[video_player type=”embed” style=”1″ dimensions=”640×360″ width=”640″ height=”360″ align=”center” margin_top=”0″ margin_bottom=”20″ ipad_color=”black”][/video_player] In today’s video we discuss comments from Fed President Harker and the market reaction to a potential pause. We discuss inflation and equities and how a pause in raising rates will likely see commodities and equities move higher. We also considered the risk of higher inflation without another hike.

[video_player type=”embed” style=”1″ dimensions=”640×360″ width=”640″ height=”360″ align=”center” margin_top=”0″ margin_bottom=”20″ ipad_color=”black”][/video_player] Despite some sell-side activity in the S&P 500, the market made a comeback, although it didn’t quite reach the crucial 4211 mark. There’s a potential for a substantial dip if the market breaks below 4175. Some sectors, particularly financials and the energy sector, exhibited signs of weakness. Interestingly, there was a discernible rotation into areas that had been previously overlooked, such as Walmart and Costco. Shifting focus to big tech, Nvidia experienced sell-side activity. However, there were no significant changes in the option order flow, indicating that this might not be a sign of a serious tech downturn. This observation extends to other big tech companies like Tesla, Meta, Microsoft, and Apple, none of which exhibited unusual order flows. The SPX continues to remain on an 80-point expected move, suggesting potential volatility. However, the current analysis does not necessarily predict

[video_player type=”embed” style=”1″ dimensions=”640×360″ width=”640″ height=”360″ align=”center” margin_top=”0″ margin_bottom=”20″ ipad_color=”black”][/video_player] By the end of the week, we’ll be in the month of June with a new Jobs Report to add to the volatility! In tonight’s video, we pinpoint the stocks in play, earnings ahead, and big news/economic events set to impact the market this week as we move each day toward the end of May 2023.

[video_player type=”embed” style=”1″ dimensions=”640×360″ width=”640″ height=”360″ align=”center” margin_top=”0″ margin_bottom=”20″ ipad_color=”black”][/video_player] -Same range, 8 weeks in the books! -NVDA saved the markets -update XLP, XHB, IWM, SPY, XLF, XLE, DOW, QQQ -10 year rates and a FED Hike probability -dollar rally defensive? Get your trade on – This week’s Profits and Losses -Closed BA in/out spread for a 55% gain -Opened GLD in/out call spread -Re-upped hedges and sold strangles in /ES and /MES SPX Expected Move– -Last Week – 63.48 (expected move 5 day week) -Next Week – 79.57 (expected move 4 day week)

[video_player type=”embed” style=”1″ dimensions=”640×360″ width=”640″ height=”360″ align=”center” margin_top=”0″ margin_bottom=”20″ ipad_color=”black”][/video_player] In today’s video we discuss GDP and inflation data. We also look at what it will mean to have the Fed raise rates while the treasury issues more debt and look at the short and long term impact on equities and bonds.

[video_player type=”embed” style=”1″ dimensions=”640×360″ width=”640″ height=”360″ align=”center” margin_top=”0″ margin_bottom=”20″ ipad_color=”black”][/video_player] NVDA comes out and crushes earnings sending the stock 3 standard deviations higher. Still all eyes are on the debt ceiling talks. Whether a debt ceiling deal will be good for markets largely depends on the specifics of the deal. If the U.S. defaults, or even comes close to defaulting on its debt because a deal isn’t reached, this could create significant disruption in the markets. Here’s what to look for in markets over the next 2 days…

[video_player type=”embed” style=”1″ dimensions=”640×360″ width=”640″ height=”360″ align=”center” margin_top=”0″ margin_bottom=”20″ ipad_color=”black”][/video_player] It may have felt like a much larger sell-off but the markets ended the day down 1% with Oil rallying 2%. In tonight’s video, we discuss the key stocks having earnings announcements this week including one big tech name and then discuss where we are and we’re we’re likely heading in stocks, bonds, Treasury Yields, and Oil as you plan your trades for this week into the next.

[video_player type=”embed” style=”1″ dimensions=”640×360″ width=”640″ height=”360″ align=”center” margin_top=”0″ margin_bottom=”20″ ipad_color=”black”][/video_player] We just broke out less than a week ago and you’re already questioning the direction? You’re experiencing the “Unch’d Effect.” Today is a good example of the market finishing with no real direction and a tremendous amount of news bubbling just out of sight for market bulls. At the moment, participants are able to keep things out of sight as the market gets bid slightly higher. We know this ends with a bang, it’s only a matter of time. This is your guide for why the markets feel so hostile at the moment. (GSM, RIVEN, TSLA, PFE, CCJ, JMIA, UPST, AR, MUR)

[video_player type=”embed” style=”1″ dimensions=”640×360″ width=”640″ height=”360″ align=”center” margin_top=”0″ margin_bottom=”20″ ipad_color=”black”][/video_player] -Evidence of gamma squeezing is everywhere -4211 hit! what now ? -is it over? Bonds and VVIX see RISK ! -No Pause? Fed Fund futures shift -can Foot Locker be contagious? -regional bank issues Get your trade on – This week’s Profits and Losses -covered /ES short calls 50% gain -closed NVDA & QQQ Call Spreads -opened short calls in /MES & QQQ SPX Expected Move -last week – 63.85 (expected move 5 day week) -next week – 63.48 (expected move 5 day week)

[video_player type=”embed” style=”1″ dimensions=”640×360″ width=”640″ height=”360″ align=”center” margin_top=”0″ margin_bottom=”20″ ipad_color=”black”][/video_player] In today’s video we discuss hawkish comments from multiple Fed members and discuss the shifting outlook of a rate pause to a rate hike. In addition, we discuss the strengthening U.S. dollar and the historical inverse correlation between the U.S. dollar and equities and we also look at the occasional positive correlation as an indication of a “flight to safety”.