Watch Out for the GroundHog Day Effect

[video_player type=”youtube” youtube_remove_logo=”Y” width=”640″ height=”360″ align=”center” margin_top=”0″ margin_bottom=”20″]aHR0cHM6Ly95b3V0dS5iZS82VGRVT1I0cktvMA==[/video_player] This morning as Fed Chairwoman Yellen spoke and the markets sold off not many thought we would end the day at new all time highs across the major indexes. Yet here we are. In tonight’s video let’s look at the best way to tell if the market will end higher or lower intraday. This is a phenomenon that has happened the last 8 years after GroundHogs Day therefore we have dubbed it the GroundHog Day Effect…

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The Rally Goes On and Shorts Feel the Heat

[video_player type=”youtube” youtube_remove_logo=”Y” width=”640″ height=”360″ align=”center” margin_top=”0″ margin_bottom=”20″]aHR0cHM6Ly95b3V0dS5iZS9ULW9GMEl2aExrSQ==[/video_player] Today the SPX has once again moved exactly to its expected move. Whether you’re long or short this market in tonight’s video let’s look at what the expected move is and how to determine your risk…

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What to Do in a Market that Does Nothing…

[video_player type=”youtube” youtube_remove_logo=”Y” width=”640″ height=”360″ align=”center” margin_top=”0″ margin_bottom=”20″]aHR0cHM6Ly95b3V0dS5iZS9iS2FIeWxSaFpVMA==[/video_player] Friday saw another day of all time highs in the Nasdaq, Dow, and S&P. The Russell trailing just slightly. This past week saw another week of movement within the expected move. In this extended weekend edition let’s look at why the options market is so quiet and what you can do about it…

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Markets Moving Opposite Your Expectation?

[video_player type=”youtube” youtube_remove_logo=”Y” width=”640″ height=”360″ align=”center” margin_top=”0″ margin_bottom=”20″]aHR0cHM6Ly95b3V0dS5iZS9LdlpIRmFXX2k5cw==[/video_player] The Dow, S&P, and Nasdaq all made new highs today on news on President Trump’s announcement of major tax plan in a few weeks. If the markets are moving in the opposite direction of your expectation here’s what to look forward going forward…

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Bonds on the Verge of a Breakout, Lookout Financials!

[video_player type=”youtube” youtube_remove_logo=”Y” width=”640″ height=”360″ align=”center” margin_top=”0″ margin_bottom=”20″]aHR0cHM6Ly95b3V0dS5iZS9ZTHpJeUlNX3BVWQ==[/video_player] Another new high in the Nasdaq 100 while the rest of the major indexes trail behind. The only financial instrument moving significantly this week has been Bonds. Bonds closed at a 3 week high and interest rates plummeted. In tonight’s video we will look at what this means for the markets specifically the financials that rely on higher interest rates…

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Be Proactive and Edge Is Still There

[video_player type=”youtube” youtube_remove_logo=”Y” width=”640″ height=”360″ align=”center” margin_top=”0″ margin_bottom=”20″]aHR0cHM6Ly95b3V0dS5iZS9FMXdrZC03S0tySQ==[/video_player] Another mixed day in the market with the Dow and Nasdaq 100 making new all time highs. The S&P and Russell still drifting sideways. Volatility remains near record lows. In tonight’s video let’s look at where you can still find an edge…

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Buy and Bail Straddles are in Play

[video_player type=”youtube” youtube_remove_logo=”Y” width=”640″ height=”360″ align=”center” margin_top=”0″ margin_bottom=”20″]aHR0cHM6Ly95b3V0dS5iZS9fNkE3NzVaSDBlMA==[/video_player] A quiet post Super Bowl trading session saw stocks mixed and treasuries rise.  The one and half point rise in the 30 year is a significant move; however, the reaction from stocks was muted.  In tonight’s video let’s review one of my favorite weekly options strategies for markets like this…

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Deregulation Rally in Financials Fails to Breach New Highs

[video_player type=”youtube” youtube_remove_logo=”Y” width=”640″ height=”360″ align=”center” margin_top=”0″ margin_bottom=”20″]aHR0cHM6Ly95b3V0dS5iZS9ZOEZMVkpqM3YzWQ==[/video_player] Stocks rallied on Friday led by the deregulation talk in the financial sector and a better than expected jobs report.  The major indexes and market sectors were unable to hit new post election highs on the good news.  Volatility remains suppressed across the board despite the sell off in big tech stock names. These are the 2 sectors to watch next week…

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AMZN Spooks Afterhours, Jobs on Tap

[video_player type=”youtube” youtube_remove_logo=”Y” width=”640″ height=”360″ align=”center” margin_top=”0″ margin_bottom=”20″]aHR0cHM6Ly95b3V0dS5iZS9lZ01tbjUzM3F4QQ==[/video_player] After a quiet day in the market AMZN missed earnings expectations and lowered guidances. AMZN was sent lower by 1 standard deviation after hours. In tonight’s video we take a long term view of AMZN. Is this the start of a reversal or a dip to be bought? Tomorrow’s news of the day will be the non-farm payroll report. Here’s why this report might start becoming a market mover again… Pairs Trading: The Final Frontier Class: https://theotrade.com/pairs/

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The Underpinnings in the Market Begin to Slip, Are you Ready?

[video_player type=”youtube” youtube_remove_logo=”Y” width=”640″ height=”360″ align=”center” margin_top=”0″ margin_bottom=”20″]aHR0cHM6Ly95b3V0dS5iZS9fZTI3REtrUlBlbw==[/video_player] Equities looked to snap its recent losing streak this morning and then ended the day flat. This morning saw very strong economic data (ADP private jobs and manufacturing data), coupled with a big earnings beat out of Dow component and tech giant Apple (AAPL) overnight. The Fed ended their 2 day meeting with no interest-rate move as expected. FB was the big earnings announcement after hours beating expectations sending the stock higher. In a market near all time lows in volatility is there any chance of volatility coming? In tonight’s video we look to see if there is any volatility on the horizon… Pairs Trading: The Final Frontier Class: https://theotrade.com/pairs/

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