Will Markets Hit a Wall of Economic Reality?

[video_player type=”embed” style=”1″ dimensions=”640×360″ width=”640″ height=”360″ align=”center” margin_top=”0″ margin_bottom=”20″ ipad_color=”black”][/video_player] Hot jobs report, hot CPI print, and hot retail numbers doesn’t cool off the market. PPI numbers come out tomorrow and Fed speakers are lining up to jaw bone the markets. The question on the mind of all market participants is at what point will the market hit a wall?

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CPI Inflation Surprises, but does not Move, Markets

[video_player type=”embed” style=”1″ dimensions=”640×360″ width=”640″ height=”360″ align=”center” margin_top=”0″ margin_bottom=”20″ ipad_color=”black”][/video_player]   The higher (hotter) than expected inflation data surprise in this morning’s Consumer Price Index report did surprise the market, but by the closing bell most markets affected were “massively unchanged.” In tonight’s video, we unpack the “surprise lack” of movement and put it in context of the bigger picture and where key markets are playing.

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Will CPI Break this Rally?

[video_player type=”embed” style=”1″ dimensions=”640×360″ width=”640″ height=”360″ align=”center” margin_top=”0″ margin_bottom=”20″ ipad_color=”black”][/video_player] In today’s video we look at the anticipated CPI data reporting on Tuesday morning. We discussed what CPI is and how the monthly CPI inflation rate can rise while the yearly rate can fall. We discussed what we can anticipate with a higher-than-anticipated CPI number and a lower-than-anticipated number, focusing primarily on interest rates and the technology sector.

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Is the Bear Market Rally Over?

[video_player type=”embed” style=”1″ dimensions=”640×360″ width=”640″ height=”360″ align=”center” margin_top=”0″ margin_bottom=”20″ ipad_color=”black”][/video_player] -VVIX, Bonds, Dollar -TSLA, NVDA, MSFT, AAPL, GOOGL -financials have yet to break -/ES 4106 make or break -Find LOVE in CPI Day Get your trade on – This week’s Profits and Losses -MS, PFE, QQQ catapult SPX Expected Move – -last week- 76.53 (expected move 5 day week) -next week- 104.08 (expected move 5 day week)

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Markets Spooked as Earnings Gaps Fade

[video_player type=”embed” style=”1″ dimensions=”640×360″ width=”640″ height=”360″ align=”center” margin_top=”0″ margin_bottom=”20″ ipad_color=”black”][/video_player] It looked like a positive day, but as investors got jittery, positive earnings gaps faded from highs. First, there was news of a large put trade on the /ES puts, then it was rising yields on US Treasuries following a subpar 30-year auction. All eyes on next week’s inflation data could make the end of week a little slippery for the bulls. (DIS, ABBV, PEP, DUK, LYFT)

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Will the Gamma Squeeze Turn Bearish?

[video_player type=”embed” style=”1″ dimensions=”640×360″ width=”640″ height=”360″ align=”center” margin_top=”0″ margin_bottom=”20″ ipad_color=”black”][/video_player] The current leg in this rally from low to high is 10%, but that pales in comparison to the rallies we had in 2022. Is this rally different? Let’s take a look at why this one may not be…

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The Power of Powell! Your Guide to the Markets after the Fed Chair’s Speech

[video_player type=”embed” style=”1″ dimensions=”640×360″ width=”640″ height=”360″ align=”center” margin_top=”0″ margin_bottom=”20″ ipad_color=”black”][/video_player] We thought the Fed was behind us last week! Chair Powell’s speech today sent the market volatility surging, just like last week’s official Fed Policy announcement and though stocks were volatile, they closed up at the high of day along with a strong rally in Oil and Energy Stocks. In tonight’s video, we highlight these moves, what it means for you, and also detail which key stocks have earnings right around the corner.

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Dollar Dominance Proceeds a Weaker Market?

[video_player type=”embed” style=”1″ dimensions=”640×360″ width=”640″ height=”360″ align=”center” margin_top=”0″ margin_bottom=”20″ ipad_color=”black”][/video_player] In today’s video we look at the strong U.S. dollar and historic correlation between the U.S. dollar, SPX, and gold. We discuss the potential moves to return to the previous correlations as a warning of a weaker market…

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Ridiculous Rally or New Bull Beginnings?

[video_player type=”embed” style=”1″ dimensions=”640×360″ width=”640″ height=”360″ align=”center” margin_top=”0″ margin_bottom=”20″ ipad_color=”black”][/video_player] -bifurcation in sectors -FED saw its shadow… winter is still here! -jobs # on fire! -bonds & dollar reversals, tide turning? -just shy of 4211 -SKEW up! VOL down? -new bull beginnings? Get your trade on– This week’s Profits and Losses -covering short puts into the rally -allocations and one-sided trade SPX Expected Move– -last week- 94.41 (expected move 5 day week) -next week- 76.89 (expected move 5 day week)

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Rate Race to the Top

[video_player type=”embed” style=”1″ dimensions=”640×360″ width=”640″ height=”360″ align=”center” margin_top=”0″ margin_bottom=”20″ ipad_color=”black”][/video_player] In today’s nightly video we look at the rate hikes in the U.S, Europe and U.K. We discuss the forward look at interest rates and the worsening inverted yield curve.

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