Is Gold Predicting The Fed's Move?
Bullish option trades on gold and precious metals stocks were aplenty today as we head into the FOMC policy statement on Wednesday. The trade appears to be leaning toward a dovish result as the committee is expected to release their outlook for interest rates. Will they deliver for the market? (PAAS, GLD, WPM, SVM, SYF,…
Banking Crisis, Inflation, Rate Hikes, and a Rally?
—30 billion fixes what? FRC and bank debacle —Fed Watch - rate hike or rate cut? —what volatility says about markets —bonds & bitcoin —why are energy stocks and oil tanking? —the divergence, Nasdaq vs Financials and Energy Get your trade on-- This week's Profits and Losses -- Catapult- CAT out for a $6 gain!…
Slower Hikes Means Faster Rally?
In today's video we discussed the expected slowdown of rate hikes from the Federal Reserve. We looked at the change in rate hikes and possible cuts being priced in by the summertime.
The Fear in the Financials Returns
The energy sector joins the financial sector in taking it on the chin today. Now the energy sector seems to be pricing in a major recession around the corner. Fund managers continue to move money into blue chip tech stocks. With a major ECB announcement tomorrow and still a 115 point move in the weekly…
Bank Crisis Steals The Stage From CPI
We've seen two extremely high volatility trading session so far this week - but will the rest of the week be the same? In tonight's video, we cover the regional bank and larger bank stocks, where Bonds and Gold have moved, and the surprising sell-off in Crude Oil. Finally we pinpoint the weakest stocks making…
Bank Rout Sends Feds Scrambling as Investors Panic
A lot has changed over the past week as repricing of Federal Reserve interest rate policy last Tuesday had the options market betting on red for regional banks. Now that SVIB and SBNY have folded, do the Feds have what it takes to blow the next bubble or is more downside expected? Today's option trade…
Ghosts of 2008 Return to Markets?
-- One Bad Bank?? SIVB -- regional banks PNC, CBNK, CUBI, MCB, PACW, SBNY -- immediate resolution or panic at the disco? -- Russell crushed, Bonds explode, and Vol inverts -- Oh my CPI ! Get your trade on-- This week's Profits and Losses -- Catapults- bearish spreads hitting their stride ! -- in/out spread…
Are Financials the Canary in the Coal Mine?
In yesterday's video I said if the market was going to make another leg lower it would happen on the back of financials. Financials delivered that leg lower today as the market screamed systematic risk. The financial sector is on the verge of going to the 2020 crash levels just as inflation continues to rage…
Risk Builds as Markets Become Completely Data Dependent!
It seems like the year for the stock market hinges on the next 9 trading days. The theme of the last 2 days of Fed Chair Powell testimony is "data depended" and there's no shortage of crucial data over the next week. The market could go extreme in either direction based on any one of…
As the Odds of a 25bps Rate Hike Fall, so Falls the Market: Your Sell-side Update
Chair Powell spoke this morning and his statement suggested the Fed is willing to be more aggressive to keep inflation in check, and his statement sent bearish shockwaves through the equity market. In tonight's video, we pinpoint where the sell-side activity was most aggressive, how bonds and oil fared, and what sector we're closely watching…
Recent Comments