Will the End of the Quarter End the Rally?

[video_player type=”embed” style=”1″ dimensions=”640×360″ width=”640″ height=”360″ align=”center” margin_top=”0″ margin_bottom=”20″ ipad_color=”black”][/video_player] -Window dressing or real rally? -Order-flow in tech has changed -Expected Moves XLF & XLE vs QQQ -Bonds & yield curve -Position update SPX Expected Move– Last week- 54.73 (expected move 5 day week) Next week- 53.54 (expected move 3 1/2 day week)

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GDP Signals More Rate Hikes Needed

[video_player type=”embed” style=”1″ dimensions=”640×360″ width=”640″ height=”360″ align=”center” margin_top=”0″ margin_bottom=”20″ ipad_color=”black”][/video_player] In today’s video, we look at Final GDP as a confirmation of a resilient economy and the justification if not requirement of future Federal Reserve rate hikes. We discuss the movement of copper as an indication of falling global demand and also look at the bearish breakout in bond prices and bullish breakout in yields as confirmation of future rate hikes.

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Taking Profits in an Uncertain Market

[video_player type=”embed” style=”1″ dimensions=”640×360″ width=”640″ height=”360″ align=”center” margin_top=”0″ margin_bottom=”20″ ipad_color=”black”][/video_player] Ultima Trades strike again as we close several profitable positions this week in a highly uncertain market.

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Stock Scans and Unusual Strength in Unlikely Stocks

[video_player type=”embed” style=”1″ dimensions=”640×360″ width=”640″ height=”360″ align=”center” margin_top=”0″ margin_bottom=”20″ ipad_color=”black”][/video_player] Today saw the stock market rally over 1%, snapping last week’s series of down days with a bounce play intraday. However, some of the strongest stocks in today’s session surprised traders with resilient relative strength in surprising sectors. In tonight’s video, we’ll pinpoint these unusually strong stocks that continue to get stronger amid a mixed market in motion.

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Bears Negotiating a Truce as Tech Option Activity Heats Up

[video_player type=”embed” style=”1″ dimensions=”640×360″ width=”640″ height=”360″ align=”center” margin_top=”0″ margin_bottom=”20″ ipad_color=”black”][/video_player] We finally get a pull-back and the bears appear to be losing some momentum. Energy and Real Estate topped today’s performance, but it’s big cap technology that appears to have bullish option activity building beneath the surface. (QCOM, AMD, INTC, OXY, JNJ, GIS, AMZN)

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Market Unwind? From Rally to Recession

[video_player type=”embed” style=”1″ dimensions=”640×360″ width=”640″ height=”360″ align=”center” margin_top=”0″ margin_bottom=”20″ ipad_color=”black”][/video_player] – The other-side of the gamma squeeze – Where is the volatility? – Are we really selling-off? Not TECH! – Inverted skews – Commodities sell-off, bonds rally – Position update SPX Expected Move – – Last week – 50.91 (Expected move 4 day week) – Next week – 54.73 (Expected move 5 day week)

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Is the Fed Afraid of Destroying Equities?

[video_player type=”embed” style=”1″ dimensions=”640×360″ width=”640″ height=”360″ align=”center” margin_top=”0″ margin_bottom=”20″ ipad_color=”black”][/video_player] In today’s video, we discuss why the recent pause from the Federal Reserve rate hikes while the rest of the world is raising rates. We discuss the Bank of England, the Reserve Bank of Australia and others increasing rates with surprise hikes desperate to fight inflation. In addition, we discuss the direct correlation with Fed liquidity and U.S. equities and review consumer discretionary as an indicator for the overall health of the economy.

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Is it Time to Sell?

[video_player type=”embed” style=”1″ dimensions=”640×360″ width=”640″ height=”360″ align=”center” margin_top=”0″ margin_bottom=”20″ ipad_color=”black”][/video_player] Markets feel chaotic, broken, and disconnected from all semblance of technicals and fundamentals as orderflow has shifted into the shortest duration possible. Don Kaufman explores what to look for when REAL sellers do arrive and details specific levels in the SPX that are critical make or break for markets in the days to come!

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Planning our Quiet Week Ahead While Guarding for Surprises

[video_player type=”embed” style=”1″ dimensions=”640×360″ width=”640″ height=”360″ align=”center” margin_top=”0″ margin_bottom=”20″ ipad_color=”black”][/video_player] We’re just past the middle of June and – so far – it’s a quiet week in the market with expected news and earnings. That could of course change but until then, we make note of FedEx (FDX) falling after-hours in earnings, Chair Powell this week on any surprises from the Federal Reserve, and we view some interesting, unexpected stocks making new 52 week highs and remaining strong through heavy headwinds in 2023.

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The Extremes of Markets Stress Test the Shorts!

[video_player type=”embed” style=”1″ dimensions=”640×360″ width=”640″ height=”360″ align=”center” margin_top=”0″ margin_bottom=”20″ ipad_color=”black”][/video_player] -Gamma squeeze + short squeeze -Moves higher are not what they appear -FED, ECB more hikes ahead -CPI, PPI, Jobless claims -SPX EM upside shattered -Pposition updates SPX Expected Move -Last Week – 65.29 (expected move 5 day week) -Next Week – 50.91 (expected move 4 day week)

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Don Kaufman Don Kaufman

TheoTrade co-founder, former CBOE market maker and thinkorswim Chief Derivatives Instructor.

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