SPX Expected Move

SPX Expected Move The SPX expected move is telling us exactly what the market is doing - nothing. The weekly options for the SPX is telling us that the market is waiting for the unemployment numbers that will be released Friday morning. Let's review what to expect when the market expects nothing.

Stock Market Recovery

Stock Market Recovery Stock market breakout and tonight we turn our attention to how much of can the stock market recover. Bonds broke down and the trend line. This now means real money is flowing from Bonds into stocks. However, it is difficult to make a case for chasing stocks here. There has been a…

Low Trading Volume

Low Trading Volume The stock market is marred by low trading volume across the board whether we look at futures or individual stocks. This is risky for the market because the market will move on any news. If you're into patterns the bond market is has a bearish wedge pattern setting up. Conversely the XLF,…

SPX Weekly Options

SPX Weekly Options SPX Weekly Options now have 2 weekly options per week. Yes I know it's confusing. There is now a mid week SPX expiration to go along with the end of week expiration. They did this to match up the SPX with the volatility futures. Let's take a look at the probabilities in…

Stock Market Sectors Performance

Stock Market Sectors Performance How are the difference stock market sectors performing with the SPX rising to its highest level since the first week of the year? The SPX is in a make or break area. This level has failed twice already and now the SPX could either make it's way to 2000 or fail…

Oil Leads Market Higher

Oil Leads Market Higher Oil leads the market higher today after the oil report comes out. The market reversal blew through a key level in the S&P at 1911. The next level to watch is 1934. If the S&P can break through that then I would expect 2000 to be in play. Keep this in…

Stocks and Bonds Inverse Relationship

Stocks and Bonds Inverse Relationship The stocks and bonds inverse relationship holds up today. As we look at the stock sell off and bond rally a bit closer we see that the market is acting very orderly. The market is doing what you would expect and the problem is the market rarely does what you…

Bear Market Coming

Bear Market Coming Round 2 of the bear market is coming. First let's look at the S&P futures that today saw the lowest volume of the year. Over the weekend I talked about how we needed more of a rally to squeeze traders out of their positions. Today we have come to a formidable level…

Volatility in the Stock Market

Volatility in the Stock Market Here's how TheoTrade has traded with the volatility in the stock market. This week we closed out winning trades in AMZN, EEM, and SPX. Let's look to next week and what we expect. There is a strong possibility of there being a little bit more of a short covering rally…

Stock Rally Over

Stock Rally Over Is the stock rally over? After a 3 day rally stocks pulled back today. The Nasdaq COMP saw the biggest pullback. The Nasdaq was led lower by aapl, amzn, fb, googl, and nflx. At one time these stocks were leading the Nasdaq higher and now they are leading the Nasdaq lower. Also,…