[video_player type=”embed” style=”1″ dimensions=”640×360″ width=”640″ height=”360″ align=”center” margin_top=”0″ margin_bottom=”20″ ipad_color=”black”][/video_player] You know, I don’t care if you’re fundamentally bullish about this market or bearish, you have to just take a step back in shock and awe and try and get a grip on the magnificent sell-side activity we got yesterday. And on a day when we saw relatively soft inflation data – pure catnip for Fedheads looking to cut rates. We got a full on, pants-#$%^ing tech beatdown. And it doesn’t matter because traders erased most of those losses today. “So what,” I can hear you say, “people will buy the dip… and the dip has been bought!” That’s true, in certain corners of the market, but the charts I’m going to share with you in a second underscore the true nature of the rotation going on right now. I’m going to show you some insane options volumes, too. You

[video_player type=”embed” style=”1″ dimensions=”640×360″ width=”640″ height=”360″ align=”center” margin_top=”0″ margin_bottom=”20″ ipad_color=”black”][/video_player] Markets go up and down every day. Sometimes that’s not really significant – just the ebb and flow of capital. On other days, though, there’s a real shift in key sectors. That’s what we got today. The tech-heavy NASDAQ had sunk more than 1.7% by 3:30 PM, whereas the broader S&P 500 had dropped just 0.7%. This tech selloff scared the pants of traders and sent them scrambling for safety. When fear rules the markets, players move into cash or rotate into defensive sectors like utility and healthcare. We saw that rotation happen in this session. But calling it a “rotation” doesn’t quite do it justice; this was more like a dramatic, desperate scramble. Previously “risk-on” sectors fell 3%, while defensive sectors rallied 3%. Again, this wasn’t so much a “shift” as a tectonic event. In a moment, we’ll look

[video_player type=”embed” style=”1″ dimensions=”640×360″ width=”640″ height=”360″ align=”center” margin_top=”0″ margin_bottom=”20″ ipad_color=”black”][/video_player] The bulls just cannot be beaten right now. It’s another day, another set of all-time highs. As I write this, I’m watching the market hit – bullseye! – the upper edge of its 56.33 expected move. And here’s the thing – tomorrow, we’ll get important CPI inflation data. Even better, we’ll be moving deeper into earnings, with two dozen or more “crush events” that could bring extremely profitable trades. Upside volatility is beginning to surge. The VIX isn’t exactly jumping, but it’s showing signs of life. Of course, this action is all brought to us courtesy of the usual suspects – that shouldn’t be a surprise to anyone.There’s nothing new about any of this. But I’ll take it… Let’s take a closer look at what’s going on here and what to do about it. Don talks in the video about

[video_player type=”embed” style=”1″ dimensions=”640×360″ width=”640″ height=”360″ align=”center” margin_top=”0″ margin_bottom=”20″ ipad_color=”black”][/video_player] Traders following along with us were able to bank some significant swing-trading profits on TSLA – around 26% in a week. To do that in a timeframe where the broader market has tacked on around 3% is no mean feat. That said, what’s coming around the corner – in an entirely different sector – could be much better. I still think our biotech-bullish thesis for this quarter is going to pay off immensely. I’m seeing some tremendous opportunities here that we’ll talk about in today’s video. These are already starting to move. And we’ll look at another big mover right now: precious metals. They still look good after Fed Chair Jerome Powell tried to talk down rate cuts today. Let’s dive in…

[video_player type=”embed” style=”1″ dimensions=”640×360″ width=”640″ height=”360″ align=”center” margin_top=”0″ margin_bottom=”20″ ipad_color=”black”][/video_player] The S&P 500 is hitting all-time highs on a regular, almost serial basis these days. When the market lets the good times roll, they roll indeed. It seems as though session after session is going swimmingly for equities. But for all swimmers, it’s what lies beneath they should worry about… In this case, it’s whales. Today saw a huge upside call spread on the VIX “fear index.” This spread maxes out if the VIX reaches 45 or higher. In plain English, that means the VIX needs to attain its highest level since early 2023 if this trade has any hope of paying off by expiration. This trade is more than likely a hedge, but its profound bearishness at a time when stocks are topping highs is compelling. It’s the timing of the trade that makes this very interesting. Here’s what

