Is 2024 Ripe for Market Mayhem?

[video_player type=”embed” style=”1″ dimensions=”640×360″ width=”640″ height=”360″ align=”center” margin_top=”0″ margin_bottom=”20″ ipad_color=”black”][/video_player] —quiet week ends with a hint of volatility —market prognostications for 2024 from roses to apocalyptic —Market priced to FED perfection? —Bonds, Dollar, Bitcoin, Metals SPX Expected Move — –last week — 55.87 (4-day expected move) –next week–  52.73 (4-day expected move)

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Ringing In the New Year and Wringing Out The Volatility

[video_player type=”embed” style=”1″ dimensions=”640×360″ width=”640″ height=”360″ align=”center” margin_top=”0″ margin_bottom=”20″ ipad_color=”black”][/video_player] In today’s video we look at the low volume, low volatility at the end of the calendar year. We discuss the very low cost of options and for potential directional trades into the new year. We also analyzed the market and determined the retail traders were active while institutions were likely already done for the year.

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Your Stock Update as we End 2023: Reflections on the Year

[video_player type=”embed” style=”1″ dimensions=”640×360″ width=”640″ height=”360″ align=”center” margin_top=”0″ margin_bottom=”20″ ipad_color=”black”][/video_player] With the final trading week of 2023, let’s take a brief moment to look back on the year and highlight the key sectors, stock indexes, and insights from commodities, bonds, yields, inflation, and the big picture as we keep our motivation high to start a brand new 2024.

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Can Santa Claus Deliver for Stocks into Year-End?

[video_player type=”embed” style=”1″ dimensions=”640×360″ width=”640″ height=”360″ align=”center” margin_top=”0″ margin_bottom=”20″ ipad_color=”black”][/video_player] As we come to the final trading days of 2023, markets are finally in the renowned Santa Claus Rally period as bulls look to leave their mark on another year. In this video, we talk about our trade in Coinbase (COIN) as well as other bullish signals brewing under the surface in the overall market.

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Is the Grinch Coming for your Portfolio?

[video_player type=”embed” style=”1″ dimensions=”640×360″ width=”640″ height=”360″ align=”center” margin_top=”0″ margin_bottom=”20″ ipad_color=”black”][/video_player] —risk management out the window —economic slowdown and forecasts (NKE, FDX) —rate cut projections appear ridiculous —two sided trading returns —options markets starting to price risk SPX Expected Move — –last week — 55.44 (5-day expected move) –next week– 57.87 (4-day expected move)

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Is the Correlation Between Energy and Utilities Broken?

[video_player type=”embed” style=”1″ dimensions=”640×360″ width=”640″ height=”360″ align=”center” margin_top=”0″ margin_bottom=”20″ ipad_color=”black”][/video_player] In today’s video, we look at the expected correlation with energy prices and utilities performance. We look at the stronger correlation between utilities and inflation and inverse correlation between interest rates and utilities.

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Market Harkens a Reversal on Fed Speak: Your Guide to the Long-Awaited Reversal

[video_player type=”embed” style=”1″ dimensions=”640×360″ width=”640″ height=”360″ align=”center” margin_top=”0″ margin_bottom=”20″ ipad_color=”black”][/video_player] After 7 weeks of seemingly non-stop upside action in most equity markets, we saw a sharp, long-awaited reversal take stocks lower from their intraday highs. In tonight’s video, we pinpoint the “Fed Speak” that may have triggered the avalanche selling, discuss how it impacted the broader markets, and what impact its having beyond the stock market.

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Metals, Cryptos & AI: The Future of Investing or Just Modern Alchemy?

[video_player type=”embed” style=”1″ dimensions=”640×360″ width=”640″ height=”360″ align=”center” margin_top=”0″ margin_bottom=”20″ ipad_color=”black”][/video_player] This video highlights another important lesson in relative strength. Despite the volatility in precious metals in recent weeks, a few names have stood out above the rest. In the crypto space, not all names have behaved equally either.

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What’s Next? The Aftermath of the Fed Pivot

[video_player type=”embed” style=”1″ dimensions=”640×360″ width=”640″ height=”360″ align=”center” margin_top=”0″ margin_bottom=”20″ ipad_color=”black”][/video_player] The Federal Reserve officially pivoted last week from tighter monetary policy to a more accommodative outlook. Now we’ve had a few days to see the response, what’s next for the market? (KHC, NVDA, IWM, WMT, GOOGL, SYF, KEY, AMZN, XLE).

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Irrational FOMC Exuberance

[video_player type=”embed” style=”1″ dimensions=”640×360″ width=”640″ height=”360″ align=”center” margin_top=”0″ margin_bottom=”20″ ipad_color=”black”][/video_player] -Rate cut mania -capital rotations are epic -financials rip in lower rates? -PM/hedge panic -SKEW record, VVIX makes it interesting -high impact moves in a low vix continue SPX Expected Move — –last week — 64.66 (5-day expected move) –next week– 55.44 (5-day expected move)

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Don Kaufman Don Kaufman

TheoTrade co-founder, former CBOE market maker and thinkorswim Chief Derivatives Instructor.

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