[video_player type=”embed” style=”1″ dimensions=”640×360″ width=”640″ height=”360″ align=”center” margin_top=”0″ margin_bottom=”20″ ipad_color=”black”][/video_player] It’s easy to get suckered into thinking the crisis is over and buy the most oversold stocks. For financials, this comes with significant risk as the “crisis” is just getting started and the eventual recession is virtually assured. With this backdrop, the quieter trade is toward quality and a Fed pivot. (OLPX, IAG, KGC, IBM, UWMC, XLI, T)

[video_player type=”embed” style=”1″ dimensions=”640×360″ width=”640″ height=”360″ align=”center” margin_top=”0″ margin_bottom=”20″ ipad_color=”black”][/video_player] –FED hikes and Yellen pikes… –vol, bonds, gold –SP500 concentrated equity risk –Let’s talk TECH! Get your trade on– This week’s Profits and Losses — short calls on SPY at the highs! — in/out spreads in GLD and META SPX Expected Move– -last week- 120.30 (expected move 5 day week) -next week- 90.03 (expected move 5 day week)

[video_player type=”embed” style=”1″ dimensions=”640×360″ width=”640″ height=”360″ align=”center” margin_top=”0″ margin_bottom=”20″ ipad_color=”black”][/video_player] In today’s video, we look at the New Home Sales report from the Census Bureau. We also compare and contrast the SPX with ITB, the home builders ETF and compare to the downturn in New Home Sales in 2006 and 2007. In addition, we discuss the idea that New Home Sales and ITB can be an early predictor of a down turn in U.S. equity markets.

[video_player type=”embed” style=”1″ dimensions=”640×360″ width=”640″ height=”360″ align=”center” margin_top=”0″ margin_bottom=”20″ ipad_color=”black”][/video_player] How did this happen? The Fed hikes rates, as expected, and markets react positively at first before gripping fear takes over and sell side activity ensues. Join Don, in tonight’s video, as he discusses how we managed to shoot up over the expected move, for the week, then quickly turn and dive deep into a sharp reversal. What does it all mean for the rest of the week? Tune in and find out….

[video_player type=”embed” style=”1″ dimensions=”640×360″ width=”640″ height=”360″ align=”center” margin_top=”0″ margin_bottom=”20″ ipad_color=”black”][/video_player] We’ll have our big, highly anticipated Fed Meeting tomorrow and it’s been volatile trying to predict what they will do. Perhaps more importantly, we’ll learn insights from Chair Powell about the rapid shift of risk and volatility due to the financial stock sell-off and how that’s affecting the outlook for any future rate hikes. We highlight where bonds, yields, Oil, Gold, and of course specific sectors and stocks have set-up ahead of tomorrow’s big announcement so be prepared!

[video_player type=”embed” style=”1″ dimensions=”640×360″ width=”640″ height=”360″ align=”center” margin_top=”0″ margin_bottom=”20″ ipad_color=”black”][/video_player] Bullish option trades on gold and precious metals stocks were aplenty today as we head into the FOMC policy statement on Wednesday. The trade appears to be leaning toward a dovish result as the committee is expected to release their outlook for interest rates. Will they deliver for the market? (PAAS, GLD, WPM, SVM, SYF, M)

[video_player type=”embed” style=”1″ dimensions=”640×360″ width=”640″ height=”360″ align=”center” margin_top=”0″ margin_bottom=”20″ ipad_color=”black”][/video_player] —30 billion fixes what? FRC and bank debacle —Fed Watch – rate hike or rate cut? —what volatility says about markets —bonds & bitcoin —why are energy stocks and oil tanking? —the divergence, Nasdaq vs Financials and Energy Get your trade on– This week’s Profits and Losses — Catapult- CAT out for a $6 gain! –SBUX ITM, IWM ITM, VIX ITM –Covered a short 4550 call in the /ES –MSFT in/out spread SPX Expected Move– –last week– 115.34  (expected move 5 day week) –next week– 120.30  (expected move 5 day week)

[video_player type=”embed” style=”1″ dimensions=”640×360″ width=”640″ height=”360″ align=”center” margin_top=”0″ margin_bottom=”20″ ipad_color=”black”][/video_player] In today’s video we discussed the expected slowdown of rate hikes from the Federal Reserve. We looked at the change in rate hikes and possible cuts being priced in by the summertime.

[video_player type=”embed” style=”1″ dimensions=”640×360″ width=”640″ height=”360″ align=”center” margin_top=”0″ margin_bottom=”20″ ipad_color=”black”][/video_player] The energy sector joins the financial sector in taking it on the chin today. Now the energy sector seems to be pricing in a major recession around the corner. Fund managers continue to move money into blue chip tech stocks. With a major ECB announcement tomorrow and still a 115 point move in the weekly SPX expected move the market is poised to explode in either direction. Here’s what to look for the rest of the week…

[video_player type=”embed” style=”1″ dimensions=”640×360″ width=”640″ height=”360″ align=”center” margin_top=”0″ margin_bottom=”20″ ipad_color=”black”][/video_player] We’ve seen two extremely high volatility trading session so far this week – but will the rest of the week be the same? In tonight’s video, we cover the regional bank and larger bank stocks, where Bonds and Gold have moved, and the surprising sell-off in Crude Oil. Finally we pinpoint the weakest stocks making new lows and one surprising stock breaking out to new highs.