Bond Breakout Lifts Stocks on Shortened Week

[video_player type=”embed” style=”1″ dimensions=”640×360″ width=”640″ height=”360″ align=”center” margin_top=”0″ margin_bottom=”20″ ipad_color=”black”][/video_player] Strong auction for 20-year U.S. Treasuries helps lift stocks to new intraday highs ahead of the Thanksgiving holiday. With NVDA set to announce earnings tomorrow AMC, the bears have a little more hope for a reversal before volumes dissipate. $NVDA, $PLTR, $MARA, $SOFI, CCJ, URNM, $AI, $NKLA.

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Is a Severe Recession Imminent?

[video_player type=”embed” style=”1″ dimensions=”640×360″ width=”640″ height=”360″ align=”center” margin_top=”0″ margin_bottom=”20″ ipad_color=”black”][/video_player] -CPI and the 2 minute week -Oil -Bonds -WMT, CSCO PANW, BABA, BIDU -VIX is a broken metric -SKEW high flyin’ SPX Expected Move – -last week – 63.82 (5-day expected move) -next week – 48.54 (3 1/2-day expected move)

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Bonds and Oil Signal Economic Threat

[video_player type=”embed” style=”1″ dimensions=”640×360″ width=”640″ height=”360″ align=”center” margin_top=”0″ margin_bottom=”20″ ipad_color=”black”][/video_player] In today’s video we look at bonds rally indicating a flight to safety and oil prices falling as a sign of destruction of demand. Additionally, we received a warning from Walmart indicating the holiday retail season would likely miss analysts expectations. This is extra concerning as the final quarter of the year usually sees 80% of all retail sales throughout the year.

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Softer Data and a Stronger Market?

[video_player type=”embed” style=”1″ dimensions=”640×360″ width=”640″ height=”360″ align=”center” margin_top=”0″ margin_bottom=”20″ ipad_color=”black”][/video_player] – Don Kaufman of TheoTrade discusses market conditions on November 15, 2023, noting the S&P 500’s mild uptrend despite mixed economic data, with retail sales softer and Producer Price Index (PPI) in line with expectations. – Kaufman highlights unusual activity in the bond market, with high trading volume and a significant pullback from previous gains. He expresses concern over this volatility and its potential impact on banks, particularly those with substantial unrealized bond losses. – The discussion includes an analysis of the Regional Bank ETF (KR) and individual stocks like Charles Schwab, noting unexpected stock increases despite the bond market’s downturn and potential unrealized losses. – Kaufman points out the market’s paradoxical reaction to weaker economic data (like retail sales and CPI), leading to rallies. He also notes the market’s indifference to fundamentals in the short term and the peculiar

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CPI Sends Tech Stocks, Retail Banks, the Russell, and Bonds Flying – Your Evening Play

[video_player type=”embed” style=”1″ dimensions=”640×360″ width=”640″ height=”360″ align=”center” margin_top=”0″ margin_bottom=”20″ ipad_color=”black”][/video_player] In last week’s video I highlighted the rally reversal in bonds and tech stocks and one week later, we see that same play continuing – and extending – to new 52 week highs in market-cap leading tech stocks including MSFT, META, AMZN and others. In tonight’s video, we pinpoint the CPI inflation data and how it helped extend the fall in TNX (10 Year Treasury Note Yields), while boosting tech, regional banks (KRE), the Russell 2000 (IWM), and bonds (TLT and others) much higher.

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Massively Unch’d as Debt, Spending and Inflation Reports Loom

[video_player type=”embed” style=”1″ dimensions=”640×360″ width=”640″ height=”360″ align=”center” margin_top=”0″ margin_bottom=”20″ ipad_color=”black”][/video_player] What a day of indecision! Equities and bonds finished unchanged for the day as data looms regarding a shutdown, inflation and Moody’s negative outlook for U.S. debt. One thing appears certain, we’re starting the week this way, but likely won’t finish it this way. (ARKK, KHC, EQT, XLK, KRE, KEY).

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Magnificent Market Moves or a High-Stakes Gamble?

[video_player type=”embed” style=”1″ dimensions=”640×360″ width=”640″ height=”360″ align=”center” margin_top=”0″ margin_bottom=”20″ ipad_color=”black”][/video_player] –correlation kicks in and markets fly –pay attention to NASDAQ Expected Moves! –Fed speaks markets do not listen –Bond markets / auctions matter –Big economic data week (CPI report) SPX Expected Move — –last week —  62.04  (expected move) –next week–  63.82 (expected move)

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Market Freaked Out by Fed

[video_player type=”embed” style=”1″ dimensions=”640×360″ width=”640″ height=”360″ align=”center” margin_top=”0″ margin_bottom=”20″ ipad_color=”black”][/video_player] In today’s video we look at the 30 year bond auction and Fed Chair Jerome Powell’s statement. We discuss the worst performance in the 30 year bond auction in years and we review the Fed’s tacit admission of failure to get inflation under control.

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Markets too Quiet for Comfort?

[video_player type=”embed” style=”1″ dimensions=”640×360″ width=”640″ height=”360″ align=”center” margin_top=”0″ margin_bottom=”20″ ipad_color=”black”][/video_player] Join Don in tonight’s video as he answers the question, Are the Markets too Quiet for Comfort? Things remained relatively unchanged throughout today’s trading session, however, we did see a pull back within the energy sector. It shows that oil trade is less about geopolitical risk and more about the possibility of an economic slowdown. Don also takes a close look at where we are on the expected moves for the week….

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Bonds Bounce Back, Pulling Tech With Them

[video_player type=”embed” style=”1″ dimensions=”640×360″ width=”640″ height=”360″ align=”center” margin_top=”0″ margin_bottom=”20″ ipad_color=”black”][/video_player] We continue to see the ongoing strong bounce in bond prices higher from support as the 10 year Treasury Note Yield reversed for the moment down from the all-important 5% level. This sent tech stocks surging again with some trading up just shy of fresh new 52-week highs as the “Monsters of Tech” roared back. In tonight’s video, we highlight these new developments and which stocks are joining them at new highs (and lows).

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