Uncertainty Prevails With Volatility At Extremes

[video_player type=”youtube” width=”640″ height=”360″ align=”center” margin_top=”0″ margin_bottom=”20″]aHR0cHM6Ly95b3V0dS5iZS8xNlYtRVJQMTF2Yw==[/video_player] After 9 down days don’t get fooled into thinking that the 10th day needs to be an up day in terms of volatility. There is still a 50/50 chance that Monday could be an up day or down day. What you need to pay attention to more is the risk you have exposed. In this weekend edition we will also talk expectations for next week. We are opening up our trading room for 2 days – November 8th and 9th. If you would like to trade the presidential election along side us use this link to register: https://theotrade.com/presidential-election-open-house/

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Factoring Movement Into Tuesday

[video_player type=”youtube” youtube_remove_logo=”Y” width=”640″ height=”360″ align=”center” margin_top=”0″ margin_bottom=”20″]aHR0cHM6Ly95b3V0dS5iZS9FeE1RTjk2cGpNdw==[/video_player] With the presidential election spread continuing to widen we turn to the most immediate economic news. Tomorrow will be last jobs report before the election. It will also be a key measure of what the Fed will do in their last meeting of the year. The markets have already factored in a 66% chance of a 25 basis point hike in December. A strong jobs report will make those odds go up even higher. Let’s take a look at what this risk means for your portfolio…  

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Signs of Long Duration Risk Emerging

[video_player type=”youtube” youtube_remove_logo=”Y” width=”640″ height=”360″ align=”center” margin_top=”0″ margin_bottom=”20″]aHR0cHM6Ly95b3V0dS5iZS9sMUktWDdxcFpraw==[/video_player] Markets continue to weaken in key areas. We have been talking for a while about a small group of stocks holding the markets higher. Today we saw a breakdown of these stocks much greater than the overall market. Here’s where you need to keep your eyes on in the coming days…

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How the S&P500 Will Handle the Next Week

[video_player type=”youtube” width=”560″ height=”315″ align=”center” margin_top=”0″ margin_bottom=”20″]aHR0cHM6Ly95b3V0dS5iZS9qYzh5TFllWDdrVQ==[/video_player] Lots of catalysts over the next week around the S&P500 starting tomorrow with the FOMC announcement. Unemployment numbers come out on Friday. Oh and let’s not forget the Presidential election which encompasses wikileaks and FBI announcements. Here’s how to navigate the markets in the face all these landmines…  

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Traders Are Going Long on Volatility, Are You Ready?

[video_player type=”youtube” youtube_remove_logo=”Y” width=”853″ height=”480″ align=”center” margin_top=”0″ margin_bottom=”20″]aHR0cHM6Ly95b3V0dS5iZS8yeDdTS0R2akRJQQ==[/video_player] With traders buying up and going long on volatility, what are they preparing for? The only thing that moved today was volatility. Let’s take a look…

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Risk Metrics Explode as Markets Approach a Key Threshold

[video_player type=”youtube” youtube_remove_logo=”Y” width=”853″ height=”480″ align=”center” margin_top=”0″ margin_bottom=”20″]aHR0cHM6Ly95b3V0dS5iZS91eVVldkNtQWx0VQ==[/video_player] An October surprise sends volatility spiking higher on Friday. Here’s what to look for this coming week. What types of trades to put on and how to take advantage of the election spread…

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Catching the Russell 2000 Sneaking Out the Back Door

[video_player type=”youtube” youtube_remove_logo=”Y” width=”853″ height=”480″ align=”center” margin_top=”0″ margin_bottom=”20″]aHR0cHM6Ly95b3V0dS5iZS9Bd1BYWlBUX1dWUQ==[/video_player] AMZN and GOOGL came out with earnings after the bell and they seem to be offsetting each other. There are not many stocks holding this market up and we think we are on the cusp of some volatility finally hitting this market. Here’s why…

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Taking Profits in XLE

[video_player type=”youtube” youtube_remove_logo=”Y” width=”853″ height=”480″ align=”center” margin_top=”0″ margin_bottom=”20″]aHR0cHM6Ly95b3V0dS5iZS9oNGx5TmM3TTVMNA==[/video_player] In tonight’s video we will review our trade including how we hit our 55% profit target in our XLE In Out Spreads trade. Also, let’s revisit the election spread. This is something TheoTraders have been keeping a close eye on and for the first time today has widened. Let’s review what this means for the market heading into the November 8th election…

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Forecasting on Volatility, Not Direction

[video_player type=”youtube” youtube_remove_logo=”Y” width=”853″ height=”480″ align=”center” margin_top=”0″ margin_bottom=”20″]aHR0cHM6Ly95b3V0dS5iZS9pa2E5bmNlSjZhOA==[/video_player] It’s the tech heavyweights turn for earnings reports. Now is not the time to pick direction, but base your forecasting on volatility. Here’s what to expect…

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The Ways to Play AAPL Earnings

[video_player type=”youtube” youtube_remove_logo=”Y” width=”853″ height=”480″ align=”center” margin_top=”0″ margin_bottom=”20″]aHR0cHM6Ly95b3V0dS5iZS84S2ZXb29MUmYzdw==[/video_player] In tonight’s video newsletter we are going to zero in on AAPL which has earnings after the close tomorrow. There’s a lot of ways to play AAPL earnings so let’s first look at what to avoid. We have already received emails from traders who have not taken our advice and have been burned already in this earnings season. Therefore here’s the types of trades you should focus on with AAPL if you choose to place a bet on AAPL earnings.

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Don Kaufman Don Kaufman

TheoTrade co-founder, former CBOE market maker and thinkorswim Chief Derivatives Instructor.

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