[video_player type=”embed” style=”1″ dimensions=”640×360″ width=”640″ height=”360″ align=”center” margin_top=”0″ margin_bottom=”20″ ipad_color=”black”][/video_player] Holiday markets are usually very sleepy; low volumes and tame price action. Not this one. The holiday trade hanging over from yesterday’s break is packing quite a punch. After an extremely sleepy start this morning, the S&P 500 ended the day red-hot, up 0.54% – I’ll show you what that really looks like in a second. But, as happens a lot lately, that heat is courtesy of… one stock. Not that most tech stocks didn’t have a great day, but META – that’s Facebook to those of us older than 3 – tore it up this session, better than 5%. The market for META options was looking for a $10 move this week… and it got double that. That’s got some heavy implications, as we’ll see. We’ve got to talk about Bitcoin, too. It’s tanking. One Bitcoin would’ve bought you

[video_player type=”embed” style=”1″ dimensions=”640×360″ width=”640″ height=”360″ align=”center” margin_top=”0″ margin_bottom=”20″ ipad_color=”black”][/video_player] The S&P 500 and NASDAQ both hit record highs today – in a shortened, not-very-exciting trading session. But we’re also seeing numerous signs that the U.S. economy is starting to slow down. I think, if you look in the right places, we’re seeing really ominous signs of that dreaded beast, stagflation. And this is all before nonfarm payroll data hits on Friday. That’s why it’s important we act right now, while all this is happening. Because you don’t want to be the trader this stuff happens to. We want to be proactive. That’s the name of the game right now. So we’re going to look at the kinds of stocks and assets that are great for times like these – a substitute for gold, two retailers – one that does consistent business, the other a major discounter. And we’ll look

[video_player type=”embed” style=”1″ dimensions=”640×360″ width=”640″ height=”360″ align=”center” margin_top=”0″ margin_bottom=”20″ ipad_color=”black”][/video_player] The tech sector, as tracked by the XLK ETF, is up close to 22% over the past six months, beating, by a mile, the 16% gains seen in the S&P 500. While we’ve seen some compelling signs that the market is ready for new leadership, tech is still presenting problems for the bears. That said, I think we’re in the sucker phase of the current rally; bandwagoning, not fundamentals, are powering this thing higher. I need to see participation broaden significantly if I’m to be convinced this is sustainable. But, for all of that, I’m not ready to switch up to bearish trading strategies yet. There are still breakout setups unfolding, served up on a silver platter. Let me show you what I mean…

[video_player type=”embed” style=”1″ dimensions=”640×360″ width=”640″ height=”360″ align=”center” margin_top=”0″ margin_bottom=”20″ ipad_color=”black”][/video_player] Bonds were battered today as economic data, SCOTUS, and other news pushed prices lower and yields higher. While the bond market was anything but quiet, the reaction from interest rate-sensitive securities like REITs and financial and utility stocks was fairly muted. Sounds strange to say it, but I just did… If this all sounds like something is breaking, you might well be right, but don’t tell that to Tesla investors – they drove the stock more than 6% higher for the session, a huge move for a $657 billion stock. The bulls’ fingerprints were everywhere in the options market, too – TSLA, ROKU, and ARKK saw strong unusual option activity. There is some risk-taking out there and this makes a potential setup for a spread trade. The uncertainty peppering news feeds seemed to help gold – a little. The yellow

[video_player type=”embed” style=”1″ dimensions=”640×360″ width=”640″ height=”360″ align=”center” margin_top=”0″ margin_bottom=”20″ ipad_color=”black”][/video_player] Well, Q2/2024 ended with a whimper of sorts, drifting down 0.26% in late trading. But don’t let that fool you; the S&P 500 will actually close up a healthy 5.1% for the quarter. So don’t be distracted by the selling today – much of that is being driven by institutions engaged in quarterly rebalancing. But, for a strong third quarter, we need to see new leadership emerge; the market cannot keep living according to the will of the tech sector alone. As I’ve been saying, I think healthcare and biotech are more than capable of stepping up to the plate, and we’re looking for those early opportunities accordingly. While I’m at it, I wouldn’t be surprised if the ongoing bifurcation in retail continued, as well. Let me show you what I mean – and what I’m looking for out there…