Did you Fight the Fed?

[video_player type=”embed” style=”1″ dimensions=”640×360″ width=”640″ height=”360″ align=”center” margin_top=”0″ margin_bottom=”20″ ipad_color=”black”][/video_player] The age-old adage “Don’t fight the Fed”. Unpack the implications of going against the Federal Reserve’s monetary policies and the potential outcomes for investors and the economy at large. Whether you’re a seasoned investor or just curious about the workings of the financial world, “Did You Fight the FED?” provides insights and analysis.

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The Fed in Focus! Your Guide to this Week’s Fed Day and Beyond

[video_player type=”embed” style=”1″ dimensions=”640×360″ width=”640″ height=”360″ align=”center” margin_top=”0″ margin_bottom=”20″ ipad_color=”black”][/video_player] The Federal Reserve meets Wednesday and while they are very unlikely to raise the Fed Funds rate tomorrow, all eyes and ears will be focused on what Chair Powell says about inflation creeping higher and the need for higher rates possibly as soon as the November meeting. Otherwise we take a look at Bonds, Treasury Yields, Sideways Sectors, and of course the next likely move for stocks in tonight’s video.

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Stagflationary Moves in Bonds and Oil Opens Golden Opportunity

[video_player type=”embed” style=”1″ dimensions=”640×360″ width=”640″ height=”360″ align=”center” margin_top=”0″ margin_bottom=”20″ ipad_color=”black”][/video_player] Is there anything better than stagflationary pressures for gold prices? Weaker dollar and falling interest rates create a sweet spot for gold (GLD, GDX, SA, JETS, OXY, WBA, CVS)  

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All Quiet on the Inflation Front?

[video_player type=”embed” style=”1″ dimensions=”640×360″ width=”640″ height=”360″ align=”center” margin_top=”0″ margin_bottom=”20″ ipad_color=”black”][/video_player]   –tech took a collective hit –triple witching hedges coming off –FEDs back in town! –bonds, continuation to the downside? –oil, dollar, vol Get your trade on– This week’s Profits and Losses –covered /ES calls +50% gain –covered /MES calls +50% gain –WMT, MSFT updates SPX Expected Move– –last week– 59.21 (expected move 5 day week) –next week– 59.55 (expected move 5 day week)

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The Stock Markets Worst Fear Is Coming True?

[video_player type=”embed” style=”1″ dimensions=”640×360″ width=”640″ height=”360″ align=”center” margin_top=”0″ margin_bottom=”20″ ipad_color=”black”][/video_player] In today’s video we look at VIX near annual lows. We look at record high consumer debt and mortgage debt with rising interest rates. We also discuss junk bonds and the Hindenburg Omen.

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Inflation is Back: Navigating the Stalled Market

[video_player type=”embed” style=”1″ dimensions=”640×360″ width=”640″ height=”360″ align=”center” margin_top=”0″ margin_bottom=”20″ ipad_color=”black”][/video_player] Don discusses the current state of the market. He notes a noticeable stagnation in the market with minimal trade action and significant bifurcations, particularly in the tech sector. Despite the current lull, he suggests that this might be an opportune time to sell options premiums, anticipating a volatility crush. However, he warns of potential volatility shocks due to several looming data releases and economic events in the coming days. He emphasizes the market’s data-centric nature and advises investors to be prepared for potential market fluctuations soon.

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CPI Planning: Inflation Rising? What that means for markets

[video_player type=”embed” style=”1″ dimensions=”640×360″ width=”640″ height=”360″ align=”center” margin_top=”0″ margin_bottom=”20″ ipad_color=”black”][/video_player] The economic and earnings calendar is light again this week but the highlight will likely be the inflation measures we get from the Consumer Price Index (CPI) Wednesday morning. The market is already pricing in that inflation is rising, but by how much and will there be any surprises? In tonight’s video we focus on the game plan for equities, bonds, Treasury Yields, and what it means for key sectors such as technology (XLK) and key stocks going forward.

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Market Pops on AMZN & TSLA, Staples Surge…Cannabis Munchies

[video_player type=”embed” style=”1″ dimensions=”640×360″ width=”640″ height=”360″ align=”center” margin_top=”0″ margin_bottom=”20″ ipad_color=”black”][/video_player] It was an unusual day as Consumer Cyclicals Surged on AMZN and TSLA movement. As a data-heavy week approaches, the binging on Cylicals and Staples may be premature. Key CPI, PPI and retail sales may create volatility as the market sorts out the Fed’s next move ($VALE, $EWZ, $GOOG, $UPS, $HYG, $KHC, $AMZN).

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Tech is Down but Far from Out!

[video_player type=”embed” style=”1″ dimensions=”640×360″ width=”640″ height=”360″ align=”center” margin_top=”0″ margin_bottom=”20″ ipad_color=”black”][/video_player] —tech bifurcation —triple witching and the /ES roll —CPI, PPI, and the chaos of economic data —small caps, RUT getting ripped! —strong dollar, higher rates indicate risk ahead Get your trade on– This week’s Profits and Losses –covered /ES calls +50% gain –covered /MES calls +50% gain SPX Expected Move– -last week – 47.56 (expected move 4 day week) -next week – 59.21 (expected move 5 day week) -low vol with high risk?

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Oil Boosts TSLA and China leaves AAPL on Slippery Slope

[video_player type=”embed” style=”1″ dimensions=”640×360″ width=”640″ height=”360″ align=”center” margin_top=”0″ margin_bottom=”20″ ipad_color=”black”][/video_player] In today’s video we look at the correlation between TSLA and oil prices. We discuss both the correlation between AAPL and FXI as well as the iPhone ban in China.

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Don Kaufman Don Kaufman

TheoTrade co-founder, former CBOE market maker and thinkorswim Chief Derivatives Instructor.

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