Shots Fired – Are New Lows on Deck?

[video_player type=”embed” style=”1″ dimensions=”640×360″ width=”640″ height=”360″ align=”center” margin_top=”0″ margin_bottom=”20″ ipad_color=”black”][/video_player] -Good jobs gone bad -Fed Probabilities a flyin’ -Bonds on the edge of abyss -Low Beta equals high risk? XLU, VZ, PG -new leg of extreme volatility forthcoming? -MegaMarket Cap @ lows -earnings on deck SPX Expected Move – -last week – 121.11 (expected move) -next week – 124.50 (expected move)

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Are You Ready for the Friday Jobs Report?

[video_player type=”embed” style=”1″ dimensions=”640×360″ width=”640″ height=”360″ align=”center” margin_top=”0″ margin_bottom=”20″ ipad_color=”black”][/video_player] Friday gives us the big Non-Farm Payrolls or monthly “Jobs Report” and we’re ready to go. In tonight’s video, we highlight the volatility and potential expected move ranges to look for on any surprises before the market opens tomorrow. We also take a quick look at ongoing trends in the Dollar, Interest Rates, and Bonds and finish by pinpointing which one sector gained ground today and the one sector that fell the most (it might surprise you)…

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Price Action In Markets Screams Considerable Risk is Prevalent

[video_player type=”embed” style=”1″ dimensions=”640×360″ width=”640″ height=”360″ align=”center” margin_top=”0″ margin_bottom=”20″ ipad_color=”black”][/video_player] Whipsaw price action in the S&P 500 today as buyers eventually came in to send the S&P to a 2 standard deviation move on the week. With everyone looking at this as the largest move up since the covid crash here’s why considerable risk remains.

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The Risk Reversal is Playing Out but How Far Could it Go?

[video_player type=”embed” style=”1″ dimensions=”640×360″ width=”640″ height=”360″ align=”center” margin_top=”0″ margin_bottom=”20″ ipad_color=”black”][/video_player] Stocks rallied roughly 5% in the last two sessions as the “Risk Reversal” we discussed in last week’s video is coming to life. But how far will it go and what are we watching specifically at the end of the week? Find out in tonight’s Theo video update…

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Hope for Fed Pivot Helps Stocks Despite Data

[video_player type=”embed” style=”1″ dimensions=”640×360″ width=”640″ height=”360″ align=”center” margin_top=”0″ margin_bottom=”20″ ipad_color=”black”][/video_player] Are we back to what’s good is bad and bad is good? It sure appeared so as ISM Manufacturing New Orders slipped into contraction and Apple expects App Store purchases to decline. What’s about to lead the way in the short-term recovery? (AAPL, XLU, JPM, OXY, TSLA, PCG, KO)…

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Can Markets Back the Fed into a Corner???

[video_player type=”embed” style=”1″ dimensions=”640×360″ width=”640″ height=”360″ align=”center” margin_top=”0″ margin_bottom=”20″ ipad_color=”black”][/video_player] – BOE broke who’s next? – Inflation vs the Fed – PCE inflation data HOT! – Breaking the central banks – Dollar and bonds – Volatility positioning – AAPL, TSLA, AMZN, SBUX, Energy, Financials SPX Expected Move – last week – 123.00 (expected move) – next week – 121.11 (expected move)

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More Volatility, More Economic Reports, and So Far More New Lows Today

[video_player type=”embed” style=”1″ dimensions=”640×360″ width=”640″ height=”360″ align=”center” margin_top=”0″ margin_bottom=”20″ ipad_color=”black”][/video_player] As we end September 2022 and prepare for October, stock indexes and futures fell to new lows of 2022 with key stocks continuing to print new lows ahead of the indexes. Today focused not just on Apple (AAPL) declining 5% but other leading tech and retail stocks joining into large intraday losses. In tonight’s video, we set the stage for more economic reports Friday as volatility remains high across the markets…

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Are Central Bankers Panicking?

[video_player type=”embed” style=”1″ dimensions=”640×360″ width=”640″ height=”360″ align=”center” margin_top=”0″ margin_bottom=”20″ ipad_color=”black”][/video_player] Bank of England becomes the first central bank to blink. All asset classes rallied today except for AAPL. This could be the start of a bear market rally, but in reality nothing has fundamentally changed.

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As New Lows Continue in Equities and Bonds, it’s Time to Update Reward and Risk Plays Here

[video_player type=”embed” style=”1″ dimensions=”640×360″ width=”640″ height=”360″ align=”center” margin_top=”0″ margin_bottom=”20″ ipad_color=”black”][/video_player] The ongoing 2022 “Inflation” Trends continued and even accelerated today with Bonds breaking sharply to new lows (as did equities) while the US Dollar Index and Treasury Yields extended new highs of the year. Will this always be the case? In tonight’s video, we start shifting our thinking about positioning with reward and risk firmly in mind as we navigate a volatile, headline-filled trading week.

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Market at Pivotal Level as Currency Crisis Deepens

[video_player type=”embed” style=”1″ dimensions=”640×360″ width=”640″ height=”360″ align=”center” margin_top=”0″ margin_bottom=”20″ ipad_color=”black”][/video_player] The S&P is back to where it began in mid-June, which means the next leg lower could be a big one. As the S&P tests key levels, the currency markets are roiling and the bond market is getting more volatile. Today was a big roll day with bullish option activity in gold and bearish activity in the dollar. Is this the bullish short-term setup that traders have been waiting for? (FXI, KWEB, LVS, WYNN, GLD, AUY, UUP, HYG, IYR, EFA)…

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