Feel the Wrath of the NASDAQ!

[video_player type=”embed” style=”1″ dimensions=”640×360″ width=”640″ height=”360″ align=”center” margin_top=”0″ margin_bottom=”20″ ipad_color=”black”][/video_player] – NQ finished the week FLAT! – Mega market cap squeezes invert IV skew – IV SKEW near record highs – Will FED place its PAWS on the markets? – The triple witch returns will volatility? Get your trade on – This week’s Profits and Losses – Closed META bearish put spread – Closed /ES puts 50% gain – Opened new /ES short puts against hedges – TSLA IV Skew sets up this opportunity SPX Expected Move – – Last week – 55.02 (expected move 5 day week) – Next week – 65.29 (expected move 5 day week)

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Real Data Revealed: Unmasking Economic Revisions’ Impact

[video_player type=”embed” style=”1″ dimensions=”640×360″ width=”640″ height=”360″ align=”center” margin_top=”0″ margin_bottom=”20″ ipad_color=”black”][/video_player] In today’s video we discuss economic revisions and how they show the true state of the economy and how the revisions are both justifying more rate hikes while also signaling a shift in consumer spending. We also look at selling high end stores and restaurants while buying discount store and fast food chains…

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Tech Sellers Return with a Vengeance

[video_player type=”embed” style=”1″ dimensions=”640×360″ width=”640″ height=”360″ align=”center” margin_top=”0″ margin_bottom=”20″ ipad_color=”black”][/video_player] Tech sector rattled while energy and financial stocks rally. After a massive run up in tech everyone in scrambling at once to rotate out of tech and into other sectors. Here’s what to look for to see if the rotation will continue…

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Finding Focus – and Surprises – in a Flat Market

[video_player type=”embed” style=”1″ dimensions=”640×360″ width=”640″ height=”360″ align=”center” margin_top=”0″ margin_bottom=”20″ ipad_color=”black”][/video_player] While the NASDAQ (tech stocks) and SP500 were “massively unchanged” (flat) today, there were some key surprises both in the small cap index Russell 2000 (RTY and IWM) along with some surprising stocks showing relative strength by making even more fresh new 2023 highs. Where are the pockets of surprise strength and what sense do we make out of today’s flat market? Find out in tonight’s video.

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Bearish Vision as Apple Tests All-Time High

[video_player type=”embed” style=”1″ dimensions=”640×360″ width=”640″ height=”360″ align=”center” margin_top=”0″ margin_bottom=”20″ ipad_color=”black”][/video_player] Apple’s first new product category in 8 years is a mixed-reality headset for $3499. After watching the mixed-reception in the company’s share price, does this represent the peak in Apple as it makes a new all-time high? (AAPL, U, RIG, GM, KEY, COIN, XLV).

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The Buy-Side Frenzy Continues!

[video_player type=”embed” style=”1″ dimensions=”640×360″ width=”640″ height=”360″ align=”center” margin_top=”0″ margin_bottom=”20″ ipad_color=”black”][/video_player] – The range has been broken! – The breakout above 4230! – The up before the down? – Stocks no one wanted to touch being bought! – CAT, XLF, XLE, IWM Get your trade on – This week’s profits and losses – Closed /ES 3300 short for 50% gain – Closed GLD in/out spread 30% gain – Opened META in/out put spread – Opened short calls as we tagged upper SPX EM! SPX Expected Move – – Last week – 79.57 (Expected move 4 day week) – Next week – 55.02 (Expected move 5 day week)

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Is the Fed Afraid to Raise Rates?

[video_player type=”embed” style=”1″ dimensions=”640×360″ width=”640″ height=”360″ align=”center” margin_top=”0″ margin_bottom=”20″ ipad_color=”black”][/video_player] In today’s video we discuss comments from Fed President Harker and the market reaction to a potential pause. We discuss inflation and equities and how a pause in raising rates will likely see commodities and equities move higher. We also considered the risk of higher inflation without another hike.

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Is Big Tech Beginning to Break?

[video_player type=”embed” style=”1″ dimensions=”640×360″ width=”640″ height=”360″ align=”center” margin_top=”0″ margin_bottom=”20″ ipad_color=”black”][/video_player] Despite some sell-side activity in the S&P 500, the market made a comeback, although it didn’t quite reach the crucial 4211 mark. There’s a potential for a substantial dip if the market breaks below 4175. Some sectors, particularly financials and the energy sector, exhibited signs of weakness. Interestingly, there was a discernible rotation into areas that had been previously overlooked, such as Walmart and Costco. Shifting focus to big tech, Nvidia experienced sell-side activity. However, there were no significant changes in the option order flow, indicating that this might not be a sign of a serious tech downturn. This observation extends to other big tech companies like Tesla, Meta, Microsoft, and Apple, none of which exhibited unusual order flows. The SPX continues to remain on an 80-point expected move, suggesting potential volatility. However, the current analysis does not necessarily predict

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Planning Your Big Holiday Week Ahead to End May

[video_player type=”embed” style=”1″ dimensions=”640×360″ width=”640″ height=”360″ align=”center” margin_top=”0″ margin_bottom=”20″ ipad_color=”black”][/video_player] By the end of the week, we’ll be in the month of June with a new Jobs Report to add to the volatility! In tonight’s video, we pinpoint the stocks in play, earnings ahead, and big news/economic events set to impact the market this week as we move each day toward the end of May 2023.

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A One Stock, Stock Market?

[video_player type=”embed” style=”1″ dimensions=”640×360″ width=”640″ height=”360″ align=”center” margin_top=”0″ margin_bottom=”20″ ipad_color=”black”][/video_player] -Same range, 8 weeks in the books! -NVDA saved the markets -update XLP, XHB, IWM, SPY, XLF, XLE, DOW, QQQ -10 year rates and a FED Hike probability -dollar rally defensive? Get your trade on – This week’s Profits and Losses -Closed BA in/out spread for a 55% gain -Opened GLD in/out call spread -Re-upped hedges and sold strangles in /ES and /MES SPX Expected Move– -Last Week – 63.48 (expected move 5 day week) -Next Week – 79.57 (expected move 4 day week)

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Don Kaufman Don Kaufman

TheoTrade co-founder, former CBOE market maker and thinkorswim Chief Derivatives Instructor.

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