The Risk Reversal is Playing Out but How Far Could it Go?

[video_player type=”embed” style=”1″ dimensions=”640×360″ width=”640″ height=”360″ align=”center” margin_top=”0″ margin_bottom=”20″ ipad_color=”black”][/video_player] Stocks rallied roughly 5% in the last two sessions as the “Risk Reversal” we discussed in last week’s video is coming to life. But how far will it go and what are we watching specifically at the end of the week? Find out in tonight’s Theo video update…

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Hope for Fed Pivot Helps Stocks Despite Data

[video_player type=”embed” style=”1″ dimensions=”640×360″ width=”640″ height=”360″ align=”center” margin_top=”0″ margin_bottom=”20″ ipad_color=”black”][/video_player] Are we back to what’s good is bad and bad is good? It sure appeared so as ISM Manufacturing New Orders slipped into contraction and Apple expects App Store purchases to decline. What’s about to lead the way in the short-term recovery? (AAPL, XLU, JPM, OXY, TSLA, PCG, KO)…

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Can Markets Back the Fed into a Corner???

[video_player type=”embed” style=”1″ dimensions=”640×360″ width=”640″ height=”360″ align=”center” margin_top=”0″ margin_bottom=”20″ ipad_color=”black”][/video_player] – BOE broke who’s next? – Inflation vs the Fed – PCE inflation data HOT! – Breaking the central banks – Dollar and bonds – Volatility positioning – AAPL, TSLA, AMZN, SBUX, Energy, Financials SPX Expected Move – last week – 123.00 (expected move) – next week – 121.11 (expected move)

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More Volatility, More Economic Reports, and So Far More New Lows Today

[video_player type=”embed” style=”1″ dimensions=”640×360″ width=”640″ height=”360″ align=”center” margin_top=”0″ margin_bottom=”20″ ipad_color=”black”][/video_player] As we end September 2022 and prepare for October, stock indexes and futures fell to new lows of 2022 with key stocks continuing to print new lows ahead of the indexes. Today focused not just on Apple (AAPL) declining 5% but other leading tech and retail stocks joining into large intraday losses. In tonight’s video, we set the stage for more economic reports Friday as volatility remains high across the markets…

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Are Central Bankers Panicking?

[video_player type=”embed” style=”1″ dimensions=”640×360″ width=”640″ height=”360″ align=”center” margin_top=”0″ margin_bottom=”20″ ipad_color=”black”][/video_player] Bank of England becomes the first central bank to blink. All asset classes rallied today except for AAPL. This could be the start of a bear market rally, but in reality nothing has fundamentally changed.

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As New Lows Continue in Equities and Bonds, it’s Time to Update Reward and Risk Plays Here

[video_player type=”embed” style=”1″ dimensions=”640×360″ width=”640″ height=”360″ align=”center” margin_top=”0″ margin_bottom=”20″ ipad_color=”black”][/video_player] The ongoing 2022 “Inflation” Trends continued and even accelerated today with Bonds breaking sharply to new lows (as did equities) while the US Dollar Index and Treasury Yields extended new highs of the year. Will this always be the case? In tonight’s video, we start shifting our thinking about positioning with reward and risk firmly in mind as we navigate a volatile, headline-filled trading week.

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Market at Pivotal Level as Currency Crisis Deepens

[video_player type=”embed” style=”1″ dimensions=”640×360″ width=”640″ height=”360″ align=”center” margin_top=”0″ margin_bottom=”20″ ipad_color=”black”][/video_player] The S&P is back to where it began in mid-June, which means the next leg lower could be a big one. As the S&P tests key levels, the currency markets are roiling and the bond market is getting more volatile. Today was a big roll day with bullish option activity in gold and bearish activity in the dollar. Is this the bullish short-term setup that traders have been waiting for? (FXI, KWEB, LVS, WYNN, GLD, AUY, UUP, HYG, IYR, EFA)…

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Are Markets Coming Apart?

[video_player type=”embed” style=”1″ dimensions=”640×360″ width=”640″ height=”360″ align=”center” margin_top=”0″ margin_bottom=”20″ ipad_color=”black”][/video_player] -Vol in backwardation, VVIX starting to react -SKEW is downright scary -dollar relentlessly higher -financials and energy leading lower -AAPL leaves BIG risk on the SP500 table -risk off asset classes may shift SPX Expected Move -last week – 117.28 (expected move) -next week – 123.00 (expected move)

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Fed Fall-out as Stocks Continue their Slide Lower

[video_player type=”embed” style=”1″ dimensions=”640×360″ width=”640″ height=”360″ align=”center” margin_top=”0″ margin_bottom=”20″ ipad_color=”black”][/video_player] Stocks were volatile in the moments of yesterday’s 75 bps rate hike news and press conference, but the slide lower continued into yesterday’s close and extended to the close of today’s session with more stocks companies joining our scan of stocks making fresh new 52 week lows (including some major market cap names). In tonight’s video, we highlight the continued move in Interest Rates, Bonds, Stocks, and the US Dollar and pinpoint which leading stocks are pressing new lows and the chance of them falling even lower…

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Fear and Loathing with the FED!

[video_player type=”embed” style=”1″ dimensions=”640×360″ width=”640″ height=”360″ align=”center” margin_top=”0″ margin_bottom=”20″ ipad_color=”black”][/video_player] Powell rocks markets with comments of higher interest rates for a longer period of time. Powell puts everything on the table to fight the highest inflation the US has seen in 40 years. Here’s the one stock to watch that will determine the next move for the entire stock market…

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