Fed Day! Your Plan for Wednesday’s Volatility

[video_player type=”embed” style=”1″ dimensions=”640×360″ width=”640″ height=”360″ align=”center” margin_top=”0″ margin_bottom=”20″ ipad_color=”black”][/video_player] The Fed is in focus again as we start a new month in 2022, with Wednesday being a “Fed Day.” We’ll be carefully watching the press conference for the word “Pivot” or any sense the Fed will take a less-aggressive approach to future increases in the Fed Funds rate; barring that, we’ll likely see continuation of ongoing trends across the board. We also take a quick look at earnings as we see another day of weakness in the tech sector and NASDAQ…

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Data and Fed Sets Up Explosive Week

[video_player type=”embed” style=”1″ dimensions=”640×360″ width=”640″ height=”360″ align=”center” margin_top=”0″ margin_bottom=”20″ ipad_color=”black”][/video_player] The market is setting up for a big week as the Fed and jobs data are released. With the Dow poised to have its biggest October performance in history and the biggest month since 1976, what’s next for stocks? Is the market poised to head lower as jumbo valuations continue to drag, or is this the beginning of a new bull market set to take flight? (CGC, CANO, HOOD, WYNN, TLRY, SOFI, XOM, NOV)…

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A Pivotal Fed Moment for Markets?

[video_player type=”embed” style=”1″ dimensions=”640×360″ width=”640″ height=”360″ align=”center” margin_top=”0″ margin_bottom=”20″ ipad_color=”black”][/video_player] -Breaking bad, outside the volatility box – where we are headed, /ES levels you need to know -Big, bad, and ugly, a tech earnings slaughterhouse -100 billion reasons to be concerned about tech -Will the Fed dove out? Probabilities of hiking! -GDP was great, durable goods a disaster, PCE as expected -short something? Here are a few ideas SPX Expected Move– –last week–   113.92  (expected move) –next week–  118.51  (expected move)  

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Tech Earnings Take Down the NASDAQ Again: Major Earnings in Play as we End a Volatile Week

[video_player type=”embed” style=”1″ dimensions=”640×360″ width=”640″ height=”360″ align=”center” margin_top=”0″ margin_bottom=”20″ ipad_color=”black”][/video_player] We’ve seen technology stocks surprise to the downside on earnings, pulling down the tech sector and the NASDAQ while other stocks in other sectors remained strong. Today’s earnings could change that. In tonight’s video we revisit the “Risk Reversal” play now that an initial price target is complete and then cover stocks large and small and the impact of earnings in the broader market….

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Is the Market Rally On the Rocks?

[video_player type=”embed” style=”1″ dimensions=”640×360″ width=”640″ height=”360″ align=”center” margin_top=”0″ margin_bottom=”20″ ipad_color=”black”][/video_player] The S&P 500 hits the upper edge of the weekly expected move and immediately reverses on the day. With big tech earnings disasters the short covering rally is in danger of fizzling out. Here’s what to look for the rest of the week…

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Tech Earnings Take Down the NASDAQ After the Bell – Expected Moves to Know for Wednesday

[video_player type=”embed” style=”1″ dimensions=”640×360″ width=”640″ height=”360″ align=”center” margin_top=”0″ margin_bottom=”20″ ipad_color=”black”][/video_player] Despite another strong up-day and stock market rally, earnings from major tech stocks Microsoft (MSFT) and Alphabet (GOOGL) took the NASDAQ lower after-hours with their surprise earnings reports. In tonight’s update, we continue the “Risk-Reversal” play and targets (almost achieved today) and then highlight the SP100 stocks with earnings and how they may open and trade Wednesday – along with which two major stocks are in play for Wednesday’s earnings after the bell.

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Is It Time to Buy?

[video_player type=”embed” style=”1″ dimensions=”640×360″ width=”640″ height=”360″ align=”center” margin_top=”0″ margin_bottom=”20″ ipad_color=”black”][/video_player] Despite the S&P 500 making its highest close since September 20, today’s trade was more defensive in nature. The new high close saw Healthcare and Staples lead as the volatility backdrop is open for bigger upside movement. With the Fed as spoiler, it appears the market may be playing it safe. (KO, KDP, DLTR, CVS, WBA, KHC, SMPL)…

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Did Bonds Hit the Point of No Return?

[video_player type=”embed” style=”1″ dimensions=”640×360″ width=”640″ height=”360″ align=”center” margin_top=”0″ margin_bottom=”20″ ipad_color=”black”][/video_player] – price action in the SP500 is a vol slopfest! – inside the vol box 3600 to 3800 – correlations remain incredibly high (sign of vol) – vix still holding the 30 handle w/ backwardation – volatility is alive 3641 to infinity and beyond – bonds have collapsed, capitulation? – implications of spiking yields, buybacks, consumer credit, housing markets – currency volatility – its earnings GO TIME! SPX Expected Move- -last week – 120.23 (expected move) -next week – 113.92 (expected move)

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Bonds and Stocks Slide while Stock Earnings Split

[video_player type=”embed” style=”1″ dimensions=”640×360″ width=”640″ height=”360″ align=”center” margin_top=”0″ margin_bottom=”20″ ipad_color=”black”][/video_player] The big headline of today was bonds including TLT and IEF extending their downward slide to fresh new lows of 2022 (while yields on the flipside made new highs), but beneath that headline, we saw big movement in some key stocks reporting earnings. In tonight’s video, we update your trends and targets and where stocks settled after a week of earnings plays…

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This Range that Defines ALL Markets!

[video_player type=”embed” style=”1″ dimensions=”640×360″ width=”640″ height=”360″ align=”center” margin_top=”0″ margin_bottom=”20″ ipad_color=”black”][/video_player] Financials continue to get hammered as well as the Monsters of Tech while the Energy sector continues to explode to the upside. Join Don in tonight’s video as he discusses the range that defines ALL markets and find out if Don is still longterm bearish in this marketplace and what you need to be aware of before you even think of allocating more capital…

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