Big Bets Being Made for First Trading Day of the Year
What a time to make known your expectations for the year and that's what traders were doing today. Today's video looks at some of the large unusual option activity that is pointing to big moves this week, the next six months and the coming year. (F, TSLA, GLD, SLV, AAPL)…
2022 a Premium Sellers Paradise?
SKEWtacular----SKEW 200 day moving avg 147.00!--back month skew higher--lower vol has brought higher skew--VIX takes a back seat Premium Selling Dynamics----realized vol vs Imp Vol--Lower Vol = Xmas Tree Spreads with VIX hedges--Higher Vol pure premium selling SPX Expected Move ----last week -- 72.40 (expected move)--next week-- 62.48
Tight Range Continues for End of Year Trades
In Tuesday's video we highlighted the chance of a pullback in the market and that's occurring in some key stocks while the broader market remains flat and rangebound for the final trading week of 2021. With one more day left to trade in 2021, what are we watching, what levels are important targets, and how…
Expected Move, Skew, and You!
It looks like we've been riding the upper edge of the expected move all week. So, what does that mean? Join Don in tonight's video as he explains how he defines what the expected move is from week to week and how you can apply it to your trades…
Which will it Be - The Pullback or the Drift Up? Your Action Plan for the end of 2021
We're seeing stocks at new highs and extended, ready for a pullback, but will that actually occur? And how can you hedge and take precaution if we instead get a low volume drift up to higher highs this week? In tonight's video we highlight the odds for a pullback and which stocks are leading the…
Santa Comes Strong with Best Start in 20 Years
If anyone was in doubt, Santa came to town today with the strongest start on the first day of a Santa Claus rally in 20 years. The numbers show that this could be a good end of year squeeze higher. Looking at today's option activity, it's clear who's at the top of Santa's list…
End of Year Stock Scans to get ready for 2022
In this week's TheoTrade weekly update, we start by viewing the year's percentage gains and losses in stocks, commodities, and bonds with a surprising market deeply underperforming and down on the year where equities sustained year-long uptrends. After the percentage update, we then dig into three separate stocks scans for you to have candidates at…
Performance Chasing into Year End?
It's the end of year rotation game as fund managers dump poor performers and buy the outperforming stocks. This happens at the end of the year every year because no fund manager wants to have the poor performers on their books. Here's where we are on volatility and the expected move during this shortened Holiday…
Planning the Holiday Week Ahead - What Events We're Watching Today
We're in a holiday week but don't start your vacation from the market yet! Wednesday and Thursday give us key economic events we're watching and could spike the volatility of the market. Outside the planned economic news this week, we highlight the key price levels we're trading and targeting in the broader equity market as…
Bulls Find Silver Lining Into the Close
The S&P 500 rallied and the VIX fell into the close as the market found intraday support. While it isn't exactly a ringing endorsement that the market is heading higher, it is an indication that the Grinch hasn't entirely spoiled the fun. Looking at breadth, there was an early indication and bullish unusual option activity…
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