exception. In tonight’s video, Corey explains the current strategy, advocates patience, and pinpoints which stocks are leading the market at the highs – along with the need to note the Jobs Report Friday morning for any surprises…

Read More »

NASDAQ Floats to New Highs While Other Stocks Remain Grounded

It was a similar story where the tech sector – or key stocks such as Microsoft (MSFT) and Apple (AAPL) specifically – led the market higher as the hot air balloon of price drifted higher on lower volume and volatility. However, beneath the surface, bearishness and weakness underscored what ended as a flat, lackluster session. Be sure to watch tonight’s video to spot what’s happening beneath the market and where the money is flowing in and out.

Read More »

Are Markets Displaying Inefficient Behavior?

Expected Move Breeches!–SPX–IWM–QQQ–XLF–XLE–TLT Rotation and Bifurcation comeback? Are rising rates going to become an issue again? Stress Test! Banks and Buybacks Dollar reservations Crypto cracks not proliferating… Volatility Dropped but the “tail risk” is still wagging–VVIX–SKEW–Back month premium Front and Back Month Premium–decay in the X-Mas Tree Ratio Spread SPX Expected Move  –last week– 90.48 (expected move)–next week– 53.25

Read More »
Don Kaufman Don Kaufman

TheoTrade co-founder, former CBOE market maker and thinkorswim Chief Derivatives Instructor.

Read Don's full bio


Most Recent

0DTE Options: How Same-Day Options Work and How to Trade Them
Why Software Ignored The AI Panic
The $25 Trade Everybody Tells Me I’m Crazy For Making
The AI Bubble Already Popped On The Other Side Of The World
Trade The Fed Without Picking A Side

Get educational market insights sent right to your inbox.