Is the Bear Market Rally Over?

[video_player type=”embed” style=”1″ dimensions=”640×360″ width=”640″ height=”360″ align=”center” margin_top=”0″ margin_bottom=”20″ ipad_color=”black”][/video_player] -VVIX, Bonds, Dollar -TSLA, NVDA, MSFT, AAPL, GOOGL -financials have yet to break -/ES 4106 make or break -Find LOVE in CPI Day Get your trade on – This week’s Profits and Losses -MS, PFE, QQQ catapult SPX Expected Move – -last week- 76.53 (expected move 5 day week) -next week- 104.08 (expected move 5 day week)

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Markets Spooked as Earnings Gaps Fade

[video_player type=”embed” style=”1″ dimensions=”640×360″ width=”640″ height=”360″ align=”center” margin_top=”0″ margin_bottom=”20″ ipad_color=”black”][/video_player] It looked like a positive day, but as investors got jittery, positive earnings gaps faded from highs. First, there was news of a large put trade on the /ES puts, then it was rising yields on US Treasuries following a subpar 30-year auction. All eyes on next week’s inflation data could make the end of week a little slippery for the bulls. (DIS, ABBV, PEP, DUK, LYFT)

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Will the Gamma Squeeze Turn Bearish?

[video_player type=”embed” style=”1″ dimensions=”640×360″ width=”640″ height=”360″ align=”center” margin_top=”0″ margin_bottom=”20″ ipad_color=”black”][/video_player] The current leg in this rally from low to high is 10%, but that pales in comparison to the rallies we had in 2022. Is this rally different? Let’s take a look at why this one may not be…

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The Power of Powell! Your Guide to the Markets after the Fed Chair’s Speech

[video_player type=”embed” style=”1″ dimensions=”640×360″ width=”640″ height=”360″ align=”center” margin_top=”0″ margin_bottom=”20″ ipad_color=”black”][/video_player] We thought the Fed was behind us last week! Chair Powell’s speech today sent the market volatility surging, just like last week’s official Fed Policy announcement and though stocks were volatile, they closed up at the high of day along with a strong rally in Oil and Energy Stocks. In tonight’s video, we highlight these moves, what it means for you, and also detail which key stocks have earnings right around the corner.

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Dollar Dominance Proceeds a Weaker Market?

[video_player type=”embed” style=”1″ dimensions=”640×360″ width=”640″ height=”360″ align=”center” margin_top=”0″ margin_bottom=”20″ ipad_color=”black”][/video_player] In today’s video we look at the strong U.S. dollar and historic correlation between the U.S. dollar, SPX, and gold. We discuss the potential moves to return to the previous correlations as a warning of a weaker market…

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Ridiculous Rally or New Bull Beginnings?

[video_player type=”embed” style=”1″ dimensions=”640×360″ width=”640″ height=”360″ align=”center” margin_top=”0″ margin_bottom=”20″ ipad_color=”black”][/video_player] -bifurcation in sectors -FED saw its shadow… winter is still here! -jobs # on fire! -bonds & dollar reversals, tide turning? -just shy of 4211 -SKEW up! VOL down? -new bull beginnings? Get your trade on– This week’s Profits and Losses -covering short puts into the rally -allocations and one-sided trade SPX Expected Move– -last week- 94.41 (expected move 5 day week) -next week- 76.89 (expected move 5 day week)

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Rate Race to the Top

[video_player type=”embed” style=”1″ dimensions=”640×360″ width=”640″ height=”360″ align=”center” margin_top=”0″ margin_bottom=”20″ ipad_color=”black”][/video_player] In today’s nightly video we look at the rate hikes in the U.S, Europe and U.K. We discuss the forward look at interest rates and the worsening inverted yield curve.

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FED Induced Irrational Exuberance!

[video_player type=”embed” style=”1″ dimensions=”640×360″ width=”640″ height=”360″ align=”center” margin_top=”0″ margin_bottom=”20″ ipad_color=”black”][/video_player] The much anticipated first FOMC meeting of the year lived up to expectations. The Fed raised by 25 basis points and has started to mix some dovish comments into the otherwise hawkish statements of late. This sent the markets on a roller coaster ride, but mostly up. Our 4211 target in the S&P is still in sight.

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Hang on to your Trades! Your Plan for Fed and Earnings Volatility

[video_player type=”embed” style=”1″ dimensions=”640×360″ width=”640″ height=”360″ align=”center” margin_top=”0″ margin_bottom=”20″ ipad_color=”black”][/video_player] We’ve already had surprises from key earnings but there are more potential big surprises to come when major market cap leaders – and tech giants – report Thursday. Before then however, we have the Federal Reserve announcement – a Fed Day – Wednesday along with even more earnings. Know which companies are reporting and how they may affect positions you have on and know your risk especially in this active trading week.

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Nasdaq En Route to Post Best January in Decades Ahead of Fed What’s Next?

[video_player type=”embed” style=”1″ dimensions=”640×360″ width=”640″ height=”360″ align=”center” margin_top=”0″ margin_bottom=”20″ ipad_color=”black”][/video_player] The Nasdaq Composite has posted nearly a 10% gain in January, the best since 2021. With the Federal Reserve about to raise rates, the squeeze may be about to end, but traders appear to be resilient by pricing in lower rates. Who blinks first? (COTY, CVNA, LEN, SU, BB, TGT)

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Don Kaufman Don Kaufman

TheoTrade co-founder, former CBOE market maker and thinkorswim Chief Derivatives Instructor.

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