Sour AAPL Ruins a Decent Rally

[video_player type=”embed” style=”1″ dimensions=”640×360″ width=”640″ height=”360″ align=”center” margin_top=”0″ margin_bottom=”20″ ipad_color=”black”][/video_player] Rally reverses on news that AAPL plans to slowdown hiring and spending. If the largest most profitable company on the planet is struggling that does not bode well for any other company and the economy at large. There will be lots of earnings announcements coming up and here’s how I would trade NFLX’s earnings.

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Markets Bounce while Economic Issues Continue to Mount

[video_player type=”embed” style=”1″ dimensions=”640×360″ width=”640″ height=”360″ align=”center” margin_top=”0″ margin_bottom=”20″ ipad_color=”black”][/video_player] –data dependent and sketchy! –FOMC July 27th –earnings mixed but do numbers matter? — JPM, WFC, C, MS, Tech on deck –Chinese GDP did not impact markets –inverted curve –dollar/commodity crisis SPX Expected Move — –last week —  94.70   (expected move) –next week–  87.83   (expected move)

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Your Focus on Financials XLF Ahead of an Active Earnings Friday

[video_player type=”embed” style=”1″ dimensions=”640×360″ width=”640″ height=”360″ align=”center” margin_top=”0″ margin_bottom=”20″ ipad_color=”black”][/video_player] Morgan Stanley (MS) and JP Morgan (JPM) lead the group of financial stocks in the XLF with earnings this morning, and both companies missed revenue and estimates. Tomorrow morning treats us additional leading financial stocks as they report their earnings and any guidance from their upcoming conference calls. We pinpoint the expected moves and what to expect within the ongoing sell-off in financial shares…

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Does a Hot CPI Indicate a More Aggressive FED?

[video_player type=”embed” style=”1″ dimensions=”640×360″ width=”640″ height=”360″ align=”center” margin_top=”0″ margin_bottom=”20″ ipad_color=”black”][/video_player] Blow out CPI numbers for June sends a strong message to the FED they need to get more aggressive with the rate hikes. The SPX once again is dangling off the cliff of the Weekly expected move. There’s a tug of war between the bear and bull case. Here’s what to expect the next 2 trading days…

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Small Business Optimism Falling and Home Sales Cancellations? It’ OK, it’s Prime Day!

[video_player type=”embed” style=”1″ dimensions=”640×360″ width=”640″ height=”360″ align=”center” margin_top=”0″ margin_bottom=”20″ ipad_color=”black”][/video_player] With small business confidence drifting to record lows and home sales cancellations spiking to COID highs, the market appears to be taking it in stride. As we wrap up a historically bullish 2-week period, we’re now looking ahead to another earnings season this week with banks and don’t forget Amazon Prime Day, which is sure to strain already extended credit limits. With all this news, we may need to swap this Fed-powered speedboat for a Canoo. (GOEV, KBH, TEVA, DAL, FXI, AMC, AMZN)

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Financial Stocks in Focus as we Plan the Active Week Ahead

[video_player type=”embed” style=”1″ dimensions=”640×360″ width=”640″ height=”360″ align=”center” margin_top=”0″ margin_bottom=”20″ ipad_color=”black”][/video_player] We’re starting the week on a stock sell-off as bonds rally on a Monday. In tonight’s video, we pinpoint our active price levels in key stocks including major Technology (XLK) and Financial (XLF) companies as we prepare for leading financial stocks to report earnings later this week.

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Will Summer Trade Bring Down Volatility?

[video_player type=”embed” style=”1″ dimensions=”640×360″ width=”640″ height=”360″ align=”center” margin_top=”0″ margin_bottom=”20″ ipad_color=”black”][/video_player] –good jobs numbers gone bad –all engines go for FED hikes –rate fears shall re-ignite –oil collapses then rebounds –did dollar peak? –energy and financials will lead –earnings are here! –Low VIX, VVIX, and SKEW –considerable risk to the downside remains SPX Expected Move — –last week —   93.99    (expected move 4 day week) –next week–   94.70    (expected move)

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Your Stock and Sector Check-Up ahead of the Monthly Jobs Report

[video_player type=”embed” style=”1″ dimensions=”640×360″ width=”640″ height=”360″ align=”center” margin_top=”0″ margin_bottom=”20″ ipad_color=”black”][/video_player] Friday will give us the potential market-moving catalyst of the monthly Jobs Report and that could give effective clues about the ongoing health or weakness of the broader economy – and it could move markets. In tonight’s video, we pinpoint the ongoing trends in equity futures, Gold, Oil, and Bonds while also pinpointing the key price levels as they stand now in the nine major market sectors…

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Can this Flimsy Market Rally Hold?

[video_player type=”embed” style=”1″ dimensions=”640×360″ width=”640″ height=”360″ align=”center” margin_top=”0″ margin_bottom=”20″ ipad_color=”black”][/video_player] Stocks continue with a meek rally as Fed confirms hawkish stance in the FOMC minutes. We have to wonder whether the markets have yet to fully price in substantially higher rates.

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See You at the Bear Market Crossroads as Oil Stumbles and Dollar Pops

[video_player type=”embed” style=”1″ dimensions=”640×360″ width=”640″ height=”360″ align=”center” margin_top=”0″ margin_bottom=”20″ ipad_color=”black”][/video_player] This must be what it’s like when worlds collide as bulls are feelin’ frisky just as the bears are just getting started. Does the value proposition based on trailing earnings trump the negative inertia of a floundering economy and rising real inflation? Tie goes to the bond market. (USO, X, DBD, DG, Z, NFLX, VTI)

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Don Kaufman Don Kaufman

TheoTrade co-founder, former CBOE market maker and thinkorswim Chief Derivatives Instructor.

